Primera División
· Regular Season - 26
November 03, 2026 00:30
Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion
Fausto Grillo
(ast. Joaquín Larrivey)
35'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Concepción 34%). The final result was Concepción 1–0 Palestino. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Palestino.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
0.77
5
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
8
20
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
34'
Marcelo Eggel
⚽Fausto Grillo
· ast. Joaquín Larrivey
35'
45'
Jonathan Benítez
/
Marcelo Eggel
45'
Ian Zohar Alegría Pindal
/
Gonzalo Tapia
52'
Vicente Espinoza
Joaquín Montecinos
/ Fernando Romero
59'
63'
Joe Abrigo
/
Jason León
66'
Martin Araya
/
Jonathan Benítez
Matías Cavalleri
/ Jorge Henríquez
75'
76'
Bryan Carrasco
Ethan Espinoza
77'
Mateo González
/ Brayan Véjar
82'
83'
Francisco Montes
/
Bryan Carrasco
Mario Sandoval
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
34.06%
Concepción ←
30.36%
X
35.58%
Palestino
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
34.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.54
-0.36
0.99
0.77
-0.22
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
N. Araya
G
N. Araya
G
23
C. Riquelme
D
C. Riquelme
D
37
F. Grillo
1 ⚽
D
F. Grillo
1 ⚽
D
21
N. Rodríguez
D
N. Rodríguez
D
28
M. González
82'
D
M. González
82'
D
22
M. Dávila
M
M. Dávila
M
16
M. Sandoval
M
M. Sandoval
M
24
M. Cavalleri
75'
M
M. Cavalleri
75'
M
30
E. Espinoza
M
E. Espinoza
M
15
J. Montecinos
59'
M
J. Montecinos
59'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 👟
F
J. Larrivey
1 👟
F
Bench
19
A. Jara
F
A. Jara
F
11
B. Véjar
8'
M
B. Véjar
8'
M
9
C. Escobar
F
C. Escobar
F
3
D. Carrasco
D
D. Carrasco
D
29
D. Varas
D
D. Varas
D
7
F. Romero
31'
F
F. Romero
31'
F
20
J. Henríquez
15'
M
J. Henríquez
15'
M
12
N. Veloso
G
N. Veloso
G
14
S. A. Espinoza Olave
M
S. A. Espinoza Olave
M
25
S. Pérez
G
S. Pérez
G
23
J. León
63'
D
J. León
63'
D
3
E. Roco
D
E. Roco
D
2
V. Espinoza
D
V. Espinoza
D
7
B. Carrasco
83'
D
B. Carrasco
83'
D
18
S. Gallegos
M
S. Gallegos
M
5
D. Glaby
M
D. Glaby
M
27
C. Munder
M
C. Munder
M
17
M. Eggel
45'
M
M. Eggel
45'
M
20
G. Tapia
45'
M
G. Tapia
45'
M
9
R. Fernández
F
R. Fernández
F
Bench
4
A. Ceza
D
A. Ceza
D
15
F. Montes
7'
M
F. Montes
7'
M
30
I. Alegria
45'
F
I. Alegria
45'
F
14
J. Abrigo
27'
M
J. Abrigo
27'
M
11
J. Benítez
21'
F
J. Benítez
21'
F
16
J. Bizama
D
J. Bizama
D
21
M. Araya
24'
F
M. Araya
24'
F
8
N. Meza
M
N. Meza
M
1
S. Salas
G
S. Salas
G
Best on the pitch
N. Araya
G · Concepción
7.72
· 17 pass
E. Roco
D · Palestino
7.51
3 shots
· 61 pass
F. Grillo
D · Concepción
7.29
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
J. León
D · Palestino
7.05
1 shots
· 56 pass
J. Larrivey
F · Concepción
7.04
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
R. Fernández
F · Palestino
6.76
3 shots
· 16 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Araya | G | 90 | 7.72 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Riquelme | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Grillo | D | 90 | 7.29 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. González | D | 82 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Dávila | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Cavalleri | M | 75 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Espinoza | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Montecinos | M | 59 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 90 | 7.04 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Véjar | M | 8 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Romero | F | 31 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Henríquez | M | 15 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pérez | G | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. León | D | 63 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Roco | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 3 | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Espinoza | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 62% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Carrasco | D | 83 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Glaby | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Munder | M | 90 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Eggel | M | 45 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Tapia | M | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Fernández | F | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Montes | M | 7 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Alegria | F | 45 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Abrigo | M | 27 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Benítez | F | 21 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Araya | F | 24 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs Palestino?
The final score was Concepción 1–0 Palestino.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs Palestino?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Concepción win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Palestino win.