✓Model correct — prediction Colombia
J. Arias
(ast. L. Suarez)
14'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colombia a 67% win probability (draw 22%, Ghana 9%). The final result was Colombia 1–0 Ghana.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
0
2.09
Actual xG
0.26
0
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Cordoba
/ L. Suarez
8'
J. Arias
12'
13'
A. Seidu
/
M. Senaya
⚽J. Arias
· ast. L. Suarez
14'
J. Rodriguez
/ R. Rios
46'
49'
C. Yirenkyi
56'
62'
I. Fatawu
/
I. Williams
62'
E. Owusu
/
K. Sibo
66'
I. Fatawu
J. Arias
/ J. Quintero
73'
76'
A. Seidu
R. Rios
78'
79'
E. Nuamah
/
J. Ayew
79'
P. Adu
/
C. Yirenkyi
L. Diaz
/ J. Campaz
90'
Pre-match prediction
67.85%
Colombia ←
22.81%
X
9.33%
Ghana
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Colombia)
67.85%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
2.09
+0.06
0.42
0.26
-0.16
Colombia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
C. Vargas
G
C. Vargas
G
17
J. Mojica
D
J. Mojica
D
3
J. Lucumí
D
J. Lucumí
D
23
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
2
D. Muñoz
D
D. Muñoz
D
11
J. Arias
1 ⚽
73'
M
J. Arias
1 ⚽
73'
M
16
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
14
G. Puerta
M
G. Puerta
M
7
L. Díaz
F
L. Díaz
F
9
J. Córdoba
8'
F
J. Córdoba
8'
F
10
J. Rodríguez
45'
F
J. Rodríguez
45'
F
Bench
26
A. Gómez
F
A. Gómez
F
24
Á. Montero
G
Á. Montero
G
19
C. Hernández
F
C. Hernández
F
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
22
D. Machado
D
D. Machado
D
21
J. Campaz
7'
M
J. Campaz
7'
M
8
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
15
J. Portilla
M
J. Portilla
M
20
J. Quintero
24'
M
J. Quintero
24'
M
5
K. Castaño
M
K. Castaño
M
25
L. Suárez
1 👟
89'
F
L. Suárez
1 👟
89'
F
6
R. Rios
52'
M
R. Rios
52'
M
4
S. Arias
D
S. Arias
D
18
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
13
Y. Mina
D
Y. Mina
D
1
L. Zigi
G
L. Zigi
G
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
18
J. Opoku
D
J. Opoku
D
23
D. Luckassen
D
D. Luckassen
D
26
Marvin Senaya
13'
D
Marvin Senaya
13'
D
5
T. Partey
M
T. Partey
M
11
A. Semenyo
M
A. Semenyo
M
8
K. Sibo
62'
M
K. Sibo
62'
M
3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
79'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
79'
M
19
I. Williams
62'
M
I. Williams
62'
M
9
J. Ayew
79'
F
J. Ayew
79'
F
Bench
17
A. Baba
D
A. Baba
D
6
Abdul Mumin
D
Abdul Mumin
D
20
A. Boakye
M
A. Boakye
M
7
A. Fatawu
35'
F
A. Fatawu
35'
F
2
A. Seidu
84'
D
A. Seidu
84'
D
16
B. Asare
G
B. Asare
G
10
B. Thomas-Asante
F
B. Thomas-Asante
F
13
C. Bonsu Baah
F
C. Bonsu Baah
F
15
Elisha Owusu
35'
M
Elisha Owusu
35'
M
24
E. Nuamah
18'
F
E. Nuamah
18'
F
4
J. Adjetey
D
J. Adjetey
D
12
J. Anang
G
J. Anang
G
21
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
22
K. Sulemana
F
K. Sulemana
F
25
Prince Kwabena Adu
18'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
18'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Zigi
G · Ghana
9.20
· 36 pass
G. Puerta
M · Colombia
8.20
1 shots
· 58 pass
J. Arias
M · Colombia
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 58 pass
J. Quintero
M · Colombia
7.70
2 shots
· 18 pass
D. Sánchez
D · Colombia
7.60
2 shots
· 79 pass
D. Muñoz
D · Colombia
7.50
· 35 pass
Colombia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vargas | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Mojica | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lucumí | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 87 | 78% | — | — | — |
| D. Sánchez | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 70% | — | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 73 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | — | — | — |
| G. Puerta | M | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 24 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Rios | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
Ghana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zigi | G | 97 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Opoku | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Luckassen | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Partey | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 43% | — | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sibo | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Williams | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Seidu | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colombia vs Ghana?
The final score was Colombia 1–0 Ghana.
What did the model predict before Colombia vs Ghana?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Colombia win, 22% to a draw, and 9% to an Ghana win.