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Primera División · Regular Season - 10 April 19, 2026 02:00
Concepción
#8 · 31 pts
3 – 3
Final score
D. La Serena
#9 · 30 pts
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez 11'
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez (ast. J. Larrivey) 46'
J. Larrivey 67' (pen.)
(pen.) 24' J. Vargas
(pen.) 31' J. Vargas
42' N. Stefanelli
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave D. La Serena a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Concepción 30%). The final result was Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
5
12
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. S. Mesias Gonzalez
11'
24'
(pen.) J. Vargas⚽
31'
(pen.) J. Vargas⚽
42'
N. Stefanelli⚽
↕ F. Grillo / B. Vejar
46'
↕ Y. Rodriguez / M. Sandoval
46'
↕ B. Escobar / J. Henriquez
46'
⚽I. S. Mesias Gonzalez · ast. J. Larrivey
46'
↕ C. Suarez / L. Valencia Rossel
55'
59'
F. Lanzillotta
60'
B. Gutierrez
⚽J. Larrivey (pen.)
67'
70'
M. Marin / S. Diaz ↕
75'
D. Rubio / N. Stefanelli ↕
↕ I. S. Mesias Gonzalez / L. Romero
76'
90'+3
B. Contreras / J. Gutierrez ↕
90'+3
F. Dinamarca / J. Vargas ↕
D. Carrasco
90'+5
90'+7
F. Dinamarca
Pre-match prediction
30.48%
Concepción
31.57%
X ←
37.96%
D.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Concepción
0.78
—
—
D.
1.13
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 23 54
2 U. Catolica U. Catolica 23 42
3 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 23 42
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 23 36
5 Palestino Palestino 23 36
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 22 33
7 Nublense Nublense 23 32
8 Concepción Concepción 23 31
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 23 30
10 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 22 29
11 A. Italiano A. Italiano 23 28
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 23 27
13 Huachipato Huachipato 21 25
14 Cobresal Cobresal 23 24
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 22 22
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 22 14
Lineups
Concepción Concepción 4-4-2
25
G 6.30
3 D. Carrasco D. Carrasco D 5.70
37 F. Grillo F. Grillo 45' D 5.00
13 Cristián Suárez Cristián Suárez 55' D 5.90
21 N. Rodríguez N. Rodríguez D 6.20
39
B. Escobar 45' M 6.20
22
M 6.50
18 Y. Rodríguez Y. Rodríguez 45' M 6.30
19 A. Jara A. Jara M 6.30
32 J. Larrivey J. Larrivey 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.30
17
76' F 8.70
Bench
7 A. Gillard A. Gillard F
20 J. Henríquez J. Henríquez 45' M 7.50
10 L. Valencia L. Valencia 35' M 7.20
24 M. Cavalleri M. Cavalleri F
D. La Serena D. La Serena 4-1-4-1
1 F. Lanzillota F. Lanzillota G 5.90
17 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar D 6.20
33
D 6.50
2
D 5.90
21 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez D 6.20
4 F. Mac Allister F. Mac Allister M 6.90
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas 2 ⚽ 89' M 7.20
6 S. Díaz S. Díaz 70' M 6.90
14 F. Chamorro F. Chamorro M 7.20
16 J. Gutiérrez J. Gutiérrez 89' M 6.20
34 Nicolás Stefanelli Nicolás Stefanelli 1 ⚽ 75' F 8.20
Bench
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 15' F 6.50
26 F. Dinamarca F. Dinamarca 1' D
23 M. Marín M. Marín 20' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
F · Concepción
8.70
2 shots · 15 pass
Nicolás Stefanelli
Nicolás Stefanelli
F · D.
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
J. Henríquez
J. Henríquez
M · Concepción
7.50
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Larrivey
J. Larrivey
F · Concepción
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
L. Valencia
L. Valencia
M · Concepción
7.20
1 shots · 12 pass
F. Chamorro
F. Chamorro
M · D.
7.20
1 shots · 29 pass
Concepción Concepción — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 15 10% — — —
D. Carrasco D 90 5.70 — — — 15 6% 1 — 1
F. Grillo D 45 5.00 — — 1 9 5% — — —
Cristián Suárez D 55 5.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
N. Rodríguez D 90 6.20 — — — 35 23% 1 — —
B. Escobar M 45 6.20 — — — 4 1% 3 — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 16 7% 1 — —
Y. Rodríguez M 45 6.30 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
A. Jara M 90 6.30 — — — 24 18% — — —
J. Larrivey F 90 7.30 1 1 2 23 15% 1 — —
F 76 8.70 — — 2 15 9% — — —
J. Henríquez M 45 7.50 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
L. Valencia M 35 7.20 — — 1 12 8% 3 — —
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Lanzillota G 90 5.90 — — — 24 17% — 1 —
Y. Salazar D 90 6.20 — — — 23 17% 3 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 48 31% 1 — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 29 22% 2 — —
B. Gutiérrez D 90 6.20 — — — 21 17% 2 1 —
F. Mac Allister M 90 6.90 — — — 50 40% 3 — —
J. Vargas M 89 7.20 2 — 3 35 30% — — —
S. Díaz M 70 6.90 — — — 29 24% 3 — —
F. Chamorro M 90 7.20 — — 1 29 21% — — —
J. Gutiérrez M 89 6.20 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
Nicolás Stefanelli F 75 8.20 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
D. Rubio F 15 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
F. Dinamarca D 1 — — — — — — — 1 —
M. Marín M 20 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs D. La Serena?
The final score was Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Concepción win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an D. La Serena win.