Skip to main content
← Primera Nacional

Colegiales - Gimnasia Y Tiro

Primera Nacional July 04, 2026 20:00
Colegiales
#8 · 23 pts
vs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
#14 · 21 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.91%
Win
Colegiales
19.74%
Draw
12.35%
Win
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.85
Expected xG
0.49
Most likely result 1–0 (17.9%)
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
41%
Model prediction
Colegiales
67.91%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colegiales a 67% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Gimnasia Y Tiro. Expected goals are 1.8 for Colegiales and 0.5 for Gimnasia Y Tiro (total 2.3), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Colegiales have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Season Stats

Colegiales
5W 5D 5L
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2W 6D 7L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.7
0.9
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
53%
27%
O 2.5
20%
33%
BTTS
47%
47%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 1.5
30%
O 2.5
18%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Colegiales
6W 3D 0L · at home
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1W 2D 5L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.6
0.3
Conceded
1.4
67%
Win %
13%
100%
Win or Draw
38%
56%
O 1.5
63%
22%
O 2.5
38%
22%
O 3.5
13%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
13%
22%
Failed to Score
50%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Colegiales Gimnasia Y Tiro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% — —
1 17.9% 8.7% 2.1% 0.3% — —
2 16.5% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% — —
3 10.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% — —
4 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Colegiales Colegiales
W Quilmes 3–1
W San Martin Tucuman 2–0
L Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0
D Agropecuario 0–0
D Tristan Suarez 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
D Deportivo Maipu 0–0
L Quilmes 1–0
W Midland 1–0
D Atlanta 1–1
D Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Colegiales Colegiales
Attack
35
Defence
85
Form
63
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack
18
Defence
79
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Colegiales
0
Draw
1
Gimnasia Y Tiro
14 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 1–2

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Colegiales Gimnasia Y Tiro
Current #8 #14
→ Colegiales #7 #14
→ Draw #7 #12
→ Gimnasia Y Tiro #9 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
The model gives Colegiales a 67% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 12% for an Gimnasia Y Tiro win.
How many goals are expected in Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Expected goals: Colegiales 1.8, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.9%.