US Open Cup
· Quarter-finals
May 21, 2026 01:30
M. Arfsten
(ast. N. Akhundzade)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 53% win probability (draw 23%, New York City FC 22%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–0 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽M. Arfsten
· ast. N. Akhundzade
59'
R. Camacho
/ Y. Cheberko
64'
N. Akhundzade
/ H. Picard
64'
64'
S. Reid
/
A. Perea
64'
M. Jones
/
A. Ojeda
64'
A. Farnos
/
N. Mercau
64'
M. Carrizo
/
H. Wolf
S. Moreira
/ M. Farsi
75'
A. Gomes
/ D. Chambost
76'
T. Habroune
/ J. Thiare
76'
78'
A. Farnos
87'
S. Tanasijevic
/
K. Trewin
Pre-match prediction
53.59%
Columbus ←
23.45%
X
22.97%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
53.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
—
—
1.04
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 1–0 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an New York City FC win.