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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 03:30 Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
Colorado Rapids
#9 · 43 pts
1 – 0
Final score
San Diego
#13 · 38 pts
L. Williams (ast. P. Aaronson) 90'+5
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 39% win probability (draw 28%, San Diego 31%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Diego.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
0.47
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
3
7
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
C. McVey
L. Williams
22'
R. Cannon
28'
70'
I. Murphy / K. Sargeant ↕
70'
A. Alvarado Jr / A. Godoy ↕
71'
I. Murphy
↕ G. Minoungou / D. Yapi
72'
Rafael Navarro
82'
83'
L. Morgan / M. Ingvartsen ↕
D. Yapi
84'
90'+2
B. B. Zamble / A. Mighten ↕
↕ J. Atencio / D. Phillip
90'+3
90'+5
L. Morgan
⚽L. Williams · ast. P. Aaronson
90'+5
↕ R. Holding / N. Cobb
90'
↕ R. Cannon / L. Herrington
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.92%
Colorado ←
28.34%
X
31.73%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids) 39.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colorado
1.11
0.47
-0.64
San
1.11
0.78
-0.33
San Diego dominated by xG (0.78 vs 0.47). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
41 N. Defreitas N. Defreitas G 7.90
33 K. Thompson K. Thompson D 6.30
5 Loïc Williams Loïc Williams 1 ⚽ D 7.90
6 R. Holding R. Holding 89' D 7.50
4 R. Cannon R. Cannon 89' D 6.90
12 J. Atencio J. Atencio 89' M 6.70
10 P. Aaronson P. Aaronson 1 👟 M 6.90
8 H. Ojediran H. Ojediran M 6.60
93 G. Minoungou G. Minoungou 72' F 7.00
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro F 6.30
7 D. Sealy D. Sealy F 6.60
Bench
31 A. Beaudry A. Beaudry G
16 A. Harris A. Harris F
15 Ali Fadal Ali Fadal M
77 D. Yapi D. Yapi 18' F 6.60
2 K. Rosenberry K. Rosenberry D
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington 1' D
24 N. Cobb N. Cobb 1' D
San Diego San Diego 4-2-3-1
1 C. dos Santos C. dos Santos G 6.90
5 Kieran Sargeant Kieran Sargeant 70' D 7.20
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 7.50
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 6.20
33 O. Verhoeven O. Verhoeven D 6.90
6 J. Tverskov J. Tverskov M 6.60
20 A. Godoy A. Godoy 70' M 7.20
77 A. Mighten A. Mighten 89' M 6.60
8 O. Valakari O. Valakari M 7.30
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer M 6.30
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 83' F 6.90
Bench
70 A. Alvarado A. Alvarado 20' F 6.60
14 B. B. Zamble B. B. Zamble 1' F
18 D. Ferree D. Ferree G
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez M
32 I. Murphy I. Murphy 20' D 6.30
25 I. Pilcher I. Pilcher D
9 L. Morgan L. Morgan 14' F 6.70
15 P. Soma P. Soma M
2 Willy Kumado Willy Kumado D
Best on the pitch
N. Defreitas
N. Defreitas
G · Colorado
7.90
· 33 pass
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams
D · Colorado
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
M. Duah
M. Duah
D · San
7.50
· 71 pass
R. Holding
R. Holding
D · Colorado
7.50
· 89 pass
O. Valakari
O. Valakari
M · San
7.30
2 shots · 28 pass
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
M · San
7.20
· 39 pass
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Defreitas G 90 7.90 — — — 33 30% — — —
K. Thompson D 90 6.30 — — — 33 27% — — —
Loïc Williams D 90 7.90 1 — 1 63 61% — 1 —
R. Holding D 89 7.50 — — — 89 84% — — —
R. Cannon D 89 6.90 — — — 58 54% 2 1 —
J. Atencio M 89 6.70 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
P. Aaronson M 90 6.90 — 1 — 29 24% — — —
H. Ojediran M 90 6.60 — — — 48 44% 2 — —
G. Minoungou F 72 7.00 — — — 15 11% — — —
Rafael Navarro F 90 6.30 — — 2 13 9% 1 1 —
D. Sealy F 90 6.60 — — 2 37 29% — — —
D. Yapi F 18 6.60 — — — 5 5% 1 1 —
L. Herrington D 1 — — — — 3 3% — — —
N. Cobb D 1 — — — — 4 4% — — —
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. dos Santos G 90 6.90 — — — 33 26% — — —
Kieran Sargeant D 70 7.20 — — — 28 24% 6 — —
M. Duah D 90 7.50 — — — 71 66% 2 — —
C. McVey D 90 6.20 — — — 65 56% — 1 —
O. Verhoeven D 90 6.90 — — — 36 33% 1 — —
J. Tverskov M 90 6.60 — — — 52 44% — — —
A. Godoy M 70 7.20 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
A. Mighten M 89 6.60 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
O. Valakari M 90 7.30 — — 2 28 24% 4 — —
A. Dreyer M 90 6.30 — — — 29 23% — — —
M. Ingvartsen F 83 6.90 — — 1 18 14% — — —
A. Alvarado F 20 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
B. B. Zamble F 1 — — — — — — — — —
I. Murphy D 20 6.30 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
L. Morgan F 14 6.70 — — — 5 4% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an San Diego win.