G. Mora
53'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Tijuana a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Leon 32%). The final result was Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon. In 2 previous meetings, Club Tijuana have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leon.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
1.93
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
10
25
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
28'
D. Arcila
43'
B. Colula
⚽M. El Ghezouani
(missed pen.)
44'
46'
F. Beltran Cruz
/
D. Arcila
A. Zapata
/ G. Mora
46'
46'
E. Guerra
/
A. Alvarado
⚽G. Mora
(pen.)
53'
R. Arciga
/ A. Vega
67'
M. El Ghezouani
/ D. Abreu
67'
71'
I. Moreno
/
R. Echeverria
71'
L. Valadez
/
B. Colula
79'
J. Lara
/
S. Reyes
Y. Padilla
/ A. Mejia
81'
Pre-match prediction
35.14%
Club ←
31.95%
X
32.92%
Leon
we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana)
35.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.93
+0.44
1.94
0.75
-1.19
Club Tijuana dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
2
A. Rodríguez
G
A. Rodríguez
G
33
P. Ortíz
D
P. Ortíz
D
6
A. Gómez
D
A. Gómez
D
12
J. Porozo
D
J. Porozo
D
3
R. Fernández
D
R. Fernández
D
8
I. Tona
M
I. Tona
M
7
Adonis Preciado
M
Adonis Preciado
M
31
Y. Padilla
81'
M
Y. Padilla
81'
M
20
Á. Zapata
45'
M
Á. Zapata
45'
M
17
R. Árciga
67'
M
R. Árciga
67'
M
9
Mourad
67'
F
Mourad
67'
F
Bench
188
A. Magallon
D
A. Magallon
D
18
A. Mejía
14'
F
A. Mejía
14'
F
26
A. Perez
M
A. Perez
M
19
D. Abreu
28'
F
D. Abreu
28'
F
34
F. Boya
M
F. Boya
M
10
G. Mora
1 ⚽
50'
M
G. Mora
1 ⚽
50'
M
197
J. Orduno
M
J. Orduno
M
16
J. Vega
28'
D
J. Vega
28'
D
29
S. Hernández
G
S. Hernández
G
4
Unai Bilbao
D
Unai Bilbao
D
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
26
S. Reyes
79'
D
S. Reyes
79'
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
14
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
4
B. Colula
71'
D
B. Colula
71'
D
29
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
20
R. Echeverría
71'
M
R. Echeverría
71'
M
11
I. Díaz
M
I. Díaz
M
13
D. Arcila
45'
M
D. Arcila
45'
M
16
J. Cortizo
M
J. Cortizo
M
19
J. Alvarado
45'
F
J. Alvarado
45'
F
Bench
185
Christopher Mora
D
Christopher Mora
D
18
E. Guerra
50'
M
E. Guerra
50'
M
6
F. Beltrán
50'
M
F. Beltrán
50'
M
7
I. Moreno
24'
D
I. Moreno
24'
D
203
J. Lara
16'
D
J. Lara
16'
D
1
Jordan García
G
Jordan García
G
35
Luis Valadez
24'
M
Luis Valadez
24'
M
25
P. Bellón
D
P. Bellón
D
22
S. Santos
M
S. Santos
M
5
S. Vegas
D
S. Vegas
D
Best on the pitch
G. Mora
M · Club
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
A. Gómez
D · Club
7.70
· 62 pass
Adonis Preciado
M · Club
7.70
1 shots
· 20 pass
Ó. García
G · Leon
7.30
· 22 pass
J. Porozo
D · Club
7.20
· 40 pass
R. Fernández
D · Club
7.20
· 30 pass
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rodríguez | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| P. Ortíz | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Porozo | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Fernández | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Tona | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Adonis Preciado | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Padilla | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Zapata | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Árciga | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 6 | — | — |
| Mourad | F | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mejía | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mora | M | 50 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Vega | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Reyes | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 75% | — | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cortizo | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Alvarado | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Guerra | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Lara | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Valadez | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Tijuana vs Leon?
The final score was Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon.
What did the model predict before Club Tijuana vs Leon?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Club Tijuana win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Leon win.