Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Nacional a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Universitario 26%). The final result was Club Nacional 0–0 Universitario. In 1 previous meetings, Club Nacional have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universitario.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
0.29
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
5
18
Tackles
29
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Lucas Rodríguez
/ Luciano Boggio
11'
40'
Caín Fara
Emiliano Ancheta
/ Nico López
46'
Juan De los Santos
/ Gonzalo Carneiro
70'
Maximiliano Silvera
/ Pável Núñez
70'
81'
Hugo Ancajima
/
Andy Polo
81'
Jorge Murrugarra
/
Jairo Concha
81'
Edison Flores
/
Lisandro Alzugaray
Baltasar Barcia
/ Tomas Veron Lupi
84'
87'
Jesús Castillo
/
Héctor Fértoli
90'
Sekou Gassama
/
Alex Valera
Pre-match prediction
47.5%
Club
25.64%
X ←
26.87%
Universitario
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
0.29
-1.13
1.00
0.60
-0.4
Universitario dominated by xG (0.60 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luis Mejía
G
21
Camilo Cándido
D
32
Tomás Viera
D
4
S. Coates
D
S. Coates
D
13
Emiliano Ancheta
45'
D
19
Juan De los Santos
70'
M
23
Lucas Rodríguez
11'
M
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
30
Baltasar Barcia
84'
M
11
Maximiliano Silvera
70'
F
9
Maximiliano Gómez
F
Bench
2
Agustín Rogel
D
20
Gonzalo Carneiro
20'
F
Gonzalo Carneiro
20'
F
25
Ignacio Suárez
G
5
Juan Pintado
D
Juan Pintado
D
6
Luciano Boggio
79'
M
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
M
77
Nicolás Rodríguez
D
7
Nico López
45'
F
Nico López
45'
F
18
Pável Núñez
20'
F
15
P. Calione
D
P. Calione
D
31
Rodrigo Martínez
F
27
Tomas Veron Lupi
13'
F
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
4
A. Santamaría
D
A. Santamaría
D
27
J. Carabalí
M
J. Carabalí
M
17
Jairo Concha
81'
M
Jairo Concha
81'
M
8
H. Fértoli
87'
M
H. Fértoli
87'
M
16
Martín Pérez Guedes
M
Martín Pérez Guedes
M
24
A. Polo
81'
M
A. Polo
81'
M
20
Alex Valera
89'
F
Alex Valera
89'
F
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
81'
F
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
81'
F
Bench
29
A. Corzo
D
A. Corzo
D
77
B. Reyna
F
B. Reyna
F
33
César Inga
D
César Inga
D
1
Diego Romero
G
Diego Romero
G
19
É. Flores
9'
M
É. Flores
9'
M
26
H. Ancajima
9'
D
H. Ancajima
9'
D
6
Jesús Castillo
10'
M
Jesús Castillo
10'
M
23
J. Murrugarra
9'
M
J. Murrugarra
9'
M
5
M. Di Benedetto
D
M. Di Benedetto
D
99
Miguel Silveira
M
Miguel Silveira
M
14
P. Reyna
D
P. Reyna
D
90
Sekou Gassama
1'
F
Sekou Gassama
1'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Carabalí
M · Universitario
8.30
· 43 pass
M. Vargas
G · Universitario
7.90
· 23 pass
Luis Mejía
G · Club
7.70
· 20 pass
A. Santamaría
D · Universitario
7.50
· 30 pass
S. Coates
D · Club
7.30
1 shots
· 44 pass
C. Fara
D · Universitario
7.30
· 27 pass
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Mejía | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Camilo Cándido | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Viera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Coates | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Ancheta | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan De los Santos | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Rodríguez | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Baltasar Barcia | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Silvera | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Gómez | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Carneiro | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Boggio | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Nico López | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pável Núñez | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Veron Lupi | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vargas | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Santamaría | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 11 | — | — |
| Jairo Concha | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Fértoli | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Martín Pérez Guedes | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 53 | 42% | — | — | — |
| A. Polo | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Alex Valera | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | F | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| É. Flores | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Ancajima | D | 9 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Gassama | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Nacional vs Universitario?
The final score was Club Nacional 0–0 Universitario.
What did the model predict before Club Nacional vs Universitario?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Club Nacional win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Universitario win.