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Colegiales - Midland

Primera Nacional September 03, 2026 01:00
Colegiales
#10 · 30 pts
vs
Midland
#4 · 37 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.25%
Win
Colegiales
21.61%
Draw
23.14%
Win
Midland
1.98
Expected xG
1.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.92%)
1X2 Result
1 55%
X 22%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 45%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 31%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colegiales a 55% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Midland. Expected goals are 2.0 for Colegiales and 1.1 for Midland (total 3.1), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.92% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Colegiales have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Midland.

Season Stats

Colegiales
6W 5D 4L
Midland
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.1
0.8
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Colegiales
6W 3D 1L · at home
Midland
2W 4D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Colegiales Midland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Colegiales Colegiales
D Patronato 2–2
W Gimnasia Jujuy 2–1
W Quilmes 0–1
L Atlanta 1–0
L Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Midland Midland
W Deportivo Maipu 2–0
D Almagro 1–1
W Patronato 1–0
W Quilmes 1–0
D Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Colegiales Colegiales
Attack
29
Defence
81
Form
58
Midland Midland
Attack
26
Defence
83
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Colegiales
0
Draw
1
Midland
1 Mar 2026 Primera Nacional 0–2

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 23 41
2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 22 39
3 Atlanta Atlanta 23 39
4 Midland Midland 23 37
5 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 24 37
6 Temperley Temperley 24 37
7 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 24 34
8 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 24 32
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 23 30
10 Colegiales Colegiales 23 30
11 Almagro Almagro 24 30
12 Quilmes Quilmes 24 29
13 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 23 29
14 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 21 27
15 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 23 26
16 Agropecuario Agropecuario 24 26
17 Patronato Patronato 23 24
18 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 23 19

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Colegiales Midland
Current #10 #4
→ Colegiales #8 #4
→ Draw #9 #4
→ Midland #10 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colegiales vs Midland?
The model gives Colegiales a 55% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 23% for an Midland win.
How many goals are expected in Colegiales vs Midland?
Expected goals: Colegiales 2.0, Midland 1.1 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in Colegiales vs Midland?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.92%.