Rafael Navarro
90'+4
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 42% win probability (draw 36%, Austin 21%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Austin.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
2
2.98
Actual xG
1.25
2
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
11
Corners
0
12
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
H. Ojediran
/ J. Atencio
58'
W. Frederick
/ D. Phillip
62'
D. Sealy
/ D. Yapi
62'
64'
E. Torres
/
F. Torres
64'
I. Sanchez
/
O. Wolff
70'
E. Torres
72'
J. Rosales
74'
P. Placheta
/
B. Sabovic
74'
J. Nelson
/
J. Gallagher
80'
C. Ramirez
/
B. Vazquez
R. Cannon
/ A. Harris
85'
G. Minoungou
/ K. Rosenberry
85'
90'+3
M. Uzuni
⚽Rafael Navarro
(pen.)
90'+4
Rafael Navarro
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
42.43%
Colorado ←
36.13%
X
21.43%
Austin
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
42.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
2.98
+2.16
0.52
1.25
+0.73
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (2.98 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
N. Defreitas
G
N. Defreitas
G
29
M. Navarro
D
M. Navarro
D
5
Loïc Williams
D
Loïc Williams
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
4
R. Cannon
85'
D
R. Cannon
85'
D
8
H. Ojediran
58'
M
H. Ojediran
58'
M
13
W. Frederick II
62'
M
W. Frederick II
62'
M
93
G. Minoungou
85'
M
G. Minoungou
85'
M
10
P. Aaronson
M
P. Aaronson
M
7
D. Sealy
62'
M
D. Sealy
62'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
1 ⚽
F
Rafael Navarro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
31
A. Beaudry
G
A. Beaudry
G
16
A. Harris
11'
F
A. Harris
11'
F
32
D. Phillip
34'
F
D. Phillip
34'
F
77
D. Yapi
34'
F
D. Yapi
34'
F
12
J. Atencio
38'
M
J. Atencio
38'
M
2
K. Rosenberry
11'
D
K. Rosenberry
11'
D
33
K. Thompson
D
K. Thompson
D
24
N. Cobb
D
N. Cobb
D
47
Sydney Wathuta
F
Sydney Wathuta
F
1
B. Stuver
G
B. Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
B. Hines-Ike
D
35
M. Đorđević
D
M. Đorđević
D
17
J. Gallagher
74'
M
J. Gallagher
74'
M
33
Owen Wolff
64'
M
Owen Wolff
64'
M
14
B. Šabović
74'
M
B. Šabović
74'
M
30
J. Rosales
M
J. Rosales
M
10
M. Uzuni
F
M. Uzuni
F
9
B. Vázquez
80'
F
B. Vázquez
80'
F
11
F. Torres
64'
F
F. Torres
64'
F
Bench
21
C. Ramirez
16'
F
C. Ramirez
16'
F
12
D. Las
G
D. Las
G
38
Ervin Torres
32'
M
Ervin Torres
32'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
32'
M
Ilie Sánchez
32'
M
7
J. Nelson
22'
F
J. Nelson
22'
F
24
Jorge Alastuey
M
Jorge Alastuey
M
5
O. Svatok
D
O. Svatok
D
77
P. Płacheta
22'
M
P. Płacheta
22'
M
23
Ž. Kolmanič
D
Ž. Kolmanič
D
Best on the pitch
B. Stuver
G · Austin
8.30
· 36 pass
M. Navarro
D · Colorado
7.70
1 shots
· 61 pass
Guilherme Biro
D · Austin
7.70
· 37 pass
G. Minoungou
M · Colorado
7.50
2 shots
· 24 pass
P. Aaronson
M · Colorado
7.50
2 shots
· 34 pass
Loïc Williams
D · Colorado
7.30
1 shots
· 77 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Defreitas | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Loïc Williams | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | — | — | — |
| R. Cannon | D | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 52% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Minoungou | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Aaronson | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Sealy | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 25 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Harris | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Phillip | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yapi | F | 34 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. Rosenberry | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stuver | G | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 22 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Austin?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Austin?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 36% to a draw, and 21% to an Austin win.