P. Aaronson
(ast. G. Minoungou)
13'
(pen.)
12'
L. Farrington
(pen.)
45'
S. Moreno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Colorado Rapids 26%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
1.70
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
3
10
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
12'
(pen.)
L. Farrington⚽
⚽P. Aaronson
· ast. G. Minoungou
13'
45'+4
L. Farrington
L. Herrington
45'+4
45'
(pen.)
S. Moreno⚽
J. Travis
/ M. Navarro
46'
49'
P. Delgado
W. Frederick
/ C. Ronan
59'
65'
S. Sarver
/
H. Johansson
65'
C. Cappis
/
P. Delgado
65'
N. Norris
/
S. Moreno
M. Navarro
70'
P. Aaronson
73'
G. Minoungou
/ A. Manyoma
75'
R. Holding
/ D. Sealy
75'
R. Cannon
/ K. Rosenberry
81'
83'
N. Simmonds
/
L. Farrington
84'
C. Swann
/
Ramiro
90'+1
S. Sarver
Pre-match prediction
26.0%
Colorado
26.65%
X
47.35%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
47.35%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
1.25
+0.52
1.41
1.70
+0.29
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
99
J. Travis
45'
D
J. Travis
45'
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
6
R. Holding
75'
D
R. Holding
75'
D
4
Reggie Cannon
81'
D
Reggie Cannon
81'
D
12
J. Atencio
M
J. Atencio
M
13
W. Frederick II
59'
M
W. Frederick II
59'
M
77
Darren Yapi
M
Darren Yapi
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
1 ⚽
M
Paxten Aaronson
1 ⚽
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
1 👟
75'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
Bench
31
Adam Beaudry
G
Adam Beaudry
G
11
Alexis Manyoma
17'
M
Alexis Manyoma
17'
M
20
Connor Ronan
33'
M
Connor Ronan
33'
M
7
D. Sealy
17'
F
D. Sealy
17'
F
8
H. Ojediran
M
H. Ojediran
M
2
Keegan Rosenberry
11'
D
Keegan Rosenberry
11'
D
33
Kosi Thompson
D
Kosi Thompson
D
29
M. Navarro
47'
D
M. Navarro
47'
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
Noah Cobb
D
40
Jonathan Sirois
G
Jonathan Sirois
G
6
Ran Binyamin
D
Ran Binyamin
D
18
Shaq Moore
D
Shaq Moore
D
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
14
H. Johansson
65'
D
H. Johansson
65'
D
10
Santiago Moreno
1 ⚽
65'
M
Santiago Moreno
1 ⚽
65'
M
17
Ramiro
84'
M
Ramiro
84'
M
55
Kaick
M
Kaick
M
21
Joaquín Valiente
M
Joaquín Valiente
M
8
Patrickson Delgado
65'
F
Patrickson Delgado
65'
F
23
Logan Farrington
1 ⚽
83'
F
Logan Farrington
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
27
Caleb Swann
8'
M
Caleb Swann
8'
M
12
Christian Cappis
27'
M
Christian Cappis
27'
M
24
Joshua Torquato
D
Joshua Torquato
D
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
16
Nicholas Simmonds
9'
F
32
N. Norris
27'
D
15
Ricky Louis
M
Ricky Louis
M
28
Sam Sarver
27'
F
Sam Sarver
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Logan Farrington
F · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Ran Binyamin
D · FC
7.20
· 28 pass
Paxten Aaronson
M · Colorado
7.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.00
3 shots
· 16 pass
M. Navarro
D · Colorado
6.90
· 23 pass
R. Holding
D · Colorado
6.90
1 shots
· 87 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 97 | 91% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Holding | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | 1 |
| Darren Yapi | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Connor Ronan | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Sealy | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Sirois | G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Shaq Moore | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| H. Johansson | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | M | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Patrickson Delgado | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Caleb Swann | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Simmonds | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 26% to a draw, and 47% to an FC Dallas win.