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MLS · Regular Season - 28 October 11, 2026 03:30 Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City
Colorado Rapids
#8 · 42 pts
1 – 1
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#4 · 48 pts
Donavan Phillip (ast. Paxten Aaronson) 27'
57' (ast. Ronaldo Vieira) Dave Romney
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 39% win probability (draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
10
Shots on target
3
1.15
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
9
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
⚽Donavan Phillip · ast. Paxten Aaronson
27'
44'
Jack Jasinski
Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés
45'+3
57'
ast. Ronaldo Vieira · Dave Romney⚽
↕ Donavan Phillip / Georgi Minoungou
59'
59'
Ousseni Bouda / Timo Werner ↕
59'
Jamar Ricketts / Vitor Costa ↕
↕ Reggie Cannon / Keegan Rosenberry
73'
73'
Nick Fernandez / Paul Marie ↕
74'
Max Floriani / Jack Jasinski ↕
↕ Sayd Abu Farhi / Darren Yapi
83'
↕ Joshua Atencio / Ibrahim Sadiq
83'
↕ Georgi Minoungou / Hamzat Ojediran
83'
90'+4
Ian Harkes / Beau Leroux ↕
Matthew Elliott Wells
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
39.58%
Colorado
24.19%
X ←
36.23%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colorado
1.38
1.15
-0.23
San
1.42
0.77
-0.65
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
41 N. Defreitas N. Defreitas G 6.96
29 M. Navarro M. Navarro D 7.15
5 Loïc Williams Loïc Williams D 6.38
6 R. Holding R. Holding D 6.98
4 R. Cannon R. Cannon 73' D 6.54
13 W. Frederick II W. Frederick II M 6.70
7 M. Whittaker M. Whittaker M 6.06
12 J. Atencio J. Atencio 83' M 6.76
10 P. Aaronson P. Aaronson 1 👟 F 7.70
9 S. Farhi S. Farhi 83' F 6.37
32 D. Phillip D. Phillip 1 ⚽ 59' F 8.20
Bench
31 A. Beaudry A. Beaudry G 0.00
77 D. Yapi D. Yapi 7' F 6.45
93 G. Minoungou G. Minoungou 24' F 6.60
8 H. Ojediran H. Ojediran 7' M 6.32
11 I. Sadiq I. Sadiq 7' F 6.87
99 J. Travis J. Travis D 0.00
2 K. Rosenberry K. Rosenberry 17' D 6.24
33 K. Thompson K. Thompson D 0.00
24 N. Cobb N. Cobb D 0.00
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2
36 E. Edwards E. Edwards G 7.81
87 Vítor Costa Vítor Costa 59' D 6.13
4 D. Romney D. Romney 1 ⚽ D 7.27
5 D. Munie D. Munie D 6.71
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski 74' D 6.27
3 P. Marie P. Marie 73' D 6.46
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux 89' M 6.79
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira 1 👟 M 7.10
23 E. Löwen E. Löwen M 5.98
11 T. Werner T. Werner 59' F 6.52
19 P. Judd P. Judd F 6.24
Bench
28 B. Kikanovic B. Kikanovic F 0.00
31 Francesco Montali Francesco Montali G 0.00
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes 1' M 0.00
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 31' D 6.40
9 L. Jovanović L. Jovanović F 0.00
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani 16' D 6.33
21 N. Buck N. Buck M 0.00
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 17' M 6.36
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda 31' F 6.57
Best on the pitch
D. Phillip
D. Phillip
F · Colorado
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
E. Edwards
E. Edwards
G · San
7.81
· 37 pass
P. Aaronson
P. Aaronson
F · Colorado
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
D. Romney
D. Romney
D · San
7.27
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
M. Navarro
M. Navarro
D · Colorado
7.15
· 45 pass
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
M · San
7.10
1 👟
· 30 pass
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Defreitas G 90 6.96 — — 0 33 26% 0 — —
M. Navarro D 90 7.15 — — 0 45 39% 1 — —
Loïc Williams D 90 6.38 — — 0 57 51% 0 1 —
R. Holding D 90 6.98 — — 0 69 59% 1 — —
R. Cannon D 73 6.54 — — 0 47 42% 1 — —
W. Frederick II M 90 6.70 — — 3 37 30% 2 — —
M. Whittaker M 90 6.06 — — 2 38 33% 0 — —
J. Atencio M 83 6.76 — — 1 50 44% 1 — —
P. Aaronson F 90 7.70 — 1 3 20 17% 1 — —
S. Farhi F 83 6.37 — — 1 16 14% 0 — —
D. Phillip F 59 8.20 1 — 2 10 8% 1 — —
D. Yapi F 7 6.45 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
G. Minoungou F 24 6.60 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
H. Ojediran M 7 6.32 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
I. Sadiq F 7 6.87 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
K. Rosenberry D 17 6.24 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Edwards G 90 7.81 — — 0 37 16% 0 — —
Vítor Costa D 59 6.13 — — 0 12 8% 4 — —
D. Romney D 90 7.27 1 — 2 29 23% 1 — —
D. Munie D 90 6.71 — — 0 29 24% 0 — —
Jack Jasinski D 74 6.27 — — 0 17 13% 1 1 —
P. Marie D 73 6.46 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
Beau Leroux M 89 6.79 — — 1 15 11% 0 — —
R. Vieira M 90 7.10 — 1 0 30 25% 3 — —
E. Löwen M 90 5.98 — — 2 32 25% 0 — —
T. Werner F 59 6.52 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
P. Judd F 90 6.24 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
I. Harkes M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
J. Ricketts D 31 6.40 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
M. Floriani D 16 6.33 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
N. Fernandez M 17 6.36 — — 0 3 3% 3 — —
O. Bouda F 31 6.57 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.