Club Tijuana 3–1 CF Pachuca — pre-match prediction — Liga MX — April 23, 2026

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Liga MX · Clausura - 16 April 23, 2026 05:06 Estadio Caliente , Tijuana

Club Tijuana

#8 · 20 pts

3 – 1

Final score

CF Pachuca

#13 · 16 pts

G. Mora 33'

D. Abreu (ast. R. Arciga) 37'

J. Martinez 82' (pen.)

90'+6 V. Guzman

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Tijuana a 41% win probability (draw 25%, CF Pachuca 32%). The final result was Club Tijuana 3–1 CF Pachuca. In 2 previous meetings, Club Tijuana have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for CF Pachuca.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.24

Actual xG

0.38

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

25'

31'

C. Alfaro

⚽G. Mora (missed pen.)

33'

⚽G. Mora

33'

⚽D. Abreu · ast. R. Arciga

37'

46'

G. Alvarez / A. Dominguez ↕

58'

V. Guzman / C. Rivera ↕

62'

V. Guzman

R. Inzunza

64'

↕ G. Mora / D. Blanco

67'

↕ R. Arciga / A. Preciado

67'

↕ P. N. Ortiz Orozco / U. Bilbao

67'

74'

Kenedy / A. Bautista ↕

74'

S. Rondon / L. Quinones ↕

↕ D. Abreu / J. Martinez

77'

↕ K. Castaneda / F. Boya

77'

79'

S. Rodriguez

⚽J. Martinez (pen.)

82'

R. Inzunza

84'

R. Inzunza

84'

I. Tona

87'

E. Valencia

88'

J. Berlanga / Eduardo Bauermann ↕

90'+1

E. Valencia

90'+1

E. Valencia

90'+6

V. Guzman⚽

Pre-match prediction

41.94%

Club ←

25.13%

32.93%

we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana) 41.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Club

1.57

3.24

+1.67

1.39

0.38

-1.01

Club Tijuana dominated by xG (3.24 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	13	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	26
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	26
4	Atlas	14	24
5	Toluca	14	23
6	Leon	14	22
7	Monterrey	13	20
8	Club Tijuana	13	20
9	Club Queretaro	13	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	19
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	17
13	CF Pachuca	14	16
14	Puebla	14	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	15
16	Atlante FC	14	14
17	Necaxa	14	10
18	FC Juarez	14	5

Lineups

Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1

G 7.20

P. Ortíz 67' D 7.00

A. Gómez D 7.20

D 6.20

R. Fernández 84' D 6.20

I. Tona M 7.30

G. Mora 1 ⚽ 67' M 6.90

I. Rivero M 6.60

K. Castañeda 77' M 6.90

R. Árciga 1 👟 67' M 7.00

D. Abreu 1 ⚽ 77' F 8.00

Bench

A. Perez M

Á. Zapata M

D. Blanco 23' M 6.70

Josef Martínez 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.20

Mourad F

CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1

C. Moreno G 8.30

B. García D 6.20

184

C. Alfaro D 5.30

Eduardo Bauermann 88' D 6.00

D 6.20

C. Rivera 58' M 6.90

188

S. Rodríguez M 5.90

Alexei Domínguez 45' M 6.30

Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez 74' M 6.50

Luis Quiñones 74' M 6.30

E. Valencia F 6.20

Bench

C. Sánchez D

Kenedy 16' M 6.50

O. Idrissi F

P. Pedraza M

S. Rondón 16' F 6.70

V. Guzmán 1 ⚽ 32' M 7.20

Best on the pitch

C. Moreno

G · CF

8.30

· 25 pass

D. Abreu

F · Club

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

I. Tona

M · Club

7.30

· 71 pass

V. Guzmán

M · CF

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

Josef Martínez

F · Club

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

G · Club

7.20

· 47 pass

Club Tijuana — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
P. Ortíz	D	67	7.00	—	—	2	35	31%	2	—	—
A. Gómez	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	88	73%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	55	49%	1	—	—
R. Fernández	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	43	36%	2	2	1
I. Tona	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	71	65%	3	1	—
G. Mora	M	67	6.90	1	—	4	33	29%	2	—	—
I. Rivero	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	33	25%	1	—	—
K. Castañeda	M	77	6.90	—	—	2	39	31%	1	—	—
R. Árciga	M	67	7.00	—	1	1	20	15%	—	—	—
D. Abreu	F	77	8.00	1	—	3	13	9%	—	—	—
D. Blanco	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
Josef Martínez	F	13	7.20	1	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—

CF Pachuca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Moreno	G	90	8.30	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
B. García	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	57	45%	1	—	—
C. Alfaro	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	37	31%	—	1	—
Eduardo Bauermann	D	88	6.00	—	—	—	34	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	36	21%	5	—	—
C. Rivera	M	58	6.90	—	—	—	39	38%	2	—	—
S. Rodríguez	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	33	26%	2	1	—
Alexei Domínguez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez	M	74	6.50	—	—	—	27	16%	—	—	—
Luis Quiñones	M	74	6.30	—	—	1	29	23%	—	—	—
E. Valencia	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	21	17%	2	2	1
Kenedy	M	16	6.50	—	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
S. Rondón	F	16	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
V. Guzmán	M	32	7.20	1	—	1	20	17%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca?

The final score was Club Tijuana 3–1 CF Pachuca.

What did the model predict before Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Club Tijuana win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an CF Pachuca win.