Liga MX
· Clausura - 16
April 23, 2026 05:06
G. Mora
33'
D. Abreu
(ast. R. Arciga)
37'
J. Martinez
82'
(pen.)
90'+6
V. Guzman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club Tijuana a 41% win probability (draw 25%, CF Pachuca 32%). The final result was Club Tijuana 3–1 CF Pachuca. In 1 previous meetings, Club Tijuana have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
2
3.24
Actual xG
0.38
2
Saves
7
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
31'
C. Alfaro
⚽G. Mora
(missed pen.)
33'
⚽G. Mora
33'
⚽D. Abreu
· ast. R. Arciga
37'
46'
G. Alvarez
/
A. Dominguez
58'
V. Guzman
/
C. Rivera
62'
V. Guzman
R. Inzunza
64'
G. Mora
/ D. Blanco
67'
R. Arciga
/ A. Preciado
67'
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
/ U. Bilbao
67'
74'
Kenedy
/
A. Bautista
74'
S. Rondon
/
L. Quinones
D. Abreu
/ J. Martinez
77'
K. Castaneda
/ F. Boya
77'
79'
S. Rodriguez
⚽J. Martinez
(pen.)
82'
R. Inzunza
84'
R. Inzunza
84'
I. Tona
87'
87'
E. Valencia
88'
J. Berlanga
/
Eduardo Bauermann
90'+1
E. Valencia
90'+1
E. Valencia
90'+6
V. Guzman⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.94%
Club ←
25.13%
X
32.93%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana)
41.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
3.24
+1.67
1.39
0.38
-1.01
Club Tijuana dominated by xG (3.24 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
2
G
33
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
67'
D
6
A. Gomez
D
12
D
3
R. Inzunza
84'
D
8
I. Tona
M
19
G. Mora
1 ⚽
67'
M
22
I. Rivero
M
10
K. Castaneda
77'
M
17
R. Arciga
1 👟
67'
M
31
D. Abreu
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
26
A. Perez
M
20
A. Zapata
M
27
D. Blanco
23'
M
30
J. Martinez
1 ⚽
13'
F
9
M. El Ghezouani
F
25
Carlos Moreno
G
Carlos Moreno
G
12
Brian García
D
Brian García
D
184
C. Alfaro
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
88'
D
Eduardo Bauermann
88'
D
21
D
16
Christian Rivera
58'
M
Christian Rivera
58'
M
188
Sergio Rodríguez
M
Sergio Rodríguez
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
45'
M
Alexei Domínguez
45'
M
26
Alan Bautista
74'
M
Alan Bautista
74'
M
7
Luis Quiñones
74'
M
Luis Quiñones
74'
M
10
Enner Valencia
F
Enner Valencia
F
Bench
14
Carlos Sánchez
D
Carlos Sánchez
D
29
Kenedy
16'
M
Kenedy
16'
M
11
Oussama Idrissi
F
Oussama Idrissi
F
5
Pedro Pedraza
M
Pedro Pedraza
M
23
Salomón Rondón
16'
F
Salomón Rondón
16'
F
8
Víctor Guzmán
1 ⚽
32'
M
Víctor Guzmán
1 ⚽
32'
M
Best on the pitch
Carlos Moreno
G · CF
8.30
· 25 pass
D. Abreu
F · Club
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
I. Tona
M · Club
7.30
· 71 pass
Víctor Guzmán
M · CF
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
J. Martinez
F · Club
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
G · Club
7.20
· 47 pass
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| P. N. Ortiz Orozco | D | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gomez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Inzunza | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| I. Tona | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Mora | M | 67 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Rivero | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Castaneda | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Arciga | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 77 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Blanco | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Martinez | F | 13 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Alfaro | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | 5 | — | — | |
| Christian Rivera | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Alan Bautista | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Enner Valencia | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Kenedy | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Salomón Rondón | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | M | 32 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Club Tijuana 3–1 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Club Tijuana win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an CF Pachuca win.