Como - Manchester United
Champions League
October 21, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.7%
Win
Como
31.6%
Draw
26.71%
Win
Manchester United
1.13
0.67
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.48%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
32%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
58%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Como a 41% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 1.1 for Como and 0.7 for Manchester United (total 1.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.48% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
4.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
6.0
Shots OT
10.0
1.0
Corners
7.0
49%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Como
Manchester United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 18.7% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Como
Attack
53
Defence
69
Form
64
Manchester United
Attack
53
Defence
54
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Como vs Manchester United?
The model gives Como a 41% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 26% for an Manchester United win.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Manchester United?
Expected goals: Como 1.1, Manchester United 0.7 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Como vs Manchester United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.48%.