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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 03:30
Columbus Crew
#13 · 12 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#15 · 6 pts
M. Arfsten 4'
M. Arfsten 45'+3

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Arfsten
4'
39'
D. Jean Jacques
⚽M. Arfsten
45'+3
45'+7
J. Lukic / J. Bueno ↕
S. Bangoura
45'
46'
B. Bender / P. Ndinga ↕
↕ H. Picard / S. Moreira
63'
66'
I. Vassilev / C. Sullivan ↕
66'
A. Anello / J. Rafanello ↕
↕ D. Rossi / J. Thiare
70'
↕ T. Habroune / D. Gazdag
70'
↕ S. Bangoura / A. Sejdic
81'
↕ M. Arfsten / M. Farsi
81'
84'
E. Alladoh / B. Damiani ↕
90'+4
J. Sery Larsen
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Columbus ←
27.77%
X
23.05%
Philadelphia
we assigned to the actual result (Columbus Crew) 49.18% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Columbus
1.64
1.25
-0.39
Philadelphia
0.69
0.73
+0.04
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-4-2
28
G 6.90
18
M. Amundsen D 7.50
25
D 8.00
4 Rudy Camacho Rudy Camacho D 7.20
2 Andres Herrera Andres Herrera D 6.30
30 Hugo Picard Hugo Picard 63' M 6.50
7 Dylan Chambost Dylan Chambost M 6.70
17 Sekou Tidiany Bangoura Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 81' M 6.90
27 Maximilian Arfsten Maximilian Arfsten 2 ⚽ 81' M 8.00
16 Taha Habroune Taha Habroune 70' F 7.20
10 Diego Rossi Diego Rossi 70' F 6.20
Bench
8 Dániel Gazdag Dániel Gazdag 20' M 6.30
19
J. Thiare 20' F 6.90
31 Steven Moreira Steven Moreira 27' D 6.90
21 Yevhen Cheberko Yevhen Cheberko D
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18
G 7.50
20 Philippe Ndinga Philippe Ndinga 45' D 5.30
29 Olwethu Makhanya Olwethu Makhanya D 6.50
5
Japhet Sery Larsen D 6.70
26 Nathan Harriel Nathan Harriel D 6.30
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 66' M 6.70
14 Jeremy Rafanello Jeremy Rafanello 66' M 6.90
8
J. Bueno 44' M 6.70
21 Danley Jean Jacques Danley Jean Jacques M 5.90
9 Bruno Damiani Bruno Damiani 84' F 6.30
10 Milan Iloski Milan Iloski F 6.30
Bench
11 Alejandro Bedoya Alejandro Bedoya M
16 Ben Bender Ben Bender 45' M 6.90
23 Ezekiel Alladoh Ezekiel Alladoh 14' F 6.50
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D
19 Indiana Vassilev Indiana Vassilev 24' M 6.70
4 Jovan Lukić Jovan Lukić 46' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
D · Columbus
8.00
· 82 pass
Maximilian Arfsten
Maximilian Arfsten
M · Columbus
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
M. Amundsen
D · Columbus
7.50
· 46 pass
G · Philadelphia
7.50
· 33 pass
Rudy Camacho
Rudy Camacho
D · Columbus
7.20
· 77 pass
Taha Habroune
Taha Habroune
F · Columbus
7.20
· 22 pass
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 52 38% — — —
M. Amundsen D 90 7.50 — — — 46 38% 1 — —
D 90 8.00 — — — 82 70% 3 — —
Rudy Camacho D 90 7.20 — — — 77 71% 1 — —
Andres Herrera D 90 6.30 — — — 37 29% 2 — —
Hugo Picard M 63 6.50 — — — 13 7% 1 — —
Dylan Chambost M 90 6.70 — — — 64 49% 1 — —
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura M 81 6.90 — — 1 36 28% 4 1 —
Maximilian Arfsten M 81 8.00 2 — 2 16 8% 1 — —
Taha Habroune F 70 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
Diego Rossi F 70 6.20 — — — 20 16% — — —
Dániel Gazdag M 20 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Thiare F 20 6.90 — — — 5 5% — — —
Steven Moreira D 27 6.90 — — — 12 7% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Philippe Ndinga D 45 5.30 — — 2 9 8% 2 — —
Olwethu Makhanya D 90 6.50 — — 1 45 32% 1 — —
Japhet Sery Larsen D 90 6.70 — — — 40 37% 2 — 1
Nathan Harriel D 90 6.30 — — 1 44 26% 6 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 66 6.70 — — — 22 13% 2 — —
Jeremy Rafanello M 66 6.90 — — — 26 21% — — —
J. Bueno M 44 6.70 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Danley Jean Jacques M 90 5.90 — — 1 36 26% — 1 —
Bruno Damiani F 84 6.30 — — 1 27 16% 4 — —
Milan Iloski F 90 6.30 — — 1 25 16% — — —
Ben Bender M 45 6.90 — — 1 16 8% 1 — —
Ezekiel Alladoh F 14 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Indiana Vassilev M 24 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Jovan Lukić M 46 6.30 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Philadelphia Union win.