Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 22, 2026 00:00
2'
(ast. A. Barrionuevo)
J. Elias
45'+4
(ast. M. Garay)
I. Russo
90'
(ast. V. Moreno)
E. Cabrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Club Nacional 31%). The final result was Club Nacional 0–3 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
0.33
Actual xG
1.24
1
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
2
18
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. A. Barrionuevo ·
J. Elias⚽
26'
M. Garay
/
B. Leyes
33'
P. Martinez
39'
S. Lopez
B. Zuculini
45'+3
45'+4
ast. M. Garay ·
I. Russo⚽
B. Barcia
/ P. Nunez
46'
S. Coates
/ A. Rogel
46'
M. Silvera
/ T. Veron
46'
B. Zuculini
49'
B. Zuculini
49'
L. Boggio
/ L. Rodriguez
80'
80'
E. Cabrera
/
P. Martinez
86'
T. Serrago
/
J. Saralegui
86'
S. Medina
/
S. Lopez
90'
ast. V. Moreno ·
E. Cabrera⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.7%
Club
34.33%
X
33.97%
Tigre ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
33.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.33
-0.23
0.82
1.24
+0.42
Tigre dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
A. Martín Arias
G
21
C. Cándido
D
5
F. Calvo
D
F. Calvo
D
4
S. Coates
45'
D
S. Coates
45'
D
13
E. Ancheta
D
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
36
B. Zuculini
49'
M
30
B. Barcia
45'
M
6
L. Boggio
80'
M
11
M. Silvera
45'
F
9
M. Gómez
F
Bench
2
A. Rogel
45'
D
24
Benjamín Núñez
D
19
Juan De los Santos
F
Juan De los Santos
F
56
Juan García
M
1
L. Mejía
G
23
L. Rodríguez
10'
M
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
18
Pável Núñez
45'
F
15
P. Calione
D
P. Calione
D
31
R. Martinez
M
29
T. Correa
F
27
T. Verón
45'
F
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
1 👟
D
A. Barrionuevo
1 👟
D
2
J. Laso
D
J. Laso
D
4
V. Moreno
1 👟
D
V. Moreno
1 👟
D
22
S. López
86'
M
S. López
86'
M
5
B. Leyes
27'
M
B. Leyes
27'
M
30
J. Elías
1 ⚽
M
J. Elías
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Saralegui
86'
M
J. Saralegui
86'
M
28
P. Martínez
80'
F
P. Martínez
80'
F
29
I. Russo
1 ⚽
86'
F
I. Russo
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
19
A. Oviedo
10'
F
A. Oviedo
10'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
1 ⚽
10'
M
Elías Cabrera
1 ⚽
10'
M
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
50
I. Peluffo
F
I. Peluffo
F
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
40
L. Minniti
D
L. Minniti
D
1
Luka Fuster
G
Luka Fuster
G
8
M. Garay
1 👟
63'
M
M. Garay
1 👟
63'
M
27
S. González
M
S. González
M
21
S. Medina
10'
M
S. Medina
10'
M
11
T. Serrago
10'
M
T. Serrago
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Elías Cabrera
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
J. Elías
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 71 pass
N. Banegas
D · Tigre
7.90
2 shots
· 45 pass
A. Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
J. Laso
D · Tigre
7.70
· 53 pass
I. Russo
F · Tigre
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martín Arias | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Cándido | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Calvo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | — | — | — |
| S. Coates | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Ancheta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Zuculini | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| B. Barcia | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Boggio | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Silvera | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gómez | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rogel | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pável Núñez | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Verón | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Banegas | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 35% | 11 | — | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Laso | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 71 | 66% | — | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Martínez | F | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Russo | F | 86 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Oviedo | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Elías Cabrera | M | 10 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 70 | 64% | — | — | — |
| S. Medina | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Serrago | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Tigre?
The final score was Club Nacional 0–3 Tigre.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Tigre?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Club Nacional win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Tigre win.