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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 03:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Colorado Rapids
#7 · 32 pts
1 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#4 · 40 pts
P. Aaronson (ast. G. Minoungou) 13'
(pen.) 12' L. Farrington
(pen.) 45' S. Moreno
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Colorado Rapids 26%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
1.70
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
3
10
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
12'
(pen.) L. Farrington⚽
⚽P. Aaronson · ast. G. Minoungou
13'
45'+4
L. Farrington
L. Herrington
45'+4
45'
(pen.) S. Moreno⚽
↕ J. Travis / M. Navarro
46'
49'
P. Delgado
↕ W. Frederick / C. Ronan
59'
65'
S. Sarver / H. Johansson ↕
65'
C. Cappis / P. Delgado ↕
65'
N. Norris / S. Moreno ↕
M. Navarro
70'
P. Aaronson
73'
↕ G. Minoungou / A. Manyoma
75'
↕ R. Holding / D. Sealy
75'
↕ R. Cannon / K. Rosenberry
81'
83'
N. Simmonds / L. Farrington ↕
84'
C. Swann / Ramiro ↕
90'+1
S. Sarver
Pre-match prediction
26.0%
Colorado
26.65%
X
47.35%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 47.35% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colorado
0.73
1.25
+0.52
FC
1.41
1.70
+0.29
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1
41 N. Defreitas N. Defreitas G 6.20
99 J. Travis J. Travis 45' D 6.20
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 6.60
6 R. Holding R. Holding 75' D 6.90
4 R. Cannon R. Cannon 81' D 6.50
12 J. Atencio J. Atencio M 6.90
13 W. Frederick II W. Frederick II 59' M 6.30
77 D. Yapi D. Yapi M 6.60
10 P. Aaronson P. Aaronson 1 ⚽ M 7.00
93 G. Minoungou G. Minoungou 1 👟 75' M 6.90
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro F 7.00
Bench
31 A. Beaudry A. Beaudry G
11 A. Castillo Manyoma A. Castillo Manyoma 17' M 6.50
20 C. Ronan C. Ronan 33' M 6.60
7 D. Sealy D. Sealy 17' F 6.70
8 H. Ojediran H. Ojediran M
2 K. Rosenberry K. Rosenberry 11' D 6.30
33 K. Thompson K. Thompson D
29 M. Navarro M. Navarro 47' D 6.90
24 N. Cobb N. Cobb D
FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-4-1-1
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois G 6.50
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin D 7.20
18 S. Moore S. Moore D 6.50
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha D 6.60
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 65' D 6.90
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 1 ⚽ 65' M 6.90
17 Ramiro Ramiro 84' M 6.70
55 Kaick Kaick M 6.30
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente M 6.50
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 65' F 6.30
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.20
Bench
27 Caleb Swann Caleb Swann 8' M 6.30
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis 27' M 6.30
24 Joshua Torquato Joshua Torquato D
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D
30 Michael Collodi Michael Collodi G
16 Nicholas Simmonds Nicholas Simmonds 9' F 6.50
32 N. Norris N. Norris 27' D 6.60
15 Ricky Louis Ricky Louis M
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver 27' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
L. Farrington
L. Farrington
F · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
R. Binyamin
R. Binyamin
D · FC
7.20
· 28 pass
P. Aaronson
P. Aaronson
M · Colorado
7.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 23 pass
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.00
3 shots · 16 pass
M. Navarro
M. Navarro
D · Colorado
6.90
· 23 pass
R. Holding
R. Holding
D · Colorado
6.90
1 shots · 87 pass
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Defreitas G 92 6.20 — — — 32 30% — — —
J. Travis D 45 6.20 — — — 25 24% — — —
L. Herrington D 92 6.60 — — — 97 91% 1 1 —
R. Holding D 75 6.90 — — 1 87 78% 1 — —
R. Cannon D 81 6.50 — — — 55 48% 2 — —
J. Atencio M 92 6.90 — — — 68 60% 1 — —
W. Frederick II M 59 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — 1
D. Yapi M 92 6.60 — — 1 23 14% — — —
P. Aaronson M 92 7.00 1 — 4 23 21% 2 1 —
G. Minoungou M 75 6.90 — 1 1 19 16% 1 — —
Rafael Navarro F 92 7.00 — — 3 16 14% 1 — —
A. Castillo Manyoma M 17 6.50 — — 1 5 3% — — —
C. Ronan M 33 6.60 — — 1 19 16% — — —
D. Sealy F 17 6.70 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
K. Rosenberry D 11 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
M. Navarro D 47 6.90 — — — 23 22% — 1 —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Sirois G 92 6.50 — — — 36 17% — — —
R. Binyamin D 92 7.20 — — — 28 24% 3 — —
S. Moore D 92 6.50 — — — 39 34% — — —
S. Ibeagha D 92 6.60 — — — 35 28% — — —
H. Johansson D 65 6.90 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
S. Moreno M 65 6.90 1 — 1 22 15% — — —
Ramiro M 84 6.70 — — 1 38 33% 1 — —
Kaick M 92 6.30 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
J. Valiente M 92 6.50 — — — 25 21% 3 — —
P. Delgado F 65 6.30 — — — 6 5% — 1 —
L. Farrington F 83 7.20 1 — 2 10 7% 1 1 —
Caleb Swann M 8 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
C. Cappis M 27 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Nicholas Simmonds F 9 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
N. Norris D 27 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Samuel Sarver F 27 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 26% to a draw, and 47% to an FC Dallas win.