Mateo Coronel
(ast. Iker Benito Sánchez)
33'
(pen.)
19'
Andrés Montaño
44'
(ast. Jesús Orozco)
Nicolás Ibañez
45'+2
(ast. Andrés Montaño)
Osinachi Ebere
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 53% win probability (draw 20%, Club Queretaro 25%). The final result was Club Queretaro 1–3 Cruz Azul. In 2 previous meetings, Club Queretaro have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
7
1.26
Actual xG
1.73
4
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
8
Corners
6
12
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
Amaury García
17'
19'
(pen.)
Andrés Montaño⚽
Mateo Coronel
27'
⚽Mateo Coronel
· ast. Iker Benito Sánchez
33'
44'
ast. Jesús Orozco ·
Nicolás Ibañez⚽
45'+2
ast. Andrés Montaño ·
Osinachi Ebere⚽
45'+3
Bayron Duarte
/ Carlos Villanueva
45'
60'
Luka Romero
/
Osinachi Ebere
60'
Ángel Márquez
/
Rogelio Gonzalez
60'
Jorge Rodarte
/
Amaury García
Iker Benito Sánchez
/ Denilson Muñoz
67'
71'
Carlos Rodriguez
/
Agustín Palavecino
Ali Ávila
/ Paulo Victor
78'
Bernardo Parra
/ Jesús Arellano
79'
80'
Carlos Rotondi
/
Andrés Montaño
Daniel Parra
/ Eduardo Perez
84'
Pre-match prediction
25.17%
Club
20.85%
X
53.98%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
53.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.26
-0.42
2.92
1.73
-1.19
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G. Allison
G
G. Allison
G
27
D. Parra
84'
D
D. Parra
84'
D
2
L. Abascia
D
L. Abascia
D
13
D. Reyes
D
D. Reyes
D
24
B. Duarte
45'
D
B. Duarte
45'
D
8
B. Parra
79'
M
B. Parra
79'
M
4
Carlo Adriano
M
Carlo Adriano
M
7
Iker Benito
1 👟
67'
M
Iker Benito
1 👟
67'
M
11
M. Coronel
1 ⚽
M
M. Coronel
1 ⚽
M
16
E. Giménez
M
E. Giménez
M
9
A. Ávila
78'
F
A. Ávila
78'
F
Bench
15
C. Villanueva
45'
D
C. Villanueva
45'
D
17
D. Muñoz
23'
M
D. Muñoz
23'
M
26
E. Pérez
6'
F
E. Pérez
6'
F
28
J. Arellano
11'
M
J. Arellano
11'
M
1
J. Hernández
G
J. Hernández
G
30
J. Martinez
M
J. Martinez
M
23
J. Robles
M
J. Robles
M
12
Paulo Victor
12'
D
Paulo Victor
12'
D
29
W. Madrid
M
W. Madrid
M
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
3
O. Campos
D
O. Campos
D
5
J. Orozco
1 👟
D
J. Orozco
1 👟
D
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
55
R. Gonzalez
60'
D
R. Gonzalez
60'
D
6
É. Lira
M
É. Lira
M
17
A. García
60'
M
A. García
60'
M
11
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
60'
M
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
60'
M
10
A. Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
A. Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
8
A. Palavecino
71'
M
A. Palavecino
71'
M
7
N. Ibáñez
1 ⚽
F
N. Ibáñez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
A. Montes
D
A. Montes
D
2
A. Mozo
D
A. Mozo
D
60
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
19
C. Rodríguez
19'
M
C. Rodríguez
19'
M
29
C. Rotondi
10'
F
C. Rotondi
10'
F
21
G. Fernández
F
G. Fernández
F
16
J. Márquez
30'
M
J. Márquez
30'
M
22
J. Rodarte
30'
D
J. Rodarte
30'
D
23
K. Mier
G
K. Mier
G
18
L. Romero
30'
F
L. Romero
30'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Ibáñez
F · Cruz
7.86
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
A. Montaño
M · Cruz
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 35 pass
C. Ebere
M · Cruz
7.68
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
G. Piovi
D · Cruz
7.46
1 shots
· 70 pass
J. Orozco
D · Cruz
7.21
1 👟
· 53 pass
M. Coronel
M · Club
7.01
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
Club Queretaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allison | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Parra | D | 84 | 4.80 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Abascia | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Reyes | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Duarte | D | 45 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Parra | M | 79 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlo Adriano | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| Iker Benito | M | 67 | 6.33 | — | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Coronel | M | 90 | 7.01 | 1 | — | 4 | 24 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 90 | 5.33 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ávila | F | 78 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Villanueva | D | 45 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 23 | 5.80 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Pérez | F | 6 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arellano | M | 11 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | D | 12 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gudiño | G | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 90 | 7.21 | — | 1 | 0 | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 90 | 7.46 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gonzalez | D | 60 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| É. Lira | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| A. García | M | 60 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Ebere | M | 60 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 71 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 90 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 19 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | F | 10 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | M | 30 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rodarte | D | 30 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 30 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Club Queretaro 1–3 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Club Queretaro win, 20% to a draw, and 53% to an Cruz Azul win.