MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 01:15
J. Thiare
(ast. D. Chambost)
41'
D. Gazdag
45'+6
(pen.)
9'
(ast. Evander)
K. Denkey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 51% win probability (draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 27%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
2.29
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
4
20
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. Evander ·
K. Denkey⚽
⚽J. Thiare
· ast. D. Chambost
41'
⚽D. Gazdag
(pen.)
45'+6
S. Bangoura
/ A. Gomes
46'
64'
T. Barlow
/
K. Mboma
64'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
/
E. Echenique
66'
M. Miazga
D. Chambost
/ T. Karumanchi
70'
70'
K. Smith
/
M. Miazga
70'
A. Jabbari
/
K. Denkey
J. Thiare
/ H. Picard
79'
85'
T. Anunga
/
O. Nwobodo
D. Gazdag
/ C. Adams
85'
S. Moreira
/ M. Amundsen
85'
90'+4
G. Valenzuela
Pre-match prediction
51.53%
Columbus ←
21.38%
X
27.09%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
51.53%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.19
2.29
+0.1
1.52
0.80
-0.72
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
S. Moreira
85'
D
S. Moreira
85'
D
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
45'
M
7
D. Chambost
1 👟
70'
M
D. Chambost
1 👟
70'
M
23
M. Farsi
M
M. Farsi
M
8
D. Gazdag
1 ⚽
85'
F
D. Gazdag
1 ⚽
85'
F
16
T. Habroune
F
T. Habroune
F
19
J. Thiaré
1 ⚽
79'
F
J. Thiaré
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
20
André Gomes
45'
M
André Gomes
45'
M
14
A. Sejdić
M
A. Sejdić
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
5'
F
Chase Adams
5'
F
30
H. Picard
11'
M
H. Picard
11'
M
18
M. Amundsen
5'
D
M. Amundsen
5'
D
90
N. Axundzadə
F
N. Axundzadə
F
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
45
Owen Presthus
D
Owen Presthus
D
50
T. Karumanchi
20'
M
T. Karumanchi
20'
M
18
R. Celentano
G
R. Celentano
G
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
21
Matt Miazga
70'
D
Matt Miazga
70'
D
11
S. Gidi
D
S. Gidi
D
66
E. Echenique
64'
M
E. Echenique
64'
M
5
O. Nwobodo
85'
M
O. Nwobodo
85'
M
22
G. Valenzuela
M
G. Valenzuela
M
20
P. Bucha
M
P. Bucha
M
10
Evander
1 👟
F
Evander
1 👟
F
9
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
70'
F
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
70'
F
17
K. Mboma Dem
64'
F
K. Mboma Dem
64'
F
Bench
99
A. Jabbari
20'
F
A. Jabbari
20'
F
2
A. Powell
D
A. Powell
D
27
B. Anunga
5'
M
B. Anunga
5'
M
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
26'
D
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
26'
D
13
E. Louro
G
E. Louro
G
24
K. Smith
20'
D
K. Smith
20'
D
4
N. Hagglund
D
N. Hagglund
D
16
T. Barlow
26'
F
T. Barlow
26'
F
15
T. Hadebe
D
T. Hadebe
D
Best on the pitch
R. Celentano
G · FC
8.70
· 12 pass
D. Chambost
M · Columbus
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
K. Denkey
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.30
· 33 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
D. Gazdag
F · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 46 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 70 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 57% | — | — | — |
| M. Farsi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Chase Adams | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Amundsen | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Karumanchi | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Celentano | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Robinson | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 70 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gidi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Echenique | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 4 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 70 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Jabbari | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an FC Cincinnati win.