Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 22, 2026 00:00
2'
(ast. A. Barrionuevo)
J. Elias
45'+4
(ast. M. Garay)
I. Russo
90'
(ast. V. Moreno)
E. Cabrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Club Nacional 31%). The final result was Club Nacional 0–3 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.33
Actual xG
1.24
1
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
2
18
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. A. Barrionuevo ·
J. Elias⚽
26'
M. Garay
/
B. Leyes
33'
P. Martinez
39'
S. Lopez
B. Zuculini
45'+3
45'+4
ast. M. Garay ·
I. Russo⚽
B. Barcia
/ P. Nunez
46'
S. Coates
/ A. Rogel
46'
M. Silvera
/ T. Veron
46'
B. Zuculini
49'
B. Zuculini
49'
L. Boggio
/ L. Rodriguez
80'
80'
E. Cabrera
/
P. Martinez
86'
T. Serrago
/
J. Saralegui
86'
S. Medina
/
S. Lopez
90'
ast. V. Moreno ·
E. Cabrera⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.7%
Club
34.33%
X
33.97%
Tigre ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
33.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.33
-0.23
0.82
1.24
+0.42
Tigre dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Alexis Martín Arias
G
Alexis Martín Arias
G
21
Camilo Cándido
D
Camilo Cándido
D
5
Francisco Calvo
D
Francisco Calvo
D
4
Sebastián Coates
45'
D
Sebastián Coates
45'
D
13
Emiliano Ancheta
D
Emiliano Ancheta
D
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
Agustín Dos Santos
M
36
Bruno Zuculini
49'
M
Bruno Zuculini
49'
M
30
Baltasar Barcia
45'
M
Baltasar Barcia
45'
M
6
Luciano Boggio
80'
M
Luciano Boggio
80'
M
11
Maximiliano Silvera
45'
F
Maximiliano Silvera
45'
F
9
Maximiliano Gómez
F
Maximiliano Gómez
F
Bench
2
Agustín Rogel
45'
D
Agustín Rogel
45'
D
24
Benjamín Núñez
D
Benjamín Núñez
D
19
Juan De los Santos
F
Juan De los Santos
F
56
Juan García
M
Juan García
M
23
Lucas Rodríguez
10'
M
Lucas Rodríguez
10'
M
1
Luis Mejía
G
Luis Mejía
G
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
15
Paolo Calione
D
Paolo Calione
D
18
Pável Núñez
45'
F
Pável Núñez
45'
F
31
Rodrigo Martínez
M
Rodrigo Martínez
M
29
Tiziano Correa
F
Tiziano Correa
F
27
Tomas Veron Lupi
45'
F
Tomas Veron Lupi
45'
F
12
Felipe Zenobio
G
Felipe Zenobio
G
3
Nahuel Banegas
D
Nahuel Banegas
D
20
Alan Barrionuevo
1 👟
D
Alan Barrionuevo
1 👟
D
2
Joaquín Laso
D
Joaquín Laso
D
4
Valentín Moreno
1 👟
D
Valentín Moreno
1 👟
D
22
Santiago López
86'
M
Santiago López
86'
M
5
Bruno Leyes
27'
M
Bruno Leyes
27'
M
30
Jalil Elias
1 ⚽
M
Jalil Elias
1 ⚽
M
10
Jabes Saralegui
86'
M
Jabes Saralegui
86'
M
28
Gonzalo Martínez
80'
F
Gonzalo Martínez
80'
F
29
Ignacio Russo
1 ⚽
86'
F
Ignacio Russo
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
10'
F
Alfio Oviedo
10'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
1 ⚽
10'
M
Elías Cabrera
1 ⚽
10'
M
24
Federico Álvarez
D
Federico Álvarez
D
17
Guillermo Soto
D
Guillermo Soto
D
50
Ignacio Peluffo
F
Ignacio Peluffo
F
32
Juan Villalba
D
Juan Villalba
D
40
Luciano Minniti
D
Luciano Minniti
D
1
Luka Fuster
G
Luka Fuster
G
8
Martín Garay
1 👟
63'
M
Martín Garay
1 👟
63'
M
27
Santiago González
M
Santiago González
M
21
Sebastián Medina
10'
M
Sebastián Medina
10'
M
11
Tiago Serrago
10'
M
Tiago Serrago
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Elías Cabrera
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Jalil Elias
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 71 pass
Nahuel Banegas
D · Tigre
7.90
2 shots
· 45 pass
Alan Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Joaquín Laso
D · Tigre
7.70
· 53 pass
Ignacio Russo
F · Tigre
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Camilo Cándido | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Calvo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Coates | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Ancheta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Zuculini | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Baltasar Barcia | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Boggio | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Silvera | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Gómez | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Rogel | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rodríguez | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pável Núñez | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomas Veron Lupi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Zenobio | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Banegas | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 35% | 11 | — | — |
| Alan Barrionuevo | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Valentín Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago López | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Leyes | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jalil Elias | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 71 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Jabes Saralegui | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Martínez | F | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ignacio Russo | F | 86 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alfio Oviedo | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Elías Cabrera | M | 10 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Garay | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 70 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Medina | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Serrago | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Tigre?
The final score was Club Nacional 0–3 Tigre.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Tigre?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Club Nacional win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Tigre win.