Primera División
· Regular Season - 24
October 10, 2026 20:00
Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
✗Model wrong — prediction Cobresal, result Draw
Guillermo Pacheco
90'+5
88'
(ast. Iam Gonzalez)
Luis Rojas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cobresal a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Universidad de Concepcion 17%). The final result was Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion. In 1 previous meetings, Cobresal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universidad de Concepcion.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
14
8
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
7
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
5
11
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Juan Fuentes
41'
Cesar Yanis
44'
Martín Espinoza
/ Franco Frias
45'
45'
Iam Gonzalez
/
T. Roco
Matias Alejandro Olguín Lucero
/ Alejandro Santander
54'
62'
Rodrigo Francisco Sandoval Muñoz
62'
Leroy Janpol Morales Napa
/ Aaron Astudillo
68'
76'
Luis Rojas
/
Facundo Mater
77'
Rogelio Funes
/
Cecilio Waterman
79'
Antonio Diaz
/
Yerco Oyanedel
80'
Bryan Ogaz
88'
ast. Iam Gonzalez ·
Luis Rojas⚽
⚽Guillermo Pacheco
90'+5
90'+5
diego sabando
/
Harol Salgado
Aaron Astudillo
90'
90'
Luis Rojas
Pre-match prediction
62.34%
Cobresal
20.32%
X ←
17.34%
Universidad
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.15
-0.86
0.74
0.63
-0.1
Cobresal dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
36
M. Olguin
54'
G
M. Olguin
54'
G
15
A. Castillo
D
A. Castillo
D
4
R. Sandoval
62'
D
R. Sandoval
62'
D
20
J. Tiznado
D
J. Tiznado
D
23
G. Pacheco
1 ⚽
D
G. Pacheco
1 ⚽
D
38
F. Villagrán
M
F. Villagrán
M
17
J. Fuentes
M
J. Fuentes
M
11
J. Brea
M
J. Brea
M
39
L. Morales
68'
M
L. Morales
68'
M
7
C. Yanis
M
C. Yanis
M
37
Martin Espinoza
46'
F
Martin Espinoza
46'
F
Bench
22
A. Astudillo
22'
D
A. Astudillo
22'
D
13
Benjamin Valenzuela
M
Benjamin Valenzuela
M
3
Benjamin Villarroel
D
Benjamin Villarroel
D
6
E. Valencia
M
E. Valencia
M
32
F. Frías
44'
F
F. Frías
44'
F
12
J. Santander
36'
G
J. Santander
36'
G
14
R. Huerta
F
R. Huerta
F
8
S. Pino
F
S. Pino
F
43
V. Campos
D
V. Campos
D
1
J. Broun
G
J. Broun
G
15
Y. Oyanedel
79'
D
Y. Oyanedel
79'
D
3
M. Barbieri
D
M. Barbieri
D
17
M. González
D
M. González
D
32
B. Saez
D
B. Saez
D
10
J. Fuentealba
M
J. Fuentealba
M
16
B. Ogaz
M
B. Ogaz
M
8
F. Mater
76'
M
F. Mater
76'
M
26
T. Roco
46'
F
T. Roco
46'
F
18
C. Waterman
77'
F
C. Waterman
77'
F
25
H. Salgado
F
H. Salgado
F
Bench
11
A. Díaz
11'
F
A. Díaz
11'
F
29
D. Sabando
F
D. Sabando
F
34
F. Herrera
M
F. Herrera
M
7
I. González
1 👟
44'
F
I. González
1 👟
44'
F
21
J. Espejo
D
J. Espejo
D
13
J. Sanhueza
G
J. Sanhueza
G
20
L. Rojas
1 ⚽
14'
M
L. Rojas
1 ⚽
14'
M
22
R. Funes Mori
13'
F
R. Funes Mori
13'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Broun
G · Universidad
8.68
· 37 pass
G. Pacheco
D · Cobresal
8.36
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 30 pass
L. Rojas
M · Universidad
7.51
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
J. Tiznado
D · Cobresal
7.26
· 46 pass
J. Fuentealba
M · Universidad
7.20
2 shots
· 40 pass
F. Villagrán
M · Cobresal
7.20
4 shots
· 43 pass
Cobresal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olguin | G | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Castillo | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Sandoval | D | 62 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | 1 |
| J. Tiznado | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Pacheco | D | 90 | 8.36 | 1 | — | 5 | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Villagrán | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fuentes | M | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Brea | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 5 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Morales | M | 68 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Yanis | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Martin Espinoza | F | 46 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Astudillo | D | 22 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Frías | F | 44 | 6.79 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Santander | G | 36 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Universidad de Concepcion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Broun | G | 90 | 8.68 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Oyanedel | D | 79 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Barbieri | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. González | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Saez | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Fuentealba | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Ogaz | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Mater | M | 76 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Roco | F | 46 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Waterman | F | 77 | 6.56 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Salgado | F | 95 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Díaz | F | 11 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| I. González | F | 44 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Rojas | M | 14 | 7.51 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Funes Mori | F | 13 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The final score was Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion.
What did the model predict before Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Cobresal win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Universidad de Concepcion win.