Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 30, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 03:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Colorado Rapids

#7 · 32 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Real Salt Lake

#10 · 29 pts

R. Cannon (ast. Y. Maziz) 58'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 19%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.22

Actual xG

0.08

Saves

65%

Possession

35%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

H. Ojediran

14'

R. Holding

49'

53'

A. Hezarkhani

⚽R. Cannon · ast. Y. Maziz

58'

61'

M. Guilavogui

63'

J. Sanabria / D. Yedlin ↕

63'

D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani ↕

67'

N. Caliskan

↕ Y. Maziz / D. Phillip

71'

72'

C. Guske / P. Ruiz ↕

↕ W. Frederick / J. Atencio

78'

79'

C. Guske

81'

S. Lobjanidze / A. Katranis ↕

89'

J. J. Arias

↕ Rafael Navarro / D. Yapi

90'+1

M. Navarro

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

53.92%

Colorado ←

26.89%

19.19%

Real

we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids) 53.92% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Colorado

1.35

1.22

-0.13

Real

0.61

0.08

-0.53

Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	46
2	Houston Dynamo	24	43
3	Los Angeles FC	25	40
4	FC Dallas	24	40
5	San Jose Earthquakes	24	38
6	St. Louis City	24	38
7	Colorado Rapids	24	32
8	Portland Timbers	24	32
9	San Diego	24	30
10	Real Salt Lake	23	29
11	Minnesota United FC	24	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	27
14	Austin	24	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	15

Lineups

Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1

A. Beaudry G 6.60

M. Navarro D 7.00

Loïc Williams D 7.60

R. Holding D 7.50

R. Cannon 1 ⚽ D 7.90

W. Frederick II 78' M 7.00

H. Ojediran M 7.20

G. Minoungou M 7.20

Y. Maziz 1 👟 71' M 7.00

P. Aaronson M 7.30

Rafael Navarro F 6.90

Bench

A. Harris F

B. Dowd G

D. Phillip 22' F 6.90

D. Yapi 2' F

J. Atencio 15' M 6.60

K. Rosenberry D

K. Thompson D

Nathan Tchoumba M

N. Cobb D

Real Salt Lake 3-4-3

Rafael Cabral G 7.20

Sam Junqua D 6.90

J. Arias D 6.20

K. Henry D 7.30

A. Katránis 81' M 6.70

N. Caliskan M 6.70

P. Ruiz 72' M 6.50

D. Yedlin 63' M 6.20

M. Guilavogui F 6.30

S. Solans F 6.20

A. Hezarkhani 63' F 6.30

Bench

Colin Guske 21' M 6.30

D. Luna 30' M 6.20

Dominik Marczuk F

J. Sanabria 30' M 6.30

L. Engel D

Lineker Rodrigues F

L. Moisa M

M. Stajduhar G

S. Lobzhanidze 12' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

R. Cannon

D · Colorado

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 61 pass

Loïc Williams

D · Colorado

7.60

· 87 pass

R. Holding

D · Colorado

7.50

· 81 pass

P. Aaronson

M · Colorado

7.30

2 shots · 40 pass

K. Henry

D · Real

7.30

· 33 pass

H. Ojediran

M · Colorado

7.20

1 shots · 77 pass

Colorado Rapids — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Beaudry	G	93	6.60	—	—	—	31	29%	—	—	—
M. Navarro	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	53	43%	—	1	—
Loïc Williams	D	93	7.60	—	—	—	87	80%	1	—	—
R. Holding	D	93	7.50	—	—	—	81	74%	1	1	—
R. Cannon	D	93	7.90	1	—	1	61	56%	2	—	—
W. Frederick II	M	78	7.00	—	—	—	43	37%	3	—	—
H. Ojediran	M	93	7.20	—	—	1	77	70%	3	1	—
G. Minoungou	M	93	7.20	—	—	2	17	11%	—	—	—
Y. Maziz	M	71	7.00	—	1	1	33	29%	1	—	—
P. Aaronson	M	93	7.30	—	—	2	40	32%	1	—	—
Rafael Navarro	F	91	6.90	—	—	2	23	16%	3	—	—
D. Phillip	F	22	6.90	—	—	—	14	12%	1	—	—
D. Yapi	F	2	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
J. Atencio	M	15	6.60	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Rafael Cabral	G	93	7.20	—	—	—	28	14%	—	—	—
Sam Junqua	D	93	6.90	—	—	1	46	35%	1	—	—
J. Arias	D	93	6.20	—	—	—	36	32%	1	1	—
K. Henry	D	93	7.30	—	—	—	33	22%	5	—	—
A. Katránis	M	81	6.70	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
N. Caliskan	M	93	6.70	—	—	—	36	30%	1	1	—
P. Ruiz	M	72	6.50	—	—	—	28	21%	2	—	—
D. Yedlin	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	13	7%	—	—	—
M. Guilavogui	F	93	6.30	—	—	—	14	11%	1	1	—
S. Solans	F	93	6.20	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
A. Hezarkhani	F	63	6.30	—	—	—	10	6%	—	1	—
Colin Guske	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	9%	—	1	—
D. Luna	M	30	6.20	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
J. Sanabria	M	30	6.30	—	—	—	17	12%	—	—	—
S. Lobzhanidze	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake.

What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

The model assigned 53% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Real Salt Lake win.