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← Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.

Comoros - Congo

Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. November 11, 2026 18:00
Comoros
#2 · 3 pts
vs
Congo
#4 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.5%
Win
Comoros
33.22%
Draw
33.28%
Win
Congo
0.85
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.75%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Comoros a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Congo. Expected goals are 0.8 for Comoros and 0.8 for Congo (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.75% probability.

Season Stats

Comoros
1W 0D 1L
Congo
0W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
1.5
Conceded
1.0
3.5
Shots OT
4.5
5.5
Corners
6.0
43%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Comoros Congo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.5% 15.5% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% — —
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Comoros Comoros
W Namibia 1–0
L Cameroon 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Congo Congo
D Cameroon 1–1
L Namibia 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Comoros Comoros
Attack
18
Defence
72
Form
35
Congo Congo
Attack
31
Defence
72
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group G

# Team G Pts
1 Cameroon Cameroon 2 4
2 Comoros Comoros 2 3
3 Namibia Namibia 2 3
4 Congo Congo 2 1

What's at stake · Group G

Top 2 advance to the next round

Comoros Congo
Current #2 #4
→ Comoros #1 #4
→ Draw #2 #4
→ Congo #4 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Comoros vs Congo?
The model gives Comoros a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Congo win.
How many goals are expected in Comoros vs Congo?
Expected goals: Comoros 0.8, Congo 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Comoros vs Congo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.75%.