✓Model correct — prediction Como
A. Moreno
(ast. J. Rodriguez)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 67% win probability (draw 23%, Parma 9%). The final result was Como 1–0 Parma. In 1 previous meetings, Como have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Parma.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
7
Shots on target
2
2.90
Actual xG
0.43
2
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
15
Corners
2
21
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
M. Caqueret
/ J. Rodriguez
53'
⚽A. Moreno
· ast. J. Rodriguez
58'
59'
N. Elphege
/
G. Strefezza
A. Moreno
65'
71'
O. Sorensen
/
C. Ordonez
71'
E. Valeri
/
F. Carboni
71'
N. Estevez
/
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
I. Van der Brempt
/ I. Smolcic
71'
74'
M. O. Kempf
/ Diego Carlos
82'
A. Douvikas
/ A. Morata
82'
M. Baturina
/ S. Roberto
82'
85'
D. Mikolajewski
/
N. Elphege
J. Ramon
88'
Pre-match prediction
67.29%
Como ←
23.25%
X
9.46%
Parma
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Como)
67.29%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
2.90
+1.26
0.46
0.43
-0.03
Como dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jean Butez
G
Jean Butez
G
18
Alberto Moreno
1 ⚽
D
Alberto Moreno
1 ⚽
D
2
Marc Kempf
82'
D
Marc Kempf
82'
D
14
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
71'
D
Ignace Van der Brempt
71'
D
23
M. Perrone
M
M. Perrone
M
33
L. da Cunha
M
L. da Cunha
M
38
Assane Diao
M
Assane Diao
M
20
M. Baturina
82'
M
M. Baturina
82'
M
6
M. Caqueret
53'
M
M. Caqueret
53'
M
11
T. Douvikas
82'
F
T. Douvikas
82'
F
Bench
15
Adrian Lahdo
M
Adrian Lahdo
M
7
Álvaro Morata
8'
F
Álvaro Morata
8'
F
34
Diego Carlos
8'
D
Diego Carlos
8'
D
5
Edoardo Goldaniga
D
Edoardo Goldaniga
D
28
Ivan Smolčić
19'
D
Ivan Smolčić
19'
D
17
Jesús Rodríguez
1 👟
37'
F
Jesús Rodríguez
1 👟
37'
F
22
Mauro Vigorito
G
Mauro Vigorito
G
31
M. Vojvoda
D
M. Vojvoda
D
19
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
F
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
F
44
Nikola Čavlina
G
Nikola Čavlina
G
21
Noel Törnqvist
G
Noel Törnqvist
G
8
Sergi Roberto
8'
M
Sergi Roberto
8'
M
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
5
Lautaro Valenti
D
Lautaro Valenti
D
37
Mariano Troilo
D
Mariano Troilo
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
29
Franco Carboni
71'
M
Franco Carboni
71'
M
24
Christian Ordoñez
71'
M
Christian Ordoñez
71'
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
71'
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
71'
M
16
Mandela Keita
M
Mandela Keita
M
15
Enrico Delprato
M
Enrico Delprato
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
59'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
59'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
F
Mateo Pellegrino
F
Bench
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
75
Alessandro Cardinali
F
Alessandro Cardinali
F
76
Daniel Mikołajewski
12'
F
Daniel Mikołajewski
12'
F
40
Edoardo Corvi
G
Edoardo Corvi
G
77
Edoardo Tigani
M
Edoardo Tigani
M
14
E. Valeri
19'
D
E. Valeri
19'
D
64
Gianluca Astaldi
G
Gianluca Astaldi
G
63
Marlon Mena
D
Marlon Mena
D
8
Nahuel Estévez
19'
M
Nahuel Estévez
19'
M
23
Nesta Elphege
26'
F
Nesta Elphege
26'
F
22
Oliver Sørensen
19'
M
Oliver Sørensen
19'
M
11
Pontus Almqvist
F
Pontus Almqvist
F
Best on the pitch
Zion Suzuki
G · Parma
8.60
· 28 pass
Alberto Moreno
D · Como
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
M. Baturina
M · Como
7.70
2 shots
· 46 pass
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D · Como
7.50
4 shots
· 53 pass
Álvaro Morata
F · Como
7.30
1 shots
· 3 pass
Lautaro Valenti
D · Parma
7.30
· 29 pass
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Butez | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 53 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Caqueret | M | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 8 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rodríguez | F | 37 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Valenti | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Mikołajewski | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| E. Valeri | D | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Estévez | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sørensen | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Como vs Parma?
The final score was Como 1–0 Parma.
What did the model predict before Como vs Parma?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Como win, 23% to a draw, and 9% to an Parma win.