Comerciantes Unidos 3–1 Cienciano — pre-match prediction — Liga 1 — October 25, 2026

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Liga 1 · Clausura - 13 October 25, 2026 17:00 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo

Comerciantes Unidos

#9 · 21 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Cienciano

#3 · 33 pts

Jhon Sánchez (ast. Yimy Gamero) 31'

Rodrigo Vilca (ast. Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar) 90'+1

Juan Rodríguez (ast. Jean Olivares) 90'+6

50' (ast. Santiago Arias) Matias Succar

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Comerciantes Unidos a 41% win probability (draw 21%, Cienciano 37%). The final result was Comerciantes Unidos 3–1 Cienciano. In 1 previous meetings, Comerciantes Unidos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cienciano.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.51

Actual xG

1.02

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

26'

Matias Succar

30'

⚽Jhon Sánchez · ast. Yimy Gamero

31'

Yimy Gamero

38'

45'

Gonzalo Aguirre / Marcos Martinich ↕

45'

Ray Sandoval / Carlos Cabello ↕

Agustín Rodríguez

47'

50'

ast. Santiago Arias · Matias Succar⚽

54'

Gonzalo Aguirre

↕ Jhon Sánchez / Jean Olivares

65'

↕ Josuee Herrera / Piero Guzmán

72'

↕ Daniel Lino / Alexis Cossio

72'

↕ Jose Antonio·Parodi / Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar

75'

↕ Yimy Gamero / Wilter Ayovi

76'

Henry Caparo / Gerson Barreto ↕

79'

Sebastian Cavero / Neri Bandiera ↕

79'

Rotceh Aguilar / Claudio Nuñez ↕

84'

Maximiliano Amondarain

⚽Rodrigo Vilca · ast. Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar

90'+1

⚽Juan Rodríguez · ast. Jean Olivares

90'+6

90'+10

Pre-match prediction

41.03%

Comerciantes ←

21.95%

37.02%

Cienciano

we assigned to the actual result (Comerciantes Unidos) 41.03% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Comerciantes

1.95

1.51

-0.44

Cienciano

1.78

1.02

-0.75

Comerciantes Unidos dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	34
3	Cienciano	17	33
4	Universitario	17	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	28
6	Cusco	17	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	21
10	ADT	17	20
11	Sport Boys	17	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	16

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1

G 0.00

D. Lino 72' D 6.99

J. Rodriguez 1 ⚽ D 6.32

F. Alcedo D 6.87

J. Parodi 75' D 6.22

Y. Gamero 1 👟 76' M 7.39

A. Rodríguez M 6.37

J. Sánchez 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.87

Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta 1 ⚽ M 8.20

J. Herrera 72' M 6.29

M. Sen F 6.48

Bench

A. Cossio 18' D 6.68

J. Olivares 1 👟 25' F 6.67

José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez G 0.00

M. Carpio M 0.00

M. Pérez F 0.00

O. Pinto M 0.00

P. Guzmán 18' D 6.56

Thiago Salinas 1 👟 15' M 6.64

W. Ayoví 14' F 7.13

Cienciano 4-2-3-1

G. Falcón G 7.93

M. Martinich 46' D 6.36

K. Becerra D 5.92

M. Amondarain D 5.31

C. Núñez 79' D 5.98

S. Arias 1 👟 M 6.71

G. Barreto 76' M 6.21

C. Souza M 7.18

C. Cabello 46' M 6.08

N. Bandiera 79' M 5.61

M. Succar 1 ⚽ F 7.27

Bench

A. Yovera D 0.00

G. Aguirre 44' M 5.85

H. Caparó 14' M 5.98

Í. Espinoza G 0.00

R. Aguilar 11' D 6.19

R. Salazar D 0.00

R. Sandoval 44' F 6.26

S. Cavero 11' D 5.65

Best on the pitch

Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta

M · Comerciantes

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 44 pass

G. Falcón

G · Cienciano

7.93

1 shots · 27 pass

J. Sánchez

M · Comerciantes

7.87

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

Y. Gamero

M · Comerciantes

7.39

1 👟

· 40 pass

M. Succar

F · Cienciano

7.27

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

C. Souza

M · Cienciano

7.18

1 shots · 22 pass

Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	0	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
D. Lino	D	72	6.99	—	—	0	16	11%	2	—	—
J. Rodriguez	D	90	6.32	1	—	2	39	21%	0	—	—
F. Alcedo	D	90	6.87	—	—	1	39	31%	0	—	—
J. Parodi	D	75	6.22	—	—	0	23	15%	1	—	—
Y. Gamero	M	76	7.39	—	1	0	40	34%	0	1	—
A. Rodríguez	M	90	6.37	—	—	0	31	23%	2	1	—
J. Sánchez	M	65	7.87	1	—	3	17	13%	0	—	—
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	44	37%	2	—	—
J. Herrera	M	72	6.29	—	—	3	19	13%	0	—	—
M. Sen	F	90	6.48	—	—	1	17	12%	1	—	—
A. Cossio	D	18	6.68	—	—	1	7	5%	0	—	—
J. Olivares	F	25	6.67	—	1	0	6	2%	2	—	—
P. Guzmán	D	18	6.56	—	—	0	9	6%	0	—	—
Thiago Salinas	M	15	6.64	—	1	0	9	7%	0	—	—
W. Ayoví	F	14	7.13	—	—	0	9	6%	2	—	—

Cienciano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Falcón	G	90	7.93	—	—	1	27	18%	0	—	—
M. Martinich	D	46	6.36	—	—	1	15	8%	1	—	—
K. Becerra	D	90	5.92	—	—	0	26	18%	2	—	—
M. Amondarain	D	90	5.31	—	—	1	37	21%	0	1	—
C. Núñez	D	79	5.98	—	—	1	19	11%	0	—	—
S. Arias	M	90	6.71	—	1	1	37	29%	1	—	—
G. Barreto	M	76	6.21	—	—	0	31	27%	1	—	—
C. Souza	M	90	7.18	—	—	1	22	19%	3	—	—
C. Cabello	M	46	6.08	—	—	0	14	10%	1	—	—
N. Bandiera	M	79	5.61	—	—	2	11	7%	0	—	—
M. Succar	F	90	7.27	1	—	1	13	6%	1	1	—
G. Aguirre	M	44	5.85	—	—	1	18	13%	0	1	—
H. Caparó	M	14	5.98	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
R. Aguilar	D	11	6.19	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
R. Sandoval	F	44	6.26	—	—	1	17	10%	0	—	—
S. Cavero	D	11	5.65	—	—	0	2	2%	1	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

The final score was Comerciantes Unidos 3–1 Cienciano.

What did the model predict before Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Comerciantes Unidos win, 21% to a draw, and 37% to an Cienciano win.