Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 05:10
B. Rodriguez
(ast. I. Violante)
44'
B. Rodriguez
(ast. A. Zendejas)
50'
(og)
53'
M. Vazquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club America a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Toluca 29%). The final result was Club America 2–1 Toluca. In 1 previous meetings, Club America have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toluca.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
0.91
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
M. Vazquez
19'
⚽B. Rodriguez
· ast. I. Violante
44'
46'
Helinho
/
D. Barbosa
⚽B. Rodriguez
· ast. A. Zendejas
50'
I. Violante
52'
53'
(og)
M. Vazquez⚽
M. Vazquez
/ R. Juarez
57'
I. Violante
/ K. Alvarez
57'
63'
M. Ruiz
/
J. Angulo
73'
J. Gallardo
Raphael Veiga
/ A. Cervantes
80'
C. Borja
/ T. N. Espinosa Dovat
86'
B. Rodriguez
/ J. Zuniga
87'
89'
F. Rossi
/
E. del Villar
89'
P. Perez
/
A. Vega
90'+7
Helinho
Pre-match prediction
44.36%
Club ←
25.83%
X
29.8%
Toluca
we assigned to the actual result (Club America)
44.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.94
-0.7
1.22
0.91
-0.32
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
32
M. Vázquez
1 ⚽
57'
D
M. Vázquez
1 ⚽
57'
D
4
S. Cáceres
D
S. Cáceres
D
3
Israel Reyes
D
Israel Reyes
D
26
C. Borja
86'
M
C. Borja
86'
M
17
Rodrigo Dourado
M
Rodrigo Dourado
M
6
J. dos Santos
M
10
A. Zendejas
1 👟
M
A. Zendejas
1 👟
M
12
I. Violante
1 👟
57'
F
I. Violante
1 👟
57'
F
23
Raphael Veiga
80'
F
Raphael Veiga
80'
F
7
B. Rodríguez
2 ⚽
87'
F
B. Rodríguez
2 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
20
A. Gutiérrez
M
A. Gutiérrez
M
28
É. Sánchez
M
É. Sánchez
M
5
K. Álvarez
33'
D
K. Álvarez
33'
D
45
Lima
M
Lima
M
33
P. Salas
F
P. Salas
F
19
Raúl Zúñiga
14'
F
Raúl Zúñiga
14'
F
22
L. García
G
L. García
G
20
J. Gallardo
D
J. Gallardo
D
25
E. López
89'
D
E. López
89'
D
4
D
2
D. Barbosa
45'
D
D. Barbosa
45'
D
19
S. Simón
D
S. Simón
D
9
A. Vega
89'
M
A. Vega
89'
M
8
N. Castro
M
N. Castro
M
5
M
10
J. Angulo
63'
M
J. Angulo
63'
M
26
F
Bench
3
A. Briseño
D
A. Briseño
D
24
F. Arce
M
F. Arce
M
27
F. Rossi
12'
F
F. Rossi
12'
F
11
Helinho
52'
F
Helinho
52'
F
17
M. Isaís
D
M. Isaís
D
14
M. Ruiz
27'
M
M. Ruiz
27'
M
23
O. Virgen
F
O. Virgen
F
15
P. Pérez
12'
M
P. Pérez
12'
M
7
Sebastián Córdova
M
Sebastián Córdova
M
Best on the pitch
B. Rodríguez
F · Club
9.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 28 pass
Rodrigo Dourado
M · Club
7.70
· 41 pass
M · Toluca
7.60
· 82 pass
M. Ruiz
M · Toluca
7.20
· 30 pass
Israel Reyes
D · Club
7.20
· 37 pass
Raphael Veiga
F · Club
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Club America — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| M. Vázquez | D | 57 | 5.60 | 1 | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Cáceres | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Israel Reyes | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| C. Borja | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Dourado | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| J. dos Santos | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Zendejas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| I. Violante | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Raphael Veiga | F | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | F | 87 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Álvarez | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Zúñiga | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. García | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Gallardo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| E. López | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 63% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Barbosa | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Simón | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Vega | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | — | — | — |
| N. Castro | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 80% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Angulo | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Rossi | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Helinho | F | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | 1 |
| M. Ruiz | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pérez | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club America vs Toluca?
The final score was Club America 2–1 Toluca.
What did the model predict before Club America vs Toluca?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Club America win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Toluca win.