Cymru Premier · Semi-finals April 25, 2026 13:45

Colwyn Bay

#5 · 45 pts

0 – 0

Final score

pens 3–5

Penybont

#3 · 38 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Colwyn Bay, result Draw

A. Williams 120'+1 (pen.)

G. Hughes 120'+2 (pen.)

L. Sirrell 120'+4 (pen.)

(pen.) 120'+1 C. Venables

(pen.) 120'+2 N. Wood

(pen.) 120'+3 O. Pritchard

(pen.) 120'+4 N. Daley

(pen.) 120'+5 C. Green

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colwyn Bay a 56% win probability (draw 31%, Penybont 12%). The final result was Colwyn Bay 0–0 Penybont. In 4 previous meetings, Colwyn Bay have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Penybont.

Match statistics

Match Events

66'

C. Green / A. Baker ↕

↕ A. Edwards / J. Cumming

67'

73'

J. Woodiwiss / J. Clay ↕

77'

N. Daley / A. Cvetkovic ↕

↕ M. Hill / A. Williams

82'

↕ A. Moore / A. Williams

88'

120'+1

(pen.) C. Venables⚽

⚽A. Williams (pen.)

120'+1

120'+2

(pen.) N. Wood⚽

⚽G. Hughes (pen.)

120'+2

120'+3

(pen.) O. Pritchard⚽

⚽J. Davies (missed pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(pen.) N. Daley⚽

⚽L. Sirrell (pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(pen.) C. Green⚽

Pre-match prediction

56.68%

Colwyn

31.25%

X ←

12.07%

Penybont

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.25% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Colwyn

1.25

—

—

Penybont

0.30

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	The New Saints	32	80
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	32	58
3	Barry Town	32	46
4	Caernarfon Town	32	45
5	Colwyn Bay	32	45
6	Penybont	32	41