Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 26, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 01:15

Columbus Crew

#8 · 44 pts

2 – 1

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 46 pts

J. Thiare (ast. D. Chambost) 41'

D. Gazdag 45'+6 (pen.)

9' (ast. Evander) K. Denkey

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 51% win probability (draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 27%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.29

Actual xG

0.80

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. Evander · K. Denkey⚽

⚽J. Thiare · ast. D. Chambost

41'

⚽D. Gazdag (pen.)

45'+6

↕ S. Bangoura / A. Gomes

46'

64'

T. Barlow / K. Mboma ↕

64'

B. J. Ramirez Leon / E. Echenique ↕

66'

M. Miazga

↕ D. Chambost / T. Karumanchi

70'

K. Smith / M. Miazga ↕

70'

A. Jabbari / K. Denkey ↕

↕ J. Thiare / H. Picard

79'

85'

T. Anunga / O. Nwobodo ↕

↕ D. Gazdag / C. Adams

85'

↕ S. Moreira / M. Amundsen

85'

90'+4

G. Valenzuela

Pre-match prediction

51.53%

Columbus ←

21.38%

27.09%

we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew) 51.53% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Columbus

2.19

2.29

+0.1

1.52

0.80

-0.72

Columbus Crew dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1

P. Schulte G 7.00

S. Zawadzki D 6.90

R. Camacho D 6.60

S. Moreira 85' D 6.30

M. Arfsten M 7.30

S. Bangoura 45' M 6.50

D. Chambost 1 👟 70' M 8.30

M. Farsi M 6.90

D. Gazdag 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.30

T. Habroune F 7.20

J. Thiaré 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20

Bench

André Gomes 45' M 7.30

A. Sejdić M

Cesar Ruvalcaba D

Chase Adams 5' F

H. Picard 11' M 6.30

M. Amundsen 5' D

Nariman Akhundzade F

N. Hagen G

Owen Presthus D

T. Karumanchi 20' M 6.70

FC Cincinnati 3-4-3

R. Celentano G 8.70

M. Robinson D 6.60

M. Miazga 70' D 5.90

S. Gidi D 6.70

E. Echenique 64' M 6.20

O. Nwobodo 85' M 7.20

G. Valenzuela M 6.70

P. Bucha M 6.60

Evander 1 👟 F 7.00

K. Denkey 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.60

K. Mboma Dem 64' F 6.30

Bench

A. Jabbari 20' F 6.70

A. Powell D

B. Anunga 5' M

Bryan Josías Ramírez León 26' D 7.20

E. Louro G

K. Smith 20' D 6.60

N. Hagglund D

T. Barlow 26' F 6.30

T. Hadebe D

Best on the pitch

R. Celentano

G · FC

8.70

· 12 pass

D. Chambost

M · Columbus

8.30

1 👟

1 shots · 64 pass

K. Denkey

F · FC

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

André Gomes

M · Columbus

7.30

· 33 pass

M. Arfsten

M · Columbus

7.30

1 shots · 40 pass

D. Gazdag

F · Columbus

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 46 pass

Columbus Crew — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Schulte	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	31	27%	—	—	—
S. Zawadzki	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	56	51%	3	—	—
R. Camacho	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	69	67%	2	—	—
S. Moreira	D	85	6.30	—	—	1	48	46%	1	—	—
M. Arfsten	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	40	32%	3	—	—
S. Bangoura	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	37	33%	1	—	—
D. Chambost	M	70	8.30	—	1	1	64	57%	—	—	—
M. Farsi	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	33%	2	—	—
D. Gazdag	F	85	7.30	1	—	3	46	41%	—	—	—
T. Habroune	F	90	7.20	—	—	2	49	44%	3	—	—
J. Thiaré	F	79	7.20	1	—	3	6	5%	—	—	—
André Gomes	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	33	32%	2	—	—
Chase Adams	F	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
H. Picard	M	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
M. Amundsen	D	5	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
T. Karumanchi	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	2	—	—

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Celentano	G	90	8.70	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Robinson	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	56	52%	1	—	—
M. Miazga	D	70	5.90	—	—	—	37	34%	—	1	—
S. Gidi	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	68	59%	1	—	—
E. Echenique	M	64	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	—	—	—
O. Nwobodo	M	85	7.20	—	—	—	36	32%	5	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	44	38%	1	—	—
P. Bucha	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	54	48%	3	—	—
Evander	F	90	7.00	—	1	4	41	34%	2	—	—
K. Denkey	F	70	7.60	1	—	3	11	9%	1	—	—
K. Mboma Dem	F	64	6.30	—	—	1	25	23%	1	—	—
A. Jabbari	F	20	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
B. Anunga	M	5	—	—	—	—	5	5%	1	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	D	26	7.20	—	—	—	12	12%	1	—	—
K. Smith	D	20	6.60	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
T. Barlow	F	26	6.30	—	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

The final score was Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati.

What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

The model assigned 51% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an FC Cincinnati win.