Primera División
· Clausura - 3
August 23, 2026 23:30
M. Silvera
89'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Nacional a 43% win probability (draw 39%, Progreso 17%). The final result was Club Nacional 1–0 Progreso. In 2 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Progreso.
Match statistics
Match Events
17'
S. Bruschi
29'
M. Saravia
31'
M. Saravia
31'
M. Saravia
34'
F. Garcia
/
S. Bruschi
A. dos Santos
36'
B. Zuculini
/ L. Boggio
46'
A. dos Santos
/ R. Martinez
46'
T. Veron
/ J. De Los Santos
46'
65'
N. Acosta
/
M. Juambeltz
65'
M. Copelotti
/
F. De Leon
A. Rogel
/ R. Botta
70'
76'
L. Couture
/
E. Alvarez
76'
J. Silva
/
A. Ocampo
77'
J. Silva
T. Correa
/ M. Silvera
79'
84'
R. Bacchia
F. Calvo
87'
⚽M. Silvera
89'
Pre-match prediction
43.1%
Club ←
39.37%
X
17.54%
Progreso
we assigned to the actual result (Club Nacional)
43.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
—
—
0.40
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Progreso?
The final score was Club Nacional 1–0 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Progreso?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Club Nacional win, 39% to a draw, and 17% to an Progreso win.