MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 01:30
T. Habroune
(ast. M. Arfsten)
31'
H. Picard
56'
59'
(ast. A. Markanich)
K. Yeboah
66'
(ast. J. Pereyra)
K. Yeboah
74'
(ast. N. Triantis)
A. Markanich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 41% win probability (draw 31%, Minnesota United FC 27%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–3 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
7
1.04
Actual xG
1.18
4
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
6
25
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Arfsten
12'
25'
K. Duncan
⚽T. Habroune
· ast. M. Arfsten
31'
M. Amundsen
/ Y. Cheberko
46'
⚽H. Picard
56'
59'
ast. A. Markanich ·
K. Yeboah⚽
D. Gazdag
/ S. Bangoura
63'
66'
ast. J. Pereyra ·
K. Yeboah⚽
R. Camacho
73'
74'
ast. N. Triantis ·
A. Markanich⚽
75'
W. Trapp
/
N. Triantis
75'
M. Boxall
/
N. Romero
H. Picard
/ N. Akhundzade
81'
84'
J. Diaz
89'
M. Dieng
/
K. Yeboah
D. Chambost
/ M. Farsi
90'+2
T. Habroune
/ C. Adams
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
41.31%
Columbus
31.38%
X
27.31%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
27.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.04
-0.5
1.14
1.18
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 1.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
45'
D
M. Amundsen
45'
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
30
H. Picard
1 ⚽
81'
M
H. Picard
1 ⚽
81'
M
7
D. Chambost
89'
M
D. Chambost
89'
M
16
T. Habroune
1 ⚽
89'
M
T. Habroune
1 ⚽
89'
M
27
M. Arfsten
1 👟
M
M. Arfsten
1 👟
M
8
D. Gazdag
63'
F
D. Gazdag
63'
F
10
D. Rossi
F
D. Rossi
F
Bench
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
17
S. Bangoura
27'
M
S. Bangoura
27'
M
21
Y. Cheberko
45'
D
Y. Cheberko
45'
D
12
G
5
N. Romero
75'
D
N. Romero
75'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
30
O. Gene
M
O. Gene
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
1 👟
75'
M
Nectarios Triantis
1 👟
75'
M
3
K. Duncan
M
K. Duncan
M
8
T. Chancalay
F
T. Chancalay
F
26
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
9
K. Yeboah
2 ⚽
89'
F
K. Yeboah
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
2
D. Padelford
D
D. Padelford
D
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
33
K. Chandler
D
K. Chandler
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
9'
F
Mamadou Dieng
9'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
F
M. Gonzalez
F
20
W. Trapp
15'
M
W. Trapp
15'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
A. Markanich
M · Minnesota
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.90
1 👟
· 48 pass
H. Picard
M · Columbus
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
J. Díaz
D · Minnesota
7.50
· 30 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 76% | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 67% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 55 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Y. Cheberko | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| N. Romero | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 31% | — | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 89 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–3 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 31% to a draw, and 27% to an Minnesota United FC win.