MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 01:30
D. Gazdag
90'+3
(pen.)
(pen.)
28'
N. Mercau
70'
(ast. Talles Magno)
A. Ojeda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 44% win probability (draw 27%, New York City FC 28%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC. In 2 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.67
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
0
23
Tackles
34
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
28'
(pen.)
N. Mercau⚽
40'
T. Gray
55'
Talles Magno
/
M. Jones
55'
H. Wolf
/
B. Traore
J. Thiare
57'
M. Arfsten
60'
T. Karumanchi
/ H. Picard
63'
M. Amundsen
/ S. Moreira
64'
70'
ast. Talles Magno ·
A. Ojeda⚽
S. Bangoura
/ D. Chambost
74'
J. Thiare
/ D. Gazdag
75'
77'
K. Pierre
/
J. Shore
T. Habroune
82'
83'
M. Carrizo
/
N. Cavallo
N. Akhundzade
/ C. Adams
83'
⚽D. Gazdag
(pen.)
90'+3
90'+5
J. Sands
Pre-match prediction
44.47%
Columbus
27.4%
X
28.13%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC)
28.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.67
+0.31
1.06
1.41
+0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.67 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
Patrick Schulte
G
Patrick Schulte
G
18
Malte Amundsen
64'
D
Malte Amundsen
64'
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
25
Sean Zawadzki
D
Sean Zawadzki
D
23
Mohamed Farsi
D
Mohamed Farsi
D
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
74'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
74'
M
50
Tarun Karumanchi
63'
M
Tarun Karumanchi
63'
M
90
Nariman Akhundzade
83'
M
Nariman Akhundzade
83'
M
16
Taha Habroune
F
Taha Habroune
F
19
Jamal Thiaré
75'
F
Jamal Thiaré
75'
F
Bench
14
Amar Sejdic
M
Amar Sejdic
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
17'
F
Chase Adams
17'
F
8
Dániel Gazdag
1 ⚽
25'
M
Dániel Gazdag
1 ⚽
25'
M
7
Dylan Chambost
26'
M
Dylan Chambost
26'
M
30
Hugo Picard
37'
M
Hugo Picard
37'
M
1
Nicholas Hagen
G
Nicholas Hagen
G
45
Owen Presthus
D
Owen Presthus
D
31
Steven Moreira
36'
D
Steven Moreira
36'
D
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
83'
D
Nico Cavallo
83'
D
6
James Sands
D
James Sands
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
32
Jonathan Shore
77'
M
Jonathan Shore
77'
M
88
Malachi Jones
55'
M
Malachi Jones
55'
M
8
Andrés Perea
M
Andrés Perea
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
M
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
1 ⚽
M
Agustin Ojeda
1 ⚽
M
9
Bénie Traoré
55'
F
Bénie Traoré
55'
F
Bench
87
Arnau Farnos
F
Arnau Farnos
F
17
Hannes Wolf
45'
F
Hannes Wolf
45'
F
15
Kevin Pierre
23'
M
Kevin Pierre
23'
M
29
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
23
Max Murray
D
Max Murray
D
35
Mitja Ilenič
D
Mitja Ilenič
D
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
F
11
Talles Magno
1 👟
45'
F
Talles Magno
1 👟
45'
F
30
Tomás Romero
G
Tomás Romero
G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
Agustin Ojeda
M · New
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Taha Habroune
F · Columbus
7.50
4 shots
· 47 pass
Dániel Gazdag
M · Columbus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Malte Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.20
· 35 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.20
· 57 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schulte | G | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Malte Amundsen | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 100 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 106 | 97% | — | — | — |
| Sean Zawadzki | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 74% | 4 | — | — |
| Mohamed Farsi | D | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Tarun Karumanchi | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Taha Habroune | F | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 40% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jamal Thiaré | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Chase Adams | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | M | 25 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| James Sands | D | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Shore | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | M | 100 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 56 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 100 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Bénie Traoré | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Hannes Wolf | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Pierre | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Talles Magno | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an New York City FC win.