Colombia - Peru
Friendlies Internazionali
October 07, 2026 01:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.61%
Win
Colombia
25.36%
Draw
23.03%
Win
Peru
2.23
0.8
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.38%)
1X2 Result
1
52%
X
25%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
77%
X2
48%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Colombia a 51% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Peru. Expected goals are 2.2 for Colombia and 0.8 for Peru (total 3.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.38% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Colombia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Peru.
Season Stats
2W
0D
2L
1W
1D
2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.2
1.5
Conceded
2.0
3.3
Shots OT
3.0
3.5
Corners
4.7
57%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Colombia
Peru →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Colombia
Attack
40
Defence
74
Form
61
Peru
Attack
32
Defence
53
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Colombia
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Colombia vs Peru?
The model gives Colombia a 51% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 23% for an Peru win.
How many goals are expected in Colombia vs Peru?
Expected goals: Colombia 2.2, Peru 0.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Colombia vs Peru?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.38%.