MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 01:30
M. Arfsten
4'
M. Arfsten
45'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Arfsten
4'
39'
D. Jean Jacques
⚽M. Arfsten
45'+3
45'+7
J. Lukic
/
J. Bueno
S. Bangoura
45'
46'
B. Bender
/
P. Ndinga
H. Picard
/ S. Moreira
63'
66'
I. Vassilev
/
C. Sullivan
66'
A. Anello
/
J. Rafanello
D. Rossi
/ J. Thiare
70'
T. Habroune
/ D. Gazdag
70'
S. Bangoura
/ A. Sejdic
81'
M. Arfsten
/ M. Farsi
81'
84'
E. Alladoh
/
B. Damiani
90'+4
J. Sery Larsen
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Columbus ←
27.77%
X
23.05%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew)
49.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.25
-0.39
0.69
0.73
+0.04
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
D
M. Amundsen
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
30
H. Picard
63'
M
H. Picard
63'
M
7
D. Chambost
M
D. Chambost
M
17
S. Bangoura
81'
M
S. Bangoura
81'
M
27
M. Arfsten
2 ⚽
81'
M
M. Arfsten
2 ⚽
81'
M
16
T. Habroune
70'
F
T. Habroune
70'
F
10
D. Rossi
70'
F
D. Rossi
70'
F
Bench
8
D. Gazdag
20'
M
D. Gazdag
20'
M
19
J. Thiaré
20'
F
J. Thiaré
20'
F
31
Steven Moreira
27'
D
Steven Moreira
27'
D
21
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
18
G
20
Philippe Ndinga
45'
D
Philippe Ndinga
45'
D
29
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
5
J. Sery Larsen
D
J. Sery Larsen
D
26
N. Harriel
D
N. Harriel
D
6
Cavan Sullivan
66'
M
Cavan Sullivan
66'
M
14
J. Rafanello
66'
M
J. Rafanello
66'
M
8
J. Bueno
44'
M
J. Bueno
44'
M
21
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
9
B. Damiani
84'
F
B. Damiani
84'
F
10
M. Iloski
F
M. Iloski
F
Bench
11
A. Bedoya
M
A. Bedoya
M
16
B. Bender
45'
M
B. Bender
45'
M
23
E. Alladoh
14'
F
E. Alladoh
14'
F
2
G. Martínez
D
G. Martínez
D
19
I. Vassilev
24'
M
I. Vassilev
24'
M
4
J. Lukić
46'
M
J. Lukić
46'
M
Best on the pitch
D · Columbus
8.00
· 82 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
M. Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.50
· 46 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Camacho
D · Columbus
7.20
· 77 pass
T. Habroune
F · Columbus
7.20
· 22 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 70% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Herrera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 81 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | 1 |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Philadelphia Union win.