Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 7
August 02, 2026 23:30
✓Model correct — prediction Club Nacional
M. Gomez
42'
M. Gomez
89'
78'
F. De Leon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Nacional a 55% win probability (draw 30%, Progreso 14%). The final result was Club Nacional 2–1 Progreso. In 2 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Progreso.
Match statistics
Match Events
E. Ancheta
18'
27'
R. Cristobal
29'
A. Ocampo
⚽M. Gomez
42'
E. Ancheta
/ B. Barcia
46'
59'
J. Silva
/
G. Trasante
59'
A. Codagnone
/
R. Cristobal
T. Veron
/ S. Silva
64'
64'
M. Copelotti
/
M. Juambeltz
M. Silvera
/ T. Correa
74'
L. Boggio
/ B. Zuculini
74'
78'
F. De Leon⚽
M. Gomez
80'
83'
F. Garcia
/
E. Alvarez
83'
F. Kidd
/
F. De Leon
L. Rodriguez
/ P. Nunez
84'
85'
F. Kidd
⚽M. Gomez
89'
Pre-match prediction
55.0%
Club ←
30.08%
X
14.91%
Progreso
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Club Nacional)
55.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
—
—
0.43
—
—
Lineups
1
L. Mejía
G
21
C. Cándido
D
5
F. Calvo
D
F. Calvo
D
2
A. Rogel
D
13
E. Ancheta
D
23
L. Rodríguez
M
6
L. Boggio
M
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
27
T. Verón
M
11
M. Silvera
F
9
M. Gómez
2 ⚽
F
Bench
30
B. Barcia
M
24
Benjamín Núñez
M
36
B. Zuculini
M
40
Juan Bianchi
G
56
Juan García
M
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
18
Pável Núñez
F
15
P. Calione
D
P. Calione
D
8
S. Silva
M
29
T. Correa
F
33
Agustín Requena
G
16
G. Trasante
D
15
M. Martin
D
4
H. Carroso
D
24
E. Álvarez
D
27
G. Silva
D
5
A. Pinheiro
M
7
A. Ocampo
M
25
R. Cristóbal
M
17
F. de León
1 ⚽
M
8
M. Juambeltz
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
14
Facundo Kidd
D
3
Federico García
D
18
G. Silva
M
10
Ignacio Lemmo
M
19
Joaquin Solleiro
F
9
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
12
L. Fernández
G
23
M. Copelotti
F
4
Sosa Giovanni
D
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mejía | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cándido | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Calvo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rogel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ancheta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Boggio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Verón | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Silvera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gómez | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Requena | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Trasante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Martin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ocampo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cristóbal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. de León | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Juambeltz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Progreso?
The final score was Club Nacional 2–1 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Progreso?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Club Nacional win, 30% to a draw, and 14% to an Progreso win.