Primera División
· Regular Season - 17
August 02, 2026 18:30
J. Montecinos
10'
J. Larrivey
(ast. J. Montecinos)
32'
N. Rodriguez
(ast. J. Henriquez)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 46% win probability (draw 21%, U. Catolica 31%). The final result was Concepción 3–0 U. Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for U. Catolica.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
5
6
Saves
0
37%
Possession
63%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
8'
B. Cerezo
⚽J. Montecinos
10'
Y. Rodriguez
26'
30'
J. Valencia
⚽J. Larrivey
· ast. J. Montecinos
32'
42'
D. Garnero
46'
M. Palavecino
/
C. Cuevas
F. Grillo
55'
66'
B. Ampuero
J. Montecinos
/ F. Romero
67'
⚽N. Rodriguez
· ast. J. Henriquez
69'
69'
M. Gomez
/
D. Corral
69'
J. Rossel
/
J. Giani
Y. Rodriguez
/ F. Martinez
69'
J. Henriquez
/ C. Riquelme
79'
J. Larrivey
/ D. Acosta
79'
E. Espinoza
/ M. Cavalleri
85'
85'
A. Farias
/
B. Cerezo
85'
I. Perez
/
J. Valencia
87'
90'+3
J. Diaz
Pre-match prediction
46.12%
Concepción ←
21.91%
X
31.97%
U.
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
46.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.09
—
—
1.60
—
—
Lineups
25
Nicolás Araya
G
Nicolás Araya
G
29
Dilan Varas
D
Dilan Varas
D
37
Fausto Grillo
D
Fausto Grillo
D
21
Norman Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
Norman Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
4
Ariel Cáceres
D
Ariel Cáceres
D
16
Mario Sandoval
M
Mario Sandoval
M
18
Yonathan Rodríguez
69'
M
Yonathan Rodríguez
69'
M
30
Ethan Espinoza
85'
M
Ethan Espinoza
85'
M
20
Jorge Henríquez
1 👟
78'
M
Jorge Henríquez
1 👟
78'
M
15
Joaquín Montecinos
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
Joaquín Montecinos
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
79'
F
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
19
Aldrix Jara
F
Aldrix Jara
F
9
Carlos Escobar
F
Carlos Escobar
F
23
Cristian Riquelme
12'
D
Cristian Riquelme
12'
D
3
D. Carrasco
D
D. Carrasco
D
27
Diego Acosta
11'
F
Diego Acosta
11'
F
8
Fernando Martinez
21'
M
Fernando Martinez
21'
M
7
Fernando Romero
23'
F
Fernando Romero
23'
F
24
Matías Cavalleri
11'
F
Matías Cavalleri
11'
F
12
Nery Veloso
G
Nery Veloso
G
27
Darío Melo
G
Darío Melo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
D
Eugenio Mena
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
28
Bernardo Cerezo
85'
D
Bernardo Cerezo
85'
D
20
J. Valencia
85'
M
J. Valencia
85'
M
8
Fernando Zuqui
M
Fernando Zuqui
M
7
J. Giani
69'
M
J. Giani
69'
M
15
C. Cuevas
45'
M
C. Cuevas
45'
M
25
Diego Corral
69'
M
Diego Corral
69'
M
9
F. Zampedri
F
F. Zampedri
F
Bench
5
Agustín Farías
11'
M
Agustín Farías
11'
M
13
Alfred Canales
M
Alfred Canales
M
12
Francisco Valdés
G
Francisco Valdés
G
4
Ignacio Pérez
11'
D
Ignacio Pérez
11'
D
14
Jimmy Martínez
M
Jimmy Martínez
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
21'
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
21'
F
22
Martín Gómez
21'
M
Martín Gómez
21'
M
10
M. Palavecino
45'
M
M. Palavecino
45'
M
39
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
Nicolás L'Huiller
D
Best on the pitch
Norman Rodríguez
D · Concepción
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Nicolás Araya
G · Concepción
8.20
· 23 pass
Joaquín Montecinos
M · Concepción
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
J. Larrivey
F · Concepción
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Ethan Espinoza
M · Concepción
7.30
1 shots
· 17 pass
Mario Sandoval
M · Concepción
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Araya | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dilan Varas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fausto Grillo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Norman Rodríguez | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ariel Cáceres | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Yonathan Rodríguez | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ethan Espinoza | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Henríquez | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Montecinos | M | 67 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Riquelme | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Acosta | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Martinez | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Romero | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Cavalleri | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darío Melo | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bernardo Cerezo | D | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Valencia | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Zuqui | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Corral | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Farías | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Pérez | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juan Francisco Rossel | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Martín Gómez | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Palavecino | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs U. Catolica?
The final score was Concepción 3–0 U. Catolica.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs U. Catolica?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Concepción win, 21% to a draw, and 31% to an U. Catolica win.