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Como - Paris Saint Germain

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
#5 · 3 pts
vs
#1 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.48%
Win
Como
34.56%
Draw
26.96%
Win
Paris Saint Germain
0.92
Expected xG
0.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.0%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 35%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 62%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Como a 38% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Paris Saint Germain. Expected goals are 0.9 for Como and 0.3 for Paris Saint Germain (total 1.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability.

Season Stats

Como
1W 0D 0L
Paris Saint Germain
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.4
6.0
Shots OT
6.9
1.0
Corners
5.9
49%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
73%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
82%
BTTS
Como
1W 0D 0L · at home
Paris Saint Germain
5W 2D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
2.4
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
63%
100%
Win or Draw
88%
100%
O 1.5
88%
100%
O 2.5
63%
100%
O 3.5
25%
100%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
0%
Failed to Score
13%
last 8
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Como Paris Saint Germain →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.3% 9.6% 1.6% 0.2%
1 26.1% 8.9% 1.5% 0.2%
2 12.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1%
3 3.7% 1.3% 0.2%
4 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W RB Leipzig 4–1
W Slovan Bratislava 6–1
D Arsenal 1–1
D Bayern München 1–1
W Bayern München 5–4
W Liverpool 0–2

Playing profile

Como Como
Attack
48
Defence
75
Form
51
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Attack
35
Defence
53
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model gives Como a 38% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 26% for an Paris Saint Germain win.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
Expected goals: Como 0.9, Paris Saint Germain 0.3 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.