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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 01:30
#12 · 29 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#6 · 39 pts
M. Arfsten 4'
M. Arfsten 45'+3
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Arfsten
4'
39'
D. Jean Jacques
⚽M. Arfsten
45'+3
45'+7
J. Lukic / J. Bueno ↕
S. Bangoura
45'
46'
B. Bender / P. Ndinga ↕
↕ H. Picard / S. Moreira
63'
66'
I. Vassilev / C. Sullivan ↕
66'
A. Anello / J. Rafanello ↕
↕ D. Rossi / J. Thiare
70'
↕ T. Habroune / D. Gazdag
70'
↕ S. Bangoura / A. Sejdic
81'
↕ M. Arfsten / M. Farsi
81'
84'
E. Alladoh / B. Damiani ↕
90'+4
J. Sery Larsen
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Columbus ←
27.77%
X
23.05%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew) 49.18% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Columbus
1.64
1.25
-0.39
Philadelphia
0.69
0.73
+0.04
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
28
G 6.90
18 M. Amundsen M. Amundsen D 7.50
25
D 8.00
4 R. Camacho R. Camacho D 7.20
2 M. Herrera M. Herrera D 6.30
30 H. Picard H. Picard 63' M 6.50
7 D. Chambost D. Chambost M 6.70
17 S. Bangoura S. Bangoura 81' M 6.90
27 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 2 ⚽ 81' M 8.00
16 T. Habroune T. Habroune 70' F 7.20
10 D. Rossi D. Rossi 70' F 6.20
Bench
8 D. Gazdag D. Gazdag 20' M 6.30
19 J. Thiaré J. Thiaré 20' F 6.90
31 Steven Moreira Steven Moreira 27' D 6.90
21 Y. Cheberko Y. Cheberko D
18
G 7.50
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga 45' D 5.30
29 O. Makhanya O. Makhanya D 6.50
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D 6.70
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 6.30
6 Cavan  Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 66' M 6.70
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello 66' M 6.90
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 44' M 6.70
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques M 5.90
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 84' F 6.30
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski F 6.30
Bench
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya M
16 B. Bender B. Bender 45' M 6.90
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 14' F 6.50
2 G. Martínez G. Martínez D
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 24' M 6.70
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 46' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
D · Columbus
8.00
· 82 pass
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
M. Amundsen
M. Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.50
· 46 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Camacho
R. Camacho
D · Columbus
7.20
· 77 pass
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
F · Columbus
7.20
· 22 pass
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 52 38% — — —
M. Amundsen D 90 7.50 — — — 46 38% 1 — —
D 90 8.00 — — — 82 70% 3 — —
R. Camacho D 90 7.20 — — — 77 71% 1 — —
M. Herrera D 90 6.30 — — — 37 29% 2 — —
H. Picard M 63 6.50 — — — 13 7% 1 — —
D. Chambost M 90 6.70 — — — 64 49% 1 — —
S. Bangoura M 81 6.90 — — 1 36 28% 4 1 —
M. Arfsten M 81 8.00 2 — 2 16 8% 1 — —
T. Habroune F 70 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
D. Rossi F 70 6.20 — — — 20 16% — — —
D. Gazdag M 20 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Thiaré F 20 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Steven Moreira D 27 6.90 — — — 12 7% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Philippe Ndinga D 45 5.30 — — 2 9 8% 2 — —
O. Makhanya D 90 6.50 — — 1 45 32% 1 — —
J. Sery Larsen D 90 6.70 — — — 40 37% 2 — 1
N. Harriel D 90 6.30 — — 1 44 26% 6 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 66 6.70 — — — 22 13% 2 — —
J. Rafanello M 66 6.90 — — — 26 21% — — —
J. Bueno M 44 6.70 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 5.90 — — 1 36 26% — 1 —
B. Damiani F 84 6.30 — — 1 27 16% 4 — —
M. Iloski F 90 6.30 — — 1 25 16% — — —
B. Bender M 45 6.90 — — 1 16 8% 1 — —
E. Alladoh F 14 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
I. Vassilev M 24 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
J. Lukić M 46 6.30 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Philadelphia Union win.