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✗Model wrong — prediction Cobresal, result Draw
Guillermo Pacheco 90'+5
88' (ast. Iam Gonzalez) Luis Rojas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cobresal a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Universidad de Concepcion 17%). The final result was Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion. In 1 previous meetings, Cobresal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universidad de Concepcion.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
7
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
5
11
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Juan Fuentes
41'
Cesar Yanis
44'
↕ Martín Espinoza / Franco Frias
45'
45'
Iam Gonzalez / T. Roco ↕
↕ Matias Alejandro Olguín Lucero / Alejandro Santander
54'
62'
Rodrigo Francisco Sandoval Muñoz
62'
↕ Leroy Janpol Morales Napa / Aaron Astudillo
68'
76'
Luis Rojas / Facundo Mater ↕
77'
Rogelio Funes / Cecilio Waterman ↕
79'
Antonio Diaz / Yerco Oyanedel ↕
80'
Bryan Ogaz
88'
ast. Iam Gonzalez · Luis Rojas⚽
⚽Guillermo Pacheco
90'+5
90'+5
diego sabando / Harol Salgado ↕
Aaron Astudillo
90'
90'
Luis Rojas
Pre-match prediction
62.34%
Cobresal
20.32%
X ←
17.34%
Universidad
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cobresal
2.01
1.15
-0.86
Universidad
0.74
0.63
-0.1
Cobresal dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 26 58
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 25 48
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 25 43
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 25 39
5 Palestino Palestino 25 38
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 25 37
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 25 35
8 Nublense Nublense 25 35
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 25 33
10 Concepción Concepción 25 32
11 Huachipato Huachipato 24 32
12 A. Italiano A. Italiano 25 30
13 O'Higgins O'Higgins 25 28
14 Cobresal Cobresal 25 26
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 26 23
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 26 21
Lineups
Cobresal Cobresal 4-2-3-1
36 M. Olguin M. Olguin 54' G 6.20
15 A. Castillo A. Castillo D 7.06
4 R. Sandoval R. Sandoval 62' D 6.53
20 J. Tiznado J. Tiznado D 7.26
23 G. Pacheco G. Pacheco 1 ⚽ D 8.36
38 F. Villagrán F. Villagrán M 7.20
17 J. Fuentes J. Fuentes M 6.33
11 J. Brea J. Brea M 6.86
39 L. Morales L. Morales 68' M 6.63
7 C. Yanis C. Yanis M 6.46
37 Martin Espinoza Martin Espinoza 46' F 6.41
Bench
22 A. Astudillo A. Astudillo 22' D 6.28
13 Benjamin Valenzuela Benjamin Valenzuela M 0.00
3 Benjamin Villarroel Benjamin Villarroel D 0.00
6 E. Valencia E. Valencia M 0.00
32 F. Frías F. Frías 44' F 6.79
12 J. Santander J. Santander 36' G 6.74
14 R. Huerta R. Huerta F 0.00
8 S. Pino S. Pino F 0.00
43 V. Campos V. Campos D 0.00
1 J. Broun J. Broun G 8.68
15 Y. Oyanedel Y. Oyanedel 79' D 6.11
3 M. Barbieri M. Barbieri D 6.84
17 M. González M. González D 6.76
32 B. Saez B. Saez D 6.68
10 J. Fuentealba J. Fuentealba M 7.20
16 B. Ogaz B. Ogaz M 6.36
8 F. Mater F. Mater 76' M 6.05
26 T. Roco T. Roco 46' F 6.15
18 C. Waterman C. Waterman 77' F 6.56
25 H. Salgado H. Salgado F 6.68
Bench
11 A. Díaz A. Díaz 11' F 6.45
29 D. Sabando D. Sabando F 0.00
34 F. Herrera F. Herrera M 0.00
7 I. González I. González 1 👟 44' F 7.01
21 J. Espejo J. Espejo D 0.00
13 J. Sanhueza J. Sanhueza G 0.00
20 L. Rojas L. Rojas 1 ⚽ 14' M 7.51
22 R. Funes Mori R. Funes Mori 13' F 6.53
Best on the pitch
J. Broun
J. Broun
G · Universidad
8.68
· 37 pass
G. Pacheco
G. Pacheco
D · Cobresal
8.36
1 ⚽
5 shots · 30 pass
L. Rojas
L. Rojas
M · Universidad
7.51
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
J. Tiznado
J. Tiznado
D · Cobresal
7.26
· 46 pass
J. Fuentealba
J. Fuentealba
M · Universidad
7.20
2 shots · 40 pass
F. Villagrán
F. Villagrán
M · Cobresal
7.20
4 shots · 43 pass
Cobresal Cobresal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Olguin G 54 6.20 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
A. Castillo D 90 7.06 — — 0 37 32% 2 — —
R. Sandoval D 62 6.53 — — 0 37 33% 2 — 1
J. Tiznado D 90 7.26 — — 0 46 42% 0 — —
G. Pacheco D 90 8.36 1 — 5 30 27% 4 — —
F. Villagrán M 90 7.20 — — 4 43 37% 1 — —
J. Fuentes M 90 6.33 — — 2 43 38% 0 1 —
J. Brea M 90 6.86 — — 5 17 14% 1 — —
L. Morales M 68 6.63 — — 0 19 15% 1 — —
C. Yanis M 90 6.46 — — 4 36 29% 0 1 —
Martin Espinoza F 46 6.41 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
A. Astudillo D 22 6.28 — — 0 4 4% 0 1 —
F. Frías F 44 6.79 — — 2 5 4% 0 — —
J. Santander G 36 6.74 — — 0 13 8% 0 — —
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Broun G 90 8.68 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
Y. Oyanedel D 79 6.11 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
M. Barbieri D 90 6.84 — — 1 44 36% 1 — —
M. González D 90 6.76 — — 0 44 35% 1 — —
B. Saez D 90 6.68 — — 1 23 18% 0 — —
J. Fuentealba M 90 7.20 — — 2 40 35% 2 — —
B. Ogaz M 90 6.36 — — 1 66 62% 0 1 —
F. Mater M 76 6.05 — — 2 24 20% 0 — —
T. Roco F 46 6.15 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
C. Waterman F 77 6.56 — — 3 10 9% 0 — —
H. Salgado F 95 6.68 — — 0 27 25% 3 — —
A. Díaz F 11 6.45 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
I. González F 44 7.01 — 1 1 6 5% 0 — —
L. Rojas M 14 7.51 1 — 2 9 8% 0 1 —
R. Funes Mori F 13 6.53 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The final score was Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion.
What did the model predict before Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Cobresal win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Universidad de Concepcion win.