Primera División
· Regular Season - 22
September 05, 2026 02:30
Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion
17'
(ast. Diego Coelho)
César Pinares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 61% win probability (draw 22%, A. Italiano 16%). The final result was Concepción 0–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
6
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
2
14
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
ast. Diego Coelho ·
César Pinares⚽
32'
Fernando Martinez
/ Joaquín Montecinos
45'
Nicolas Fuentes
/ Aldrix Jara
45'
45'
Marco Collao Ramos
/
Federico Mateos
Jorge Henríquez
/ Fernando Romero
56'
64'
Mario Eduardo Sandoval
/
Paolo Guajardo
68'
Mario Eduardo Sandoval
Ethan Espinoza
/ Carlos Escobar
69'
Y. Rodríguez
/ Misael Dávila
69'
73'
Fausto Grillo
74'
Joaquín Montecinos
76'
77'
Franco Troyansky
84'
Marcelo Ortíz
/
Franco Troyansky
90'+3
Damian Pizarro
/
Diego Coelho
Aldrix Jara
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
61.58%
Concepción
22.15%
X
16.27%
A. ←
we assigned to the actual result (A. Italiano)
16.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
—
—
0.68
—
—
Lineups
25
N. Araya
G
N. Araya
G
23
C. Riquelme
D
C. Riquelme
D
37
F. Grillo
74'
D
F. Grillo
74'
D
21
N. Rodríguez
D
N. Rodríguez
D
18
Y. Rodríguez
69'
D
Y. Rodríguez
69'
D
16
M. Sandoval
M
M. Sandoval
M
8
F. Martínez
45'
M
F. Martínez
45'
M
30
E. Espinoza
69'
M
E. Espinoza
69'
M
20
J. Henríquez
56'
M
J. Henríquez
56'
M
31
Nicolas Fuentes
45'
M
Nicolas Fuentes
45'
M
32
J. Larrivey
F
J. Larrivey
F
Bench
19
A. Jara
45'
F
A. Jara
45'
F
9
C. Escobar
21'
F
C. Escobar
21'
F
3
D. Carrasco
D
D. Carrasco
D
29
D. Varas
D
D. Varas
D
7
F. Romero
34'
F
F. Romero
34'
F
15
J. Montecinos
45'
F
J. Montecinos
45'
F
24
M. Cavalleri
F
M. Cavalleri
F
22
M. Dávila
21'
M
M. Dávila
21'
M
12
N. Veloso
G
N. Veloso
G
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
3
F. Salomoni
D
F. Salomoni
D
4
D. Piña
D
D. Piña
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
E. Ferrario
D
35
R. Rebolledo
D
R. Rebolledo
D
21
G. Chiaverano
M
G. Chiaverano
M
19
C. Pinares
1 ⚽
M
C. Pinares
1 ⚽
M
28
F. Mateos
45'
M
F. Mateos
45'
M
7
P. Guajardo
64'
M
P. Guajardo
64'
M
9
D. Coelho
1 👟
89'
F
D. Coelho
1 👟
89'
F
11
F. Troyansky
84'
F
F. Troyansky
84'
F
Bench
30
A. Uribe
M
A. Uribe
M
22
D. Pizarro
1'
F
D. Pizarro
1'
F
17
F. Loyola
M
F. Loyola
M
8
M. Collao
45'
M
M. Collao
45'
M
27
M. Fuentes
F
M. Fuentes
F
29
M. Ortiz
6'
D
M. Ortiz
6'
D
6
M. Sandoval
26'
M
M. Sandoval
26'
M
25
P. Garrido
G
P. Garrido
G
2
V. Zenteno
M
V. Zenteno
M
Best on the pitch
C. Pinares
M · A.
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
T. Ahumada
G · A.
7.75
· 32 pass
R. Rebolledo
D · A.
7.56
· 14 pass
D. Coelho
F · A.
7.26
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
E. Ferrario
D · A.
7.23
· 19 pass
F. Mateos
M · A.
7.20
1 shots
· 15 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Araya | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Riquelme | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Grillo | D | 74 | 5.43 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 40% | 0 | — | 1 |
| N. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 5 | 81 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Rodríguez | D | 69 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Martínez | M | 45 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Espinoza | M | 69 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Henríquez | M | 56 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Fuentes | M | 45 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Jara | F | 45 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Escobar | F | 21 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Romero | F | 34 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Montecinos | F | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Dávila | M | 21 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 90 | 7.75 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Salomoni | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ferrario | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Rebolledo | D | 90 | 7.56 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 7 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | M | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Pinares | M | 90 | 8.18 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Mateos | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Guajardo | M | 64 | 6.77 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 89 | 7.26 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Troyansky | F | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Pizarro | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 45 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ortiz | D | 6 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 26 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Concepción 0–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Concepción win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an A. Italiano win.