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← Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco

Liga 1 August 07, 2026 22:15 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes Unidos
#9 · 21 pts
vs
Cusco
#3 · 6 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 9.6°C 💨 4 km/h 🌧️ 33% · Cutervo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.77%
Win
Comerciantes Unidos
26.17%
Draw
27.07%
Win
Cusco
1.39
Expected xG
0.96

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.89%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.4% hit rate (27 picks)
1 47%
X 26%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 53%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Comerciantes Unidos a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Cusco. Expected goals are 1.4 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.0 for Cusco (total 2.4), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.89% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Comerciantes Unidos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cusco.

Season Stats

Comerciantes Unidos
3W 7D 5L
Cusco
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.5
4.6
Shots OT
4.5
3.7
Corners
3.4
49%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Comerciantes Unidos
4W 5D 1L · at home
Cusco
3W 1D 6L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.1
0.7
Conceded
2.0
40%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
40%
50%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Comerciantes Unidos Cusco →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.9% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
L Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–2
D Alianza Lima 2–2
D UCV Moquegua 2–2
L Sport Boys 1–0
D Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Cusco Cusco
W UTC Cajamarca 4–1
L Universitario 2–1
W Alianza Atletico 4–1
W ADT 1–2
W Atletico Grau 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Attack
43
Defence
56
Form
41
Cusco Cusco
Attack
49
Defence
56
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Comerciantes Unidos
0
Draw
1
Cusco
23 Feb 2026 Liga 1 1–3

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Comerciantes Unidos Cusco
Current #9 #1
→ Comerciantes Unidos #8 #6
→ Draw #8 #6
→ Cusco #9 #4

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco?
The model gives Comerciantes Unidos a 46% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 27% for an Cusco win.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco?
Expected goals: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4, Cusco 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.89%.