← Primera División
Primera División · Regular Season - 10 April 19, 2026 04:00
Concepción
#16 · 8 pts
3 – 3
Final score
D. La Serena
#10 · 14 pts
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez 11'
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez (ast. J. Larrivey) 46'
J. Larrivey 67' (pen.)
(pen.) 24' J. Vargas
(pen.) 31' J. Vargas
42' N. Stefanelli

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave D. La Serena a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Concepción 30%). The final result was Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
0
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
5
12
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. S. Mesias Gonzalez
11'
24'
(pen.) J. Vargas⚽
31'
(pen.) J. Vargas⚽
42'
N. Stefanelli⚽
↕ F. Grillo / B. Vejar
46'
↕ Y. Rodriguez / M. Sandoval
46'
↕ B. Escobar / J. Henriquez
46'
⚽I. S. Mesias Gonzalez · ast. J. Larrivey
46'
↕ C. Suarez / L. Valencia Rossel
55'
59'
F. Lanzillotta
60'
B. Gutierrez
⚽J. Larrivey (pen.)
67'
70'
M. Marin / S. Diaz ↕
75'
D. Rubio / N. Stefanelli ↕
↕ I. S. Mesias Gonzalez / L. Romero
76'
90'+3
B. Contreras / J. Gutierrez ↕
90'+3
F. Dinamarca / J. Vargas ↕
D. Carrasco
90'+5
90'+7
F. Dinamarca
Pre-match prediction
30.48%
Concepción
31.57%
X ←
37.96%
D.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Concepción
0.78
—
—
D.
1.13
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 11 24
2 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 11 21
3 Huachipato Huachipato 11 19
4 O'Higgins O'Higgins 11 19
5 U. Catolica U. Catolica 11 17
6 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 11 17
7 Nublense Nublense 11 17
8 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 11 16
9 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 11 15
10 D. La Serena D. La Serena 11 14
11 Palestino Palestino 11 14
12 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 11 14
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 11 11
14 Cobresal Cobresal 11 10
15 Union La Calera Union La Calera 11 10
16 Concepción Concepción 11 8
Lineups
Concepción Concepción 4-4-2
25
G 6.30
3
D. Carrasco D 5.70
37
F. Grillo 45' D 5.00
13
C. Suarez 55' D 5.90
21
N. Rodriguez D 6.20
39
B. Escobar 45' M 6.20
22
M 6.50
18
Y. Rodriguez 45' M 6.30
19
A. Jara M 6.30
32
J. Larrivey 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.30
17
76' F 8.70
Bench
7
Ángel Gillard F
20
J. Henriquez 45' M 7.50
10
L. Valencia Rossel 35' M 7.20
24
M. Cavalleri F
D. La Serena D. La Serena 4-1-4-1
1
F. Lanzillotta G 5.90
17
Yahir Salazar D 6.20
33
D 6.50
2
D 5.90
21
B. Gutierrez D 6.20
4 F. Mac Allister F. Mac Allister M 6.90
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas 2 ⚽ 89' M 7.20
6
Sebastián Díaz 70' M 6.90
14 F. Chamorro F. Chamorro M 7.20
16
J. Gutierrez 89' M 6.20
34
N. Stefanelli 1 ⚽ 75' F 8.20
Bench
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 15' F 6.50
26
F. Dinamarca 1' D
23
Matías Marín 20' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
F · Concepción
8.70
2 shots · 15 pass
N. Stefanelli
F · D.
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
J. Henriquez
M · Concepción
7.50
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Larrivey
F · Concepción
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
L. Valencia Rossel
M · Concepción
7.20
1 shots · 12 pass
F. Chamorro
F. Chamorro
M · D.
7.20
1 shots · 29 pass
Concepción Concepción — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 15 10% — — —
D. Carrasco D 90 5.70 — — — 15 6% 1 — 1
F. Grillo D 45 5.00 — — 1 9 5% — — —
C. Suarez D 55 5.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
N. Rodriguez D 90 6.20 — — — 35 23% 1 — —
B. Escobar M 45 6.20 — — — 4 1% 3 — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 16 7% 1 — —
Y. Rodriguez M 45 6.30 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
A. Jara M 90 6.30 — — — 24 18% — — —
J. Larrivey F 90 7.30 1 1 2 23 15% 1 — —
F 76 8.70 — — 2 15 9% — — —
J. Henriquez M 45 7.50 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
L. Valencia Rossel M 35 7.20 — — 1 12 8% 3 — —
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Lanzillotta G 90 5.90 — — — 24 17% — 1 —
Yahir Salazar D 90 6.20 — — — 23 17% 3 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 48 31% 1 — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 29 22% 2 — —
B. Gutierrez D 90 6.20 — — — 21 17% 2 1 —
F. Mac Allister M 90 6.90 — — — 50 40% 3 — —
J. Vargas M 89 7.20 2 — 3 35 30% — — —
Sebastián Díaz M 70 6.90 — — — 29 24% 3 — —
F. Chamorro M 90 7.20 — — 1 29 21% — — —
J. Gutierrez M 89 6.20 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
N. Stefanelli F 75 8.20 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
D. Rubio F 15 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
F. Dinamarca D 1 — — — — — — — 1 —
Matías Marín M 20 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs D. La Serena?
The final score was Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Concepción win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an D. La Serena win.