← Cymru Premier
Cymru Premier · Semi-finals April 25, 2026 13:45
#5 · 45 pts
0 – 0
Final score
pens 3–5
#3 · 38 pts
Model wrong — prediction Colwyn Bay, result Pareggio
A. Williams 120'+1 (pen.)
G. Hughes 120'+2 (pen.)
L. Sirrell 120'+4 (pen.)
(pen.) 120'+1 C. Venables
(pen.) 120'+2 N. Wood
(pen.) 120'+3 O. Pritchard
(pen.) 120'+4 N. Daley
(pen.) 120'+5 C. Green

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colwyn Bay a 56% win probability (draw 31%, Penybont 12%). The final result was Colwyn Bay 0–0 Penybont. In 4 previous meetings, Colwyn Bay have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Penybont.

Match statistics
Match Events
66'
C. Green / A. Baker
A. Edwards / J. Cumming
67'
73'
J. Woodiwiss / J. Clay
77'
N. Daley / A. Cvetkovic
M. Hill / A. Williams
82'
A. Moore / A. Williams
88'
120'+1
(pen.) C. Venables
A. Williams (pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.) N. Wood
G. Hughes (pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.) O. Pritchard
J. Davies (missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.) N. Daley
L. Sirrell (pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(pen.) C. Green
Pre-match prediction
56.68%
Colwyn
31.25%
X ←
12.07%
Penybont
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colwyn
1.25
Penybont
0.30
League Table
#Team GPts
1 The New Saints The New Saints 32 80
1 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 32 48
1 The New Saints The New Saints 22 53
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 32 58
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 22 47
2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 32 45
3 Penybont Penybont 22 38
3 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 32 38
3 Barry Town Barry Town 32 46
4 Flint Town United Flint Town United 32 35
4 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 32 45
4 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 22 34
5 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 32 45
5 Bala Town Bala Town 32 32
5 Barry Town Barry Town 22 30
6 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 32 13
6 Penybont Penybont 32 41
6 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 22 30
7 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 22 28
8 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 22 25
9 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 22 24
10 Bala Town Bala Town 22 23
11 Flint Town United Flint Town United 22 21
12 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 22 8
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The final score was Colwyn Bay 0–0 Penybont.
What did the model predict before Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Colwyn Bay win, 31% to a draw, and 12% to an Penybont win.