Colombia - Paraguay
Friendlies Internazionali
October 03, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.25%
Win
Colombia
29.69%
Draw
34.05%
Win
Paraguay
1.48
1.42
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.15%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
30%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
64%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colombia a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Paraguay. Expected goals are 1.5 for Colombia and 1.4 for Paraguay (total 2.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.15% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Colombia have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Paraguay.
Season Stats
2W
0D
2L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
0.7
3.3
Shots OT
7.0
3.5
Corners
3.0
57%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
75%
O 2.5
67%
75%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Colombia
Paraguay →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Colombia
Attack
40
Defence
74
Form
61
Paraguay
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Colombia
Injured
Paraguay
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colombia vs Paraguay?
The model gives Colombia a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 34% for an Paraguay win.
How many goals are expected in Colombia vs Paraguay?
Expected goals: Colombia 1.5, Paraguay 1.4 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Colombia vs Paraguay?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.15%.