✗Model wrong — prediction Club America, result CF Pachuca wins
Henry Martin
(ast. Erick Sánchez)
46'
12'
Alan Bautista
74'
(ast. Salomón Rondón)
Oussama Idrissi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club America a 60% win probability (draw 18%, CF Pachuca 20%). The final result was Club America 1–2 CF Pachuca. In 2 previous meetings, Club America have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
16
8
Shots on target
4
2.78
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
5
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
Alan Bautista⚽
19'
Sergio Barreto
22'
Franco Rossano
/ Dagoberto Espinoza
45'
⚽Henry Martin
· ast. Erick Sánchez
46'
Dagoberto Espinoza
56'
Israel Reyes
/ Edwin Cerrillo
59'
Carlos Álvarez
/ Miguel Borja
59'
64'
Javier Vallejo
Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves
68'
68'
Mauricio Isais
/
Rodolfo Pizarro
Erick Sánchez
69'
Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
/ Isaias Violante
72'
74'
ast. Salomón Rondón ·
Oussama Idrissi⚽
75'
Robert Nunes
/
Javier Vallejo
76'
Ian Josué Zavala Osorio
/
Alan Bautista
Henry Martin
/ alejandro cardenas
81'
85'
Sebastian Santos
/
Jorge Berlanga
85'
Pedro Budib
/
Francisco Venegas
Pre-match prediction
60.79%
Club
18.58%
X
20.63%
CF ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
20.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.61
2.78
-0.83
1.88
0.58
-1.3
Club America dominated by xG (2.78 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Malagón
G
L. Malagón
G
24
F. Rossano
45'
D
F. Rossano
45'
D
15
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
14
S. Bueno
D
S. Bueno
D
5
K. Álvarez
D
K. Álvarez
D
28
É. Sánchez
1 👟
M
É. Sánchez
1 👟
M
3
I. Reyes
59'
M
I. Reyes
59'
M
7
B. Rodríguez
M
B. Rodríguez
M
8
Carlos Álvarez
59'
M
Carlos Álvarez
59'
M
22
Ó. Perea
72'
M
Ó. Perea
72'
M
9
H. Martín
1 ⚽
81'
F
H. Martín
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
189
A. Cardenas
9'
F
A. Cardenas
9'
F
13
A. Cervantes
M
A. Cervantes
M
20
A. Gutiérrez
M
A. Gutiérrez
M
34
D. Espinoza
45'
M
D. Espinoza
45'
M
6
E. Cerrillo
31'
M
E. Cerrillo
31'
M
12
I. Violante
18'
F
I. Violante
18'
F
93
M. Borja
31'
F
M. Borja
31'
F
30
R. Cota
G
R. Cota
G
29
R. Juárez
D
R. Juárez
D
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
15
F. Venegas
89'
D
F. Venegas
89'
D
2
S. Barreto
D
S. Barreto
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
13
J. Berlanga
85'
D
J. Berlanga
85'
D
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
76'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
76'
M
16
C. Rivera
M
C. Rivera
M
7
R. Pizarro
68'
M
R. Pizarro
68'
M
11
O. Idrissi
1 ⚽
F
O. Idrissi
1 ⚽
F
23
S. Rondón
1 👟
F
S. Rondón
1 👟
F
21
N. Vallejo
75'
F
N. Vallejo
75'
F
Bench
9
A. Alcaraz
F
A. Alcaraz
F
211
C. Hernandez
F
C. Hernandez
F
31
J. Eulogio
G
J. Eulogio
G
29
Kenedy
15'
M
Kenedy
15'
M
6
M. Isaís
22'
D
M. Isaís
22'
D
32
P. Budib
1'
D
P. Budib
1'
D
30
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
12
S. Santos
5'
M
S. Santos
5'
M
Best on the pitch
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
M · CF
8.36
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
C. Moreno
G · CF
8.11
· 29 pass
H. Martín
F · Club
7.86
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
O. Idrissi
F · CF
7.82
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 35 pass
É. Sánchez
M · Club
7.40
1 👟
3 shots
· 56 pass
S. Rondón
F · CF
7.14
1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
Club America — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Malagón | G | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Rossano | D | 45 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bueno | D | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.40 | — | 1 | 3 | 56 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| I. Reyes | M | 59 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Álvarez | M | 59 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Ó. Perea | M | 72 | 6.78 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Martín | F | 81 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cardenas | F | 9 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Espinoza | M | 45 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Cerrillo | M | 31 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Violante | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Borja | F | 31 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 8.11 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Venegas | D | 89 | 6.14 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreto | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Berlanga | D | 85 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 76 | 8.36 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rivera | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 68 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | F | 90 | 7.82 | 1 | — | 5 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 90 | 7.14 | — | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Vallejo | F | 75 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kenedy | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Isaís | D | 22 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Budib | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Santos | M | 5 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club America vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Club America 1–2 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Club America vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Club America win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an CF Pachuca win.