Colombia - Ghana
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
27.5°C
💨 4 km/h
· Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.36%
Win
Colombia
22.46%
Draw
9.18%
Win
Ghana
2.08
0.43
Expected xG
Most likely result
2–0
(17.5%)
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
Model prediction
Colombia
68.36%
Probability
82.6%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colombia a 68% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Ghana. Expected goals are 2.1 for Colombia and 0.4 for Ghana (total 2.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 17.5% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.7
0.3
Conceded
0.7
6.3
Shots OT
0.7
4.7
Corners
2.0
60%
Poss.
34%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
33%
33%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 1.5
25%
O 2.5
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
1L
· away
0.5
gls/g
0.5
0.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Colombia
Ghana →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Colombia
Attack
44
Defence
78
Form
63
Ghana
Attack
17
Defence
63
Form
21
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group K
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Colombia
|
3 | 7 |
| 2 |
Portugal
|
3 | 5 |
| 3 |
Congo DR
|
3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Uzbekistan
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group K
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Colombia | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Ghana | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colombia vs Ghana?
The model gives Colombia a 68% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 9% for an Ghana win.
How many goals are expected in Colombia vs Ghana?
Expected goals: Colombia 2.1, Ghana 0.4 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Colombia vs Ghana?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.5%.