World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 28, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colombia a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Portugal 26%). The final result was Colombia 0–0 Portugal.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
2
1.63
Actual xG
0.69
2
Saves
6
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
2
14
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
46'
J. Neves
/
R. Neves
46'
D. Dalot
/
J. Cancelo
J. Lerma
/ R. Rios
60'
J. Cordoba
/ L. Suarez
60'
70'
R. Leao
/
Joao Felix
70'
Samu Costa
/
Vitinha
J. Arias
/ K. Castano
76'
J. Rodriguez
/ J. Quintero
76'
G. Puerta
86'
S. Arias
/ D. Munoz
87'
90'+2
90'+3
M. Nunes
/
N. Mendes
Pre-match prediction
44.38%
Colombia
28.66%
X ←
26.95%
Portugal
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.63
-0.09
1.08
0.69
-0.39
Colombia dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
C. Vargas
G
C. Vargas
G
22
Deiver Machado
D
Deiver Machado
D
3
J. Lucumí
D
J. Lucumí
D
23
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
4
S. Arias
87'
D
S. Arias
87'
D
14
G. Puerta
M
G. Puerta
M
16
J. Lerma
60'
M
J. Lerma
60'
M
11
J. Arias
76'
M
J. Arias
76'
M
7
L. Díaz
F
L. Díaz
F
9
J. Córdoba
60'
F
J. Córdoba
60'
F
10
J. Rodríguez
76'
F
J. Rodríguez
76'
F
Bench
26
A. Gómez
F
A. Gómez
F
24
Á. Montero
G
Á. Montero
G
19
C. Hernández
F
C. Hernández
F
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
2
D. Muñoz
9'
D
D. Muñoz
9'
D
21
J. Campaz
M
J. Campaz
M
8
J. Carrascal
M
J. Carrascal
M
17
J. Mojica
D
J. Mojica
D
15
J. Portilla
M
J. Portilla
M
20
J. Quintero
14'
M
J. Quintero
14'
M
5
K. Castaño
14'
M
K. Castaño
14'
M
25
L. Suárez
30'
F
L. Suárez
30'
F
6
R. Rios
30'
M
R. Rios
30'
M
18
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
13
Yerry Mina
D
Yerry Mina
D
1
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
25
Nuno Mendes
89'
D
Nuno Mendes
89'
D
13
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
20
João Cancelo
45'
D
João Cancelo
45'
D
23
Vitinha
70'
M
Vitinha
70'
M
21
Rúben Neves
45'
M
Rúben Neves
45'
M
11
João Félix
70'
M
João Félix
70'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
18
Pedro Neto
M
Pedro Neto
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
F
Bench
10
Bernardo Silva
M
Bernardo Silva
M
5
Diogo Dalot
45'
D
Diogo Dalot
45'
D
26
Francisco Conceição
F
Francisco Conceição
F
19
Gonçalo Guedes
F
Gonçalo Guedes
F
14
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
15
João Neves
45'
M
João Neves
45'
M
12
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
6
Matheus Nunes
1'
M
Matheus Nunes
1'
M
2
Nélson Semedo
D
Nélson Semedo
D
17
Rafael Leão
20'
F
Rafael Leão
20'
F
22
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
24
Samú Costa
20'
M
Samú Costa
20'
M
4
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
16
Trincão
F
Trincão
F
Best on the pitch
Diogo Costa
G · Portugal
8.30
· 19 pass
J. Rodríguez
F · Colombia
8.20
1 shots
· 72 pass
C. Vargas
G · Colombia
7.50
· 38 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Portugal
7.50
2 shots
· 44 pass
Rúben Dias
D · Portugal
7.50
· 54 pass
J. Lucumí
D · Colombia
7.30
· 27 pass
Colombia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vargas | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Deiver Machado | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lucumí | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Puerta | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 75 | 72% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 52% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 76 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 65% | — | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Castaño | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Rios | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Portugal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Rúben Dias | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| João Félix | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colombia vs Portugal?
The final score was Colombia 0–0 Portugal.
What did the model predict before Colombia vs Portugal?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Colombia win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Portugal win.