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#21 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#9 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Colchester
W. Goodwin (ast. O. Edwards) 43'
J. Payne (ast. R. Akachukwu) 86'
33' (ast. D. Matthews) S. Whalley
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colchester a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Accrington ST 14%). The final result was Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST. In 2 previous meetings, Colchester have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
6
Corners
2
5
Tackles
21
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
W. Goodwin
28'
A. Read
31'
33'
ast. D. Matthews · S. Whalley⚽
⚽W. Goodwin · ast. O. Edwards
43'
63'
J. Woods
↕ K. Vincent-Young / S. Tovide
64'
R. Hunt
72'
↕ F. Barbrook / R. Akachukwu
76'
↕ W. Goodwin / K. Lisbie
76'
78'
P. Madden / S. Whalley ↕
⚽J. Payne · ast. R. Akachukwu
86'
↕ O. Edwards / S. Kuffour
89'
J. Tucker
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
60.35%
Colchester ←
24.82%
X
14.83%
Accrington
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Colchester) 60.35% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colchester
1.58
—
—
Accrington
0.59
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Salford City Salford City 13 28
2 Barnet Barnet 12 25
3 Cheltenham Cheltenham 13 21
4 Crewe Crewe 13 21
5 York York 13 20
6 Walsall Walsall 12 19
7 Chesterfield Chesterfield 13 19
8 Exeter City Exeter City 13 19
9 Accrington ST Accrington ST 13 18
10 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 13 18
11 Grimsby Grimsby 13 17
12 Gillingham Gillingham 13 17
13 Tranmere Tranmere 13 16
14 Swindon Town Swindon Town 13 16
15 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 13 16
16 Newport County Newport County 13 15
17 Rochdale Rochdale 13 15
18 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 13 14
19 Northampton Northampton 11 13
20 Oldham Oldham 12 12
21 Colchester Colchester 12 12
22 Rotherham Rotherham 13 12
23 Port Vale Port Vale 11 12
24 Crawley Town Crawley Town 11 6
Lineups
1
G 6.60
40
D 7.50
2 R. Hunt R. Hunt D 7.30
5 Jack Tucker Jack Tucker D 7.70
30 Kane Vincent-Young Kane Vincent-Young 64' D 7.00
16 Arthur Read Arthur Read M 6.90
25 Finley Frank Barbrook Finley Frank Barbrook 76' M 6.70
7 Harry Anderson Harry Anderson M 6.30
10 Jack Payne Jack Payne 1 ⚽ M 8.00
21 O. Edwards O. Edwards 1 👟 89' M 6.30
19 Will Goodwin Will Goodwin 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.90
Bench
17 Jaden Williams Jaden Williams F
14 Kyreece Lisbie Kyreece Lisbie 14' F 6.50
5
D 6.30
17
D 6.30
20
M 7.30
13
Oliver Wright G 7.20
38 C. O'Brien C. O'Brien D 6.90
3 Freddie  Sass Freddie Sass D 6.00
6
L. Coyle M 7.00
24 Luke Butterfield Luke Butterfield M 6.50
7 S. Whalley S. Whalley 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.00
11
I. Sinclair M 6.70
39 J. Woods J. Woods F 5.50
Bench
22
D. Martin M
8 P. Madden P. Madden 12' F 6.50
28 Seamus Conneely Seamus Conneely M
Best on the pitch
Jack Payne
Jack Payne
M · Colchester
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
S. Whalley
S. Whalley
M · Accrington
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Will Goodwin
Will Goodwin
F · Colchester
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 22 pass
Jack Tucker
Jack Tucker
D · Colchester
7.70
· 80 pass
D · Colchester
7.50
· 86 pass
R. Hunt
R. Hunt
D · Colchester
7.30
· 48 pass
Colchester Colchester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 32 17% — — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 86 70% — — —
R. Hunt D 90 7.30 — — — 48 45% — 1 —
Jack Tucker D 90 7.70 — — — 80 67% — 1 —
Kane Vincent-Young D 64 7.00 — — — 49 41% — — —
Arthur Read M 90 6.90 — — — 66 58% 1 1 —
Finley Frank Barbrook M 76 6.70 — — 1 40 36% 1 — —
Harry Anderson M 90 6.30 — — 2 28 24% — — —
Jack Payne M 90 8.00 1 — 2 50 40% 1 — —
O. Edwards M 89 6.30 — 1 1 21 17% 1 — —
Will Goodwin F 76 7.90 1 — 4 22 11% 1 1 —
Kyreece Lisbie F 14 6.50 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Accrington ST Accrington ST — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D 90 6.30 — — — 12 8% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 23 10% 4 — —
M 90 7.30 — — 2 13 8% 4 — —
Oliver Wright G 90 7.20 — — — 24 7% — — —
C. O'Brien D 90 6.90 — — — 20 10% 6 — —
Freddie Sass D 90 6.00 — — 1 18 8% 2 — —
L. Coyle M 90 7.00 — — — 30 21% 4 — —
Luke Butterfield M 90 6.50 — — 1 17 9% — — —
S. Whalley M 78 8.00 1 — 1 16 13% — — —
I. Sinclair M 90 6.70 — — — 21 17% 1 — —
J. Woods F 90 5.50 — — 3 14 4% — 1 —
P. Madden F 12 6.50 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colchester vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Colchester vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Colchester win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an Accrington ST win.