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Club Nacional - Boston River

Primera División August 09, 2026 23:30
Club Nacional
#2 · 13 pts
vs
Boston River
#8 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.24%
Win
Club Nacional
26.95%
Draw
9.82%
Win
Boston River
1.36
Expected xG
0.31
Most likely outcome
Club Nacional
63.24%
Probability
73.7%
1X2 accuracy · 19 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (25.93%)
1X2 Result ✓ 73.7% hit rate (19 picks)
1 63%
X 27%
2 10%
Double Chance ✓ 89.5% hit rate (19 picks)
1X 90%
X2 37%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 36%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Club Nacional a 63% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 9% for Boston River. Expected goals are 1.4 for Club Nacional and 0.3 for Boston River (total 1.7), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 25.93% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boston River.

Season Stats

Club Nacional
8W 1D 6L
Boston River
5W 2D 8L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.1
1.4
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
80%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Club Nacional
6W 0D 4L · at home
Boston River
2W 2D 6L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.8
60%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Club Nacional Boston River →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.8% 5.9% 0.9% 0.1% — —
1 25.5% 8.0% 1.3% 0.1% — —
2 17.3% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% — —
3 7.8% 2.5% 0.4% — — —
4 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% — — —
5 0.7% 0.2% — — — —

Recent form

Club Nacional Club Nacional
W Progreso 2–1
L Wanderers 1–2
D Danubio 0–0
W Juventud 2–1
L Deportivo Maldonado 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Boston River Boston River
L Racing Montevideo 1–0
L Penarol 3–0
D Central Espanol 0–0
D Defensor Sporting 1–1
L Liverpool Montevideo 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Club Nacional Club Nacional
Attack
36
Defence
74
Form
61
Boston River Boston River
Attack
15
Defence
63
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Club Nacional
0
Draw
0
Boston River
9 Feb 2026 Primera División 2–1

Primera: Torneo Intermedio - B

# Team G Pts
1 Wanderers Wanderers 7 15
2 Club Nacional Club Nacional 7 13
3 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 7 12
4 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 7 12
5 Juventud Juventud 7 8
6 Albion FC Albion FC 7 6
7 Progreso Progreso 7 6
8 Danubio Danubio 7 4

What's at stake · Primera: Torneo Intermedio - B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Club Nacional Boston River
Current #2 #1
→ Club Nacional #1 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Boston River #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Club Nacional vs Boston River?
The model gives Club Nacional a 63% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 9% for an Boston River win.
How many goals are expected in Club Nacional vs Boston River?
Expected goals: Club Nacional 1.4, Boston River 0.3 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Club Nacional vs Boston River?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.93%.