Colchester - Southampton
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.83%
Win
Colchester
31.09%
Draw
32.08%
Win
Southampton
1.43
1.03
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.59%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
31%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colchester a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Southampton. Expected goals are 1.4 for Colchester and 1.0 for Southampton (total 2.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.59% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.7
1.0
Conceded
0.7
3.0
Shots OT
3.7
5.0
Corners
6.3
37%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Colchester
Southampton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Colchester
Attack
50
Defence
71
Form
54
Southampton
Attack
43
Defence
67
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colchester vs Southampton?
The model gives Colchester a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Southampton win.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Southampton?
Expected goals: Colchester 1.4, Southampton 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Colchester vs Southampton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.59%.