K. Castaneda
(ast. R. Inzunza)
22'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Club Tijuana 33%). The final result was Club Tijuana 1–0 Tigres UANL. In 4 previous meetings, Club Tijuana have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
6
0.22
Actual xG
0.90
5
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
7
26
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽K. Castaneda
· ast. R. Inzunza
22'
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
45'
A. Perez
/ D. Blanco
46'
46'
R. Aguirre
/
Simeone
46'
M. Flores
/
O. Herrera
62'
V. Lorona
64'
C. Araujo
/
J. Brunetta
71'
D. Lainez
A. Gomez
71'
D. Blanco
71'
71'
R. Aguirre
M. El Ghezouani
/ D. Abreu
74'
R. Arciga
/ A. Preciado
74'
74'
J. Sanchez
/
V. Lorona
75'
A. Gignac
/
Romulo
K. Castaneda
79'
K. Castaneda
/ U. Bilbao
79'
I. Tona
82'
R. Inzunza
/ A. Zapata
90'+1
90'
F. Gorriaran
Pre-match prediction
33.62%
Club ←
29.6%
X
36.78%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana)
33.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.22
-0.74
1.23
0.90
-0.33
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (0.90 vs 0.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
2
G
33
P. Ortíz
D
P. Ortíz
D
6
A. Gómez
D
A. Gómez
D
12
D
3
R. Fernández
1 👟
89'
D
R. Fernández
1 👟
89'
D
10
K. Castañeda
1 ⚽
79'
M
K. Castañeda
1 ⚽
79'
M
22
I. Rivero
M
I. Rivero
M
8
I. Tona
M
I. Tona
M
17
R. Árciga
74'
M
R. Árciga
74'
M
9
Mourad
75'
F
Mourad
75'
F
26
A. Perez
45'
F
A. Perez
45'
F
Bench
20
Á. Zapata
1'
M
Á. Zapata
1'
M
31
D. Abreu
15'
F
D. Abreu
15'
F
27
D. Blanco
45'
M
D. Blanco
45'
M
30
Josef Martínez
F
Josef Martínez
F
1
G
32
V. Loroña
75'
D
V. Loroña
75'
D
23
Rômulo
75'
D
Rômulo
75'
D
28
Joaquim
D
Joaquim
D
14
J. Garza
J. Garza
8
F. Gorriarán
M
F. Gorriarán
M
77
O. Herrera
45'
M
O. Herrera
45'
M
11
J. Brunetta
64'
M
J. Brunetta
64'
M
204
Simeone
45'
M
Simeone
45'
M
16
D. Lainez
M
D. Lainez
M
7
Á. Correa
F
Á. Correa
F
Bench
10
André-Pierre Gignac
15'
F
André-Pierre Gignac
15'
F
5
C. Araújo
26'
M
C. Araújo
26'
M
2
Francisco Reyes
D
Francisco Reyes
D
20
Marcelo Flores
45'
M
Marcelo Flores
45'
M
17
R. Aguirre
45'
F
R. Aguirre
45'
F
33
R. Guerrero
D
R. Guerrero
D
Best on the pitch
D · Club
8.50
· 33 pass
G · Club
8.30
· 34 pass
K. Castañeda
M · Club
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
Á. Correa
F · Tigres
7.70
3 shots
· 28 pass
I. Tona
M · Club
7.50
· 56 pass
Joaquim
D · Tigres
7.50
· 54 pass
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| P. Ortíz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 5 | — | — | |
| R. Fernández | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Castañeda | M | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Rivero | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Tona | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Árciga | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Mourad | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Perez | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Zapata | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Blanco | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| V. Loroña | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rômulo | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquim | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Garza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F. Gorriarán | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Herrera | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Brunetta | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Simeone | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Lainez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Á. Correa | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| André-Pierre Gignac | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Araújo | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Flores | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was Club Tijuana 1–0 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Club Tijuana win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Tigres UANL win.