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Colchester - Worcester City

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.33%
Win
Colchester
36.74%
Draw
37.93%
Win
Worcester City
0.34
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (15.49%)
1X2 Result
1 25%
X 37%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 75%
12 63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Worcester City a 37% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 25% for Colchester. Expected goals are 0.3 for Colchester and 0.8 for Worcester City (total 1.1), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.49% probability.

Season Stats

Colchester
0W 0D 1L
Worcester City
4W 3D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.5
3.0
Conceded
1.0
—
Shots OT
9.0
—
Corners
6.0
—
Poss.
54%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
38%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Colchester
0W 0D 1L · at home
Worcester City
1W 2D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.8
3.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
25%
0%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Colchester Worcester City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 32.2% 25.5% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% — —
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

L Milton Keynes Dons 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
W Chorley 1–0
D Chorley 1–1
W Kettering Town 1–3
W Stratford Town 2–1
W Knowle W 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Colchester Colchester
Attack
18
Defence
67
Form
42
Worcester City Worcester City
Attack
39
Defence
80
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colchester vs Worcester City?
The model gives Colchester a 25% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 37% for an Worcester City win.
How many goals are expected in Colchester vs Worcester City?
Expected goals: Colchester 0.3, Worcester City 0.8 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Colchester vs Worcester City?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.49%.