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Como - Paris Saint Germain

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
Como
#9 · 6 pts
vs
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.48%
Win
Como
34.56%
Draw
26.96%
Win
Paris Saint Germain
0.92
Expected xG
0.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.0%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 35%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 62%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Como a 38% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Paris Saint Germain. Expected goals are 0.9 for Como and 0.3 for Paris Saint Germain (total 1.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability.

Season Stats

Como
2W 0D 1L
Paris Saint Germain
9W 5D 1L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
2.7
1.7
Conceded
1.3
6.3
Shots OT
7.6
1.0
Corners
5.3
52%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
73%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Como
2W 0D 0L · at home
Paris Saint Germain
6W 2D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
2.6
1.0
Conceded
1.1
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
89%
100%
O 1.5
89%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
11%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Como Paris Saint Germain →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.3% 9.6% 1.6% 0.2% — —
1 26.1% 8.9% 1.5% 0.2% — —
2 12.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% — — —
4 0.9% 0.3% — — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Como Como
W Manchester United 4–1
L Feyenoord 3–2
W RB Leipzig 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
W Barcelona 4–2
W Manchester City 2–4
W Slovan Bratislava 6–1
D Arsenal 1–1
D Bayern München 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Como Como
Attack
58
Defence
65
Form
63
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Attack
78
Defence
59
Form
83
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model gives Como a 38% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 26% for an Paris Saint Germain win.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
Expected goals: Como 0.9, Paris Saint Germain 0.3 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Como vs Paris Saint Germain?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.