MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 01:30
M. Arfsten
4'
M. Arfsten
45'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Arfsten
4'
39'
D. Jean Jacques
⚽M. Arfsten
45'+3
45'+7
J. Lukic
/
J. Bueno
S. Bangoura
45'
46'
B. Bender
/
P. Ndinga
H. Picard
/ S. Moreira
63'
66'
I. Vassilev
/
C. Sullivan
66'
A. Anello
/
J. Rafanello
D. Rossi
/ J. Thiare
70'
T. Habroune
/ D. Gazdag
70'
S. Bangoura
/ A. Sejdic
81'
M. Arfsten
/ M. Farsi
81'
84'
E. Alladoh
/
B. Damiani
90'+4
J. Sery Larsen
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Columbus ←
27.77%
X
23.05%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
49.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.25
-0.39
0.69
0.73
+0.04
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
18
Malte Amundsen
D
Malte Amundsen
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
2
Andres Herrera
D
Andres Herrera
D
30
Hugo Picard
63'
M
Hugo Picard
63'
M
7
Dylan Chambost
M
Dylan Chambost
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
81'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
81'
M
27
M. Arfsten
2 ⚽
81'
M
M. Arfsten
2 ⚽
81'
M
16
Taha Habroune
70'
F
Taha Habroune
70'
F
10
Diego Rossi
70'
F
Diego Rossi
70'
F
Bench
8
Dániel Gazdag
20'
M
Dániel Gazdag
20'
M
19
Jamal Thiaré
20'
F
Jamal Thiaré
20'
F
31
Steven Moreira
27'
D
Steven Moreira
27'
D
21
Yevhen Cheberko
D
Yevhen Cheberko
D
18
G
20
Philippe Ndinga
45'
D
Philippe Ndinga
45'
D
29
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
5
J. Sery Larsen
D
J. Sery Larsen
D
26
Nathan Harriel
D
Nathan Harriel
D
6
Cavan Sullivan
66'
M
Cavan Sullivan
66'
M
14
Jeremy Rafanello
66'
M
Jeremy Rafanello
66'
M
8
Jesus Bueno
44'
M
Jesus Bueno
44'
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
9
Bruno Damiani
84'
F
Bruno Damiani
84'
F
10
Milan Iloski
F
Milan Iloski
F
Bench
11
Alejandro Bedoya
M
Alejandro Bedoya
M
16
Ben Bender
45'
M
Ben Bender
45'
M
23
E. Alladoh
14'
F
E. Alladoh
14'
F
2
Geiner Martínez
D
Geiner Martínez
D
19
Indiana Vassilev
24'
M
Indiana Vassilev
24'
M
4
Jovan Lukić
46'
M
Jovan Lukić
46'
M
Best on the pitch
D · Columbus
8.00
· 82 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Malte Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.50
· 46 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Camacho
D · Columbus
7.20
· 77 pass
Taha Habroune
F · Columbus
7.20
· 22 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Malte Amundsen | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 70% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Andres Herrera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 81 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Taha Habroune | F | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jamal Thiaré | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Philadelphia Union win.