División Profesional · Apertura - 16 April 11, 2026 03:30

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

#12 · 11 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Club Guarani

#6 · 26 pts

M. Aguero (ast. H. Villamayor) 72'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Guarani a 34% win probability (draw 37%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 27%). The final result was Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club Guarani. In 1 previous meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Club Guarani.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

3

1.37

Actual xG

2.35

46%

Possession

54%

2

Corners

3

Match Events

D. Meza Montiel

13'

55'

G. Gomez / L. Martinez ↕

61'

A. Manzur / P. Tanda ↕

61'

D. Rodriguez / Jhon Sanchez ↕

↕ J. Barrios / C. Colman

64'

↕ J. Duarte / L. Esteche

64'

70'

D. Perez

⚽M. Aguero · ast. H. Villamayor

72'

76'

R. Torales / D. Perez ↕

76'

K. Ferreira Gonzalez / D. Fernandez ↕

↕ M. Aguero / M. Lopez

81'

↕ H. Villamayor / M. Alfonso

85'

↕ A. Galeano / A. Oviedo

85'

L. Franco

90'+3

90'+4

D. Rodriguez

Pre-match prediction

27.87%

Club ←

37.23%

X

34.9%

Club

we assigned to the actual result (Club Sp. San Lorenzo) 27.87% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Club

0.64

1.37

+0.73

Club

0.81

2.35

+1.54

Club Guarani dominated by xG (2.35 vs 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Olimpia	20	43
2	Nacional Asuncion	20	35
3	Cerro Porteno	20	35
4	Sportivo Ameliano	20	33
5	Libertad Asuncion	21	31
6	Club Guarani	20	26
7	Sportivo Trinidense	20	26
8	Deportivo Recoleta	20	25
9	2 de Mayo	21	22
10	Rubio NU	20	22
11	Sportivo Luqueno	20	19
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	20	11