Primera División
· Apertura - 15
May 11, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Club Nacional
Maximiliano Gómez
20'
Maximiliano Gómez
28'
(pen.)
Maximiliano Gómez
62'
(pen.)
Pável Núñez
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Nacional a 79% win probability (draw 11%, Cerro 9%). The final result was Club Nacional 4–0 Cerro.
Match statistics
Match Events
19'
Matías Ocampo
⚽Maximiliano Gómez
20'
⚽Maximiliano Gómez
(pen.)
28'
46'
Cristian Barros
/
Nahuel Soria
53'
Brahian Alemán
55'
Sebastián Cristóforo
/
Jairo Amaro
⚽Maximiliano Gómez
(pen.)
62'
63'
Augusto Cambón
/
Damián Suárez
Sebastián Coates
67'
Maximiliano Silvera
/ Gonzalo Carneiro
71'
76'
Alejo Macelli
Baltasar Barcia
/ Rodrigo Martínez
78'
Juan De los Santos
/ Tomas Veron Lupi
78'
80'
Santiago Paiva
/
Matías Ocampo
Lucas Rodríguez
/ Juan Ignacio Garcia
87'
Maximiliano Gómez
/ Pável Núñez
87'
⚽Pável Núñez
88'
Pre-match prediction
79.15%
Club ←
11.58%
X
9.26%
Cerro
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Club Nacional)
79.15%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.08
—
—
0.54
—
—
Lineups
1
L. Mejía
G
21
C. Cándido
D
32
T. Viera
D
4
S. Coates
D
S. Coates
D
13
E. Ancheta
D
23
L. Rodríguez
M
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
19
Juan De los Santos
M
Juan De los Santos
M
11
M. Silvera
F
30
B. Barcia
M
9
M. Gómez
3 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Gonzalo Carneiro
F
Gonzalo Carneiro
F
25
Ignacio Suárez
G
56
Juan García
M
6
L. Boggio
M
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
77
N. Rodríguez
D
18
Pável Núñez
1 ⚽
F
15
P. Calione
D
P. Calione
D
31
R. Martinez
F
27
T. Verón
M
25
F. Correa
G
6
Francisco Bregante
D
17
Gianni Rodríguez
D
3
A. Lima
D
5
A. Macelli
M
22
D. Suárez
D
31
J. Amaro
M
10
B. Alemán
M
8
A. Miranda
M
77
Matías Ocampo
M
11
Nahuel Soria
F
Bench
7
A. Severo
F
28
Augusto Cambón
F
27
C. Barros
M
19
E. Sosa
M
23
Martin Farias
D
4
Mateo Argüello
D
35
P. Nongoy
M
29
Santiago Paiva
F
41
Sebastián Cristóforo
M
12
Y. Irrazábal
G
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mejía | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cándido | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Viera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Coates | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ancheta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan De los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Silvera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barcia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gómez | F | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Correa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianni Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lima | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Suárez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Miranda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Ocampo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Soria | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Cerro?
The final score was Club Nacional 4–0 Cerro.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Cerro?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Club Nacional win, 11% to a draw, and 9% to an Cerro win.