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Columbus Crew - St. Louis City

US Open Cup October 22, 2026 02:00
Columbus Crew
vs
St. Louis City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.74%
Win
Columbus Crew
22.79%
Draw
47.47%
Win
St. Louis City
1.36
Expected xG
1.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.45%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 23%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 53%
X2 70%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives St. Louis City a 47% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Columbus Crew. Expected goals are 1.4 for Columbus Crew and 1.9 for St. Louis City (total 3.3), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.45% probability.

Season Stats

Columbus Crew
4W 0D 0L
St. Louis City
3W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.8
0.5
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in US Open Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Columbus Crew
3W 0D 0L · at home
St. Louis City
2W 0D 0L · away
2.3
gls/g
2.5
0.7
Conceded
0.5
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Columbus Crew St. Louis City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 7.2% 7.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.6% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
W Orlando City SC 2–1
W New York City FC 1–0
W One Knoxville 4–1
W Richmond Kickers 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
St. Louis City St. Louis City
W Colorado Rapids 0–3
D Houston Dynamo 2–2
W Chicago Fire 1–2
W FC Tulsa 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Attack
36
Defence
61
Form
53
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Attack
56
Defence
73
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City?
The model gives Columbus Crew a 29% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 47% for an St. Louis City win.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City?
Expected goals: Columbus Crew 1.4, St. Louis City 1.9 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Columbus Crew vs St. Louis City?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.45%.