✓Model correct — prediction Columbus Crew
Brais Méndez
(ast. Santiago Rodriguez)
28'
Anass Zaroury
(ast. Mohamed Farsi)
63'
Taha Habroune
65'
17'
Idan Toklomati Jorno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Charlotte 17%). The final result was Columbus Crew 3–1 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
33
Total shots
9
14
Shots on target
2
2.85
Actual xG
0.91
1
Saves
11
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
4
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
17'
Idan Toklomati Jorno⚽
⚽Brais Méndez
· ast. Santiago Rodriguez
28'
45'
Nathan Byrne
/
Will Cleary
45'
Luca De La Torre
/
Brandt Bronico
45'
Rodolfo Aloko
/
Liel Abada
⚽Anass Zaroury
· ast. Mohamed Farsi
63'
⚽Taha Habroune
65'
Anass Zaroury
/ Brooks Lennon
69'
Malte Amundsen
69'
Patrick Schulte
72'
Dylan Chambost
/ Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
78'
Josef Martínez
/ Jamal Thiare
78'
78'
Tyger Smalls
/
Allan Saint-Maximin
83'
Djibril Diani
/
Pep Biel
Santiago Rodriguez
/ André Gomes
86'
Malte Amundsen
/ Eric Bailly
87'
Pre-match prediction
66.47%
Columbus ←
15.66%
X
17.87%
Charlotte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
66.47%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.10
2.85
-0.25
1.38
0.91
-0.47
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (2.85 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
18
M. Amundsen
87'
D
M. Amundsen
87'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
31
S. Moreira
D
S. Moreira
D
21
A. Zaroury
1 ⚽
69'
M
A. Zaroury
1 ⚽
69'
M
16
T. Habroune
1 ⚽
M
T. Habroune
1 ⚽
M
7
D. Chambost
78'
M
D. Chambost
78'
M
23
M. Farsi
1 👟
M
M. Farsi
1 👟
M
8
S. Rodríguez
1 👟
86'
F
S. Rodríguez
1 👟
86'
F
77
Josef Martínez
78'
F
Josef Martínez
78'
F
10
Brais Méndez
1 ⚽
F
Brais Méndez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
André Gomes
4'
M
André Gomes
4'
M
11
B. Lennon
21'
D
B. Lennon
21'
D
3
E. Bailly
3'
D
E. Bailly
3'
D
33
G. Tapia
F
G. Tapia
F
19
J. Thiaré
12'
F
J. Thiaré
12'
F
26
L. Giaccone
M
L. Giaccone
M
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
17
S. Bangoura
12'
M
S. Bangoura
12'
M
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
H. Toffolo
D
H. Toffolo
D
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
35
Will Cleary
45'
D
Will Cleary
45'
D
13
B. Bronico
45'
M
B. Bronico
45'
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
10
A. Saint-Maximin
78'
M
A. Saint-Maximin
78'
M
16
Pep Biel
83'
M
Pep Biel
83'
M
11
L. Abada
45'
M
L. Abada
45'
M
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 ⚽
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
1 ⚽
F
Bench
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
28
D. Diani
7'
M
D. Diani
7'
M
23
D. Schnegg
D
D. Schnegg
D
17
L. de la Torre
45'
M
L. de la Torre
45'
M
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
14
N. Byrne
45'
D
N. Byrne
45'
D
37
R. Aloko
45'
F
R. Aloko
45'
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
25
Tyger Smalls
12'
F
Tyger Smalls
12'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Zaroury
M · Columbus
8.20
1 ⚽
9 shots
· 31 pass
Brais Méndez
F · Columbus
8.20
1 ⚽
8 shots
· 60 pass
K. Kahlina
G · Charlotte
8.05
· 31 pass
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 58 pass
S. Rodríguez
F · Columbus
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 47 pass
I. Toklomati Giorno
F · Charlotte
7.34
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Amundsen | D | 87 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Zaroury | M | 69 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 9 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 78 | 6.93 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Farsi | M | 90 | 7.31 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | F | 86 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 47 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Josef Martínez | F | 78 | 6.37 | — | — | 5 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 8 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 4 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Lennon | D | 21 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Bailly | D | 3 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 12 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 12 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 8.05 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Toffolo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kessler | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 45 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Saint-Maximin | M | 78 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 83 | 5.61 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Abada | M | 45 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 90 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 7 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 45 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 45 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Aloko | F | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 12 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The final score was Columbus Crew 3–1 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 15% to a draw, and 17% to an Charlotte win.