L. Williams
(ast. P. Aaronson)
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 39% win probability (draw 28%, San Diego 31%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
0.47
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
3
7
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
C. McVey
L. Williams
22'
R. Cannon
28'
70'
I. Murphy
/
K. Sargeant
70'
A. Alvarado Jr
/
A. Godoy
71'
I. Murphy
G. Minoungou
/ D. Yapi
72'
Rafael Navarro
82'
83'
L. Morgan
/
M. Ingvartsen
D. Yapi
84'
90'+2
B. B. Zamble
/
A. Mighten
J. Atencio
/ D. Phillip
90'+3
90'+5
L. Morgan
⚽L. Williams
· ast. P. Aaronson
90'+5
R. Holding
/ N. Cobb
90'
R. Cannon
/ L. Herrington
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.92%
Colorado ←
28.34%
X
31.73%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
39.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
0.47
-0.64
1.11
0.78
-0.33
San Diego dominated by xG (0.78 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
33
Kosi Thompson
D
Kosi Thompson
D
5
Loïc Williams
1 ⚽
D
Loïc Williams
1 ⚽
D
6
Rob Holding
89'
D
Rob Holding
89'
D
4
Reggie Cannon
89'
D
Reggie Cannon
89'
D
12
Josh Atencio
89'
M
Josh Atencio
89'
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
8
Hamzat Ojediran
M
Hamzat Ojediran
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
72'
F
Georgi Minoungou
72'
F
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
7
Dante Sealy
F
Dante Sealy
F
Bench
31
Adam Beaudry
G
Adam Beaudry
G
16
Alex Harris
F
Alex Harris
F
15
Ali Fadal
M
Ali Fadal
M
77
Darren Yapi
18'
F
Darren Yapi
18'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
22
Lucas Herrington
1'
D
Lucas Herrington
1'
D
24
Noah Cobb
1'
D
Noah Cobb
1'
D
1
CJ Dos Santos
G
CJ Dos Santos
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
70'
D
Kieran Sargeant
70'
D
26
Manu Duah
D
Manu Duah
D
97
Christopher McVey
D
Christopher McVey
D
33
Oscar Verhoeven
D
Oscar Verhoeven
D
6
Jeppe Tverskov
M
Jeppe Tverskov
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
70'
M
Aníbal Godoy
70'
M
77
Alex Mighten
89'
M
Alex Mighten
89'
M
8
Onni Valakari
M
Onni Valakari
M
10
Anders Dreyer
M
Anders Dreyer
M
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
83'
F
Marcus Ingvartsen
83'
F
Bench
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
20'
F
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
20'
F
14
Bryan Zamblé
1'
F
Bryan Zamblé
1'
F
19
David Vazquez
M
David Vazquez
M
18
Duran Ferree
G
Duran Ferree
G
32
Ian Murphy
20'
D
Ian Murphy
20'
D
25
Ian Pilcher
D
Ian Pilcher
D
9
Lewis Morgan
14'
F
Lewis Morgan
14'
F
15
Pedro Soma
M
Pedro Soma
M
2
Willy Kumado
D
Willy Kumado
D
Best on the pitch
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G · Colorado
7.90
· 33 pass
Loïc Williams
D · Colorado
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
Manu Duah
D · San
7.50
· 71 pass
Rob Holding
D · Colorado
7.50
· 89 pass
Onni Valakari
M · San
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
Aníbal Godoy
M · San
7.20
· 39 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Loïc Williams | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 89 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Josh Atencio | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dante Sealy | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Dos Santos | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| Manu Duah | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Christopher McVey | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeppe Tverskov | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Anders Dreyer | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Alvarado Jr | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Murphy | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Morgan | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an San Diego win.