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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 01:30
Columbus Crew
#8 · 44 pts
1 – 2
Final score
New York City FC
#11 · 39 pts
D. Gazdag 90'+3 (pen.)
(pen.) 28' N. Mercau
70' (ast. Talles Magno) A. Ojeda
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 44% win probability (draw 27%, New York City FC 28%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC. In 2 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.67
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
0
23
Tackles
34
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
28'
(pen.) N. Mercau⚽
40'
T. Gray
55'
Talles Magno / M. Jones ↕
55'
H. Wolf / B. Traore ↕
J. Thiare
57'
M. Arfsten
60'
↕ T. Karumanchi / H. Picard
63'
↕ M. Amundsen / S. Moreira
64'
70'
ast. Talles Magno · A. Ojeda⚽
↕ S. Bangoura / D. Chambost
74'
↕ J. Thiare / D. Gazdag
75'
77'
K. Pierre / J. Shore ↕
T. Habroune
82'
83'
M. Carrizo / N. Cavallo ↕
↕ N. Akhundzade / C. Adams
83'
⚽D. Gazdag (pen.)
90'+3
90'+5
J. Sands
Pre-match prediction
44.47%
Columbus
27.4%
X
28.13%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC) 28.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Columbus
1.36
1.67
+0.31
New
1.06
1.41
+0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.67 – 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-4-2
28 P. Schulte P. Schulte G 6.90
18 M. Amundsen M. Amundsen 64' D 7.20
4 R. Camacho R. Camacho D 6.00
25 S. Zawadzki S. Zawadzki D 6.20
23 M. Farsi M. Farsi D 6.60
27 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten M 6.20
17 S. Bangoura S. Bangoura 74' M 7.00
50 T. Karumanchi T. Karumanchi 63' M 6.70
90 Nariman Akhundzade Nariman Akhundzade 83' M 6.20
16 T. Habroune T. Habroune F 7.50
19 J. Thiaré J. Thiaré 75' F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Sejdić A. Sejdić M
12 Cesar Ruvalcaba Cesar Ruvalcaba D
46 Chase Adams Chase Adams 17' F 6.30
7 D. Chambost D. Chambost 26' M 6.60
8 D. Gazdag D. Gazdag 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.30
30 H. Picard H. Picard 37' M 6.70
1 N. Hagen N. Hagen G
45 Owen Presthus Owen Presthus D
31 S. Moreira S. Moreira 36' D 6.50
New York City FC New York City FC 4-1-4-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 7.20
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 83' D 6.90
6 J. Sands J. Sands D 6.70
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.20
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 6.20
32 J. Shore J. Shore 77' M 6.30
88 M. Jones M. Jones 55' M 6.60
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.90
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau 1 ⚽ M 8.30
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 1 ⚽ M 7.60
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 55' F 6.50
Bench
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos F
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 45' F 6.90
15 K. Pierre K. Pierre 23' M 6.90
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo 17' M 6.60
23 Maxwell Murray Maxwell Murray D
35 M. Ilenič M. Ilenič D
99 S. Reid S. Reid F
11 Talles Magno Talles Magno 1 👟 45' F 6.90
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
M · New
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
F · Columbus
7.50
4 shots · 47 pass
D. Gazdag
D. Gazdag
M · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
M. Amundsen
M. Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.20
· 35 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.20
· 57 pass
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Schulte G 100 6.90 — — — 54 48% — — —
M. Amundsen D 64 7.20 — — — 35 32% 2 — —
R. Camacho D 100 6.00 — — — 106 97% — — —
S. Zawadzki D 100 6.20 — — — 80 74% 4 — —
M. Farsi D 100 6.60 — — 1 43 36% 3 — —
M. Arfsten M 100 6.20 — — 1 34 28% 1 1 —
S. Bangoura M 74 7.00 — — — 47 38% 3 — —
T. Karumanchi M 63 6.70 — — — 33 31% 2 — —
Nariman Akhundzade M 83 6.20 — — 1 26 22% 2 — —
T. Habroune F 100 7.50 — — 4 47 40% 4 1 —
J. Thiaré F 75 6.30 — — 2 9 8% — 1 —
Chase Adams F 17 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
D. Chambost M 26 6.60 — — — 20 17% — — —
D. Gazdag M 25 7.30 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
H. Picard M 37 6.70 — — — 15 15% 1 — —
S. Moreira D 36 6.50 — — — 24 22% 1 — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 100 7.20 — — — 25 19% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 83 6.90 — — — 24 19% 3 — —
J. Sands D 100 6.70 — — — 58 53% 2 1 —
Thiago Martins D 100 7.20 — — — 57 51% 2 — —
T. Gray D 100 6.20 — — — 52 41% 1 1 —
J. Shore M 77 6.30 — — — 32 26% 2 — —
M. Jones M 55 6.60 — — — 14 11% 2 — —
A. Perea M 100 6.90 — — 3 28 21% 4 — —
N. Fernández Mercau M 100 8.30 1 — 2 56 47% 5 — —
A. Ojeda M 100 7.60 1 — 2 24 20% 4 — —
B. Traoré F 55 6.50 — — — 5 5% 2 — —
H. Wolf F 45 6.90 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
K. Pierre M 23 6.90 — — — 5 5% 2 — —
Máximo Carrizo M 17 6.60 — — — 6 4% 2 — —
Talles Magno F 45 6.90 — 1 — 14 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an New York City FC win.