D. Munoz
(ast. J. Quintero)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colombia a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Congo DR 21%). The final result was Colombia 1–0 Congo DR.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
1
0.99
Actual xG
0.39
1
Saves
8
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
4
10
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
N. Sadiki
/
N. Mukau
J. Lucumi
56'
57'
S. Banza
/
C. Bakambu
L. Suarez
/ J. Cordoba
58'
J. Rodriguez
/ J. Quintero
58'
72'
J. Kayembe
/
A. Masuaku
72'
C. Pickel
/
E. Kayembe
⚽D. Munoz
· ast. J. Quintero
76'
J. Arias
/ R. Rios
77'
82'
N. Mbuku
/
S. Moutoussamy
90'+3
C. Pickel
J. Lerma
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
47.65%
Colombia ←
30.95%
X
21.4%
Congo
we assigned to the actual result (Colombia)
47.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
0.99
-0.59
0.77
0.39
-0.38
Colombia dominated by xG (0.99 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Camilo Vargas
G
Camilo Vargas
G
17
Johan Mojica
D
Johan Mojica
D
3
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
23
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
2
D. Muñoz
1 ⚽
D
D. Muñoz
1 ⚽
D
11
Jhon Arias
77'
M
Jhon Arias
77'
M
16
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
14
Gustavo Puerta
M
Gustavo Puerta
M
7
L. Díaz
F
L. Díaz
F
25
L. Suárez
58'
F
L. Suárez
58'
F
10
J. Rodríguez
58'
F
J. Rodríguez
58'
F
Bench
26
A. Gómez
F
A. Gómez
F
24
Álvaro Montero
G
Álvaro Montero
G
19
Cucho Hernández
F
Cucho Hernández
F
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
22
Deiver Machado
D
Deiver Machado
D
21
Jaminton Campaz
M
Jaminton Campaz
M
8
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
9
J. Córdoba
38'
F
J. Córdoba
38'
F
20
J. Quintero
1 👟
38'
M
J. Quintero
1 👟
38'
M
15
Juan Portilla
M
Juan Portilla
M
5
Kevin Castaño
M
Kevin Castaño
M
6
R. Rios
19'
M
R. Rios
19'
M
4
Santiago Arias
D
Santiago Arias
D
18
Willer Ditta
D
Willer Ditta
D
13
Yerry Mina
D
Yerry Mina
D
1
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G
26
A. Masuaku
72'
D
A. Masuaku
72'
D
3
Steve Kapuadi
D
Steve Kapuadi
D
4
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
22
Chancel Mbemba
D
Chancel Mbemba
D
2
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
D
25
E. Kayembe
72'
M
E. Kayembe
72'
M
8
S. Moutoussamy
82'
M
S. Moutoussamy
82'
M
6
N. Mukau
45'
M
N. Mukau
45'
M
20
Y. Wissa
F
Y. Wissa
F
17
Cédric Bakambu
57'
F
Cédric Bakambu
57'
F
Bench
15
Aaron Tshibola
M
Aaron Tshibola
M
9
B. Cipenga
F
B. Cipenga
F
18
C. Pickel
24'
M
C. Pickel
24'
M
5
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
19
Fiston Mayele
F
Fiston Mayele
F
11
Gaël Kakuta
M
Gaël Kakuta
M
24
Gedeon Kalulu
D
Gedeon Kalulu
D
12
J. Kayembe
24'
D
J. Kayembe
24'
D
21
Matthieu Epolo
G
Matthieu Epolo
G
13
M. Elia
F
M. Elia
F
7
N. Mbuku
14'
F
N. Mbuku
14'
F
14
N. Sadiki
51'
M
N. Sadiki
51'
M
23
Simon Banza
39'
F
Simon Banza
39'
F
10
T. Bongonda
M
T. Bongonda
M
16
Timothy Fayulu
G
Timothy Fayulu
G
Best on the pitch
D. Muñoz
D · Colombia
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
D. Sánchez
D · Colombia
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
Jhon Arias
M · Colombia
7.30
2 shots
· 48 pass
Lionel Mpasi Nzau
G · Congo
7.30
· 27 pass
Johan Mojica
D · Colombia
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
Jhon Lucumí
D · Colombia
7.20
1 shots
· 53 pass
Colombia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Vargas | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Sánchez | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Puerta | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 38 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| R. Rios | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Congo DR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Mpasi Nzau | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Masuaku | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Steve Kapuadi | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Cédric Bakambu | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Pickel | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mbuku | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Banza | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colombia vs Congo DR?
The final score was Colombia 1–0 Congo DR.
What did the model predict before Colombia vs Congo DR?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Colombia win, 30% to a draw, and 21% to an Congo DR win.