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Primera División · Regular Season - 24 October 11, 2026 22:30 Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion
Concepción
#8 · 32 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Union La Calera
#16 · 18 pts
Ethan Espinoza (ast. Cristian Riquelme) 50'
90'+6 (ast. Bayron Oyarzo) Christopher Díaz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 56% win probability (draw 27%, Union La Calera 16%). The final result was Concepción 1–1 Union La Calera. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Union La Calera.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
1.75
Actual xG
0.49
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
juan salomoni
Cristian Riquelme
21'
Mario Sandoval
28'
28'
Daniel Gutiérrez
45'
Maximiliano Fernández / Martín Hiriart Espinoza ↕
⚽Ethan Espinoza · ast. Cristian Riquelme
50'
↕ Jorge Henríquez / Diego Acosta
66'
↕ Cristian Riquelme / Misael Dávila
66'
68'
Matías Campos López / Brian Nicolás Ferreyra ↕
68'
Bayron Oyarzo / Joan Cruz ↕
74'
Rodrigo Perez Casada
79'
80'
Joaquín Soto / Rodrigo Perez Casada ↕
↕ Mario Sandoval / Fernando Martinez
84'
89'
Yerko Leiva / Camilo Moya ↕
↕ Ethan Espinoza / Matías Cavalleri
90'+3
↕ Joaquín Larrivey / Carlos Escobar
90'+3
Ariel Cáceres
90'+6
90'+6
ast. Bayron Oyarzo · Christopher Díaz⚽
Pre-match prediction
56.3%
Concepción
27.58%
X ←
16.12%
Union
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Concepción
1.33
1.75
+0.42
Union
0.49
0.49
+0.0
Concepción dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 24 54
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 24 45
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 23 42
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 24 39
5 Palestino Palestino 24 37
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 24 34
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 23 32
8 Concepción Concepción 24 32
9 Nublense Nublense 24 32
10 Huachipato Huachipato 23 31
11 D. La Serena D. La Serena 24 30
12 A. Italiano A. Italiano 23 28
13 O'Higgins O'Higgins 24 27
14 Cobresal Cobresal 24 25
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 24 23
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 24 18
Lineups
Concepción Concepción 4-1-4-1
25 N. Araya N. Araya G 6.56
29 D. Varas D. Varas D 6.42
37 F. Grillo F. Grillo D 6.95
21 N. Rodríguez N. Rodríguez D 6.83
4 A. Cáceres A. Cáceres D 6.47
18 Y. Rodríguez Y. Rodríguez M 6.13
23 C. Riquelme C. Riquelme 1 👟 66' M 6.79
20 J. Henríquez J. Henríquez 66' M 6.89
16 M. Sandoval M. Sandoval 84' M 6.36
30 E. Espinoza E. Espinoza 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.84
32 J. Larrivey J. Larrivey 89' F 6.57
Bench
19 A. Jara A. Jara F 0.00
9 C. Escobar C. Escobar 1' F 0.00
27 D. Acosta D. Acosta 24' F 6.65
3 D. Carrasco D. Carrasco D 0.00
8 F. Martínez F. Martínez 6' M 6.31
40 Franco Caceres Franco Caceres F 0.00
7 F. Romero F. Romero F 0.00
24 M. Cavalleri M. Cavalleri 1' F 0.00
22 M. Dávila M. Dávila 24' M 6.46
12 N. Veloso N. Veloso G 0.00
Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-2-3-1
1 N. Avellaneda N. Avellaneda G 7.84
4 C. Gutiérrez C. Gutiérrez D 7.14
27 D. Gutiérrez D. Gutiérrez D 6.38
15 J. Salomoni J. Salomoni D 6.39
25 C. Díaz C. Díaz 1 ⚽ D 7.22
5 C. Moya C. Moya 89' M 6.69
23 R. Pérez R. Pérez 80' M 6.14
17 M. Hiriart M. Hiriart 45' M 6.26
11 S. Sáez S. Sáez M 6.83
20 J. Cruz J. Cruz 68' M 6.45
32 B. Ferreyra B. Ferreyra 68' F 6.28
Bench
7 B. Oyarzo B. Oyarzo 1 👟 22' F 6.86
29 J. Soto J. Soto 10' M 6.22
30 Maximiliano Fernandez Maximiliano Fernandez 45' F 6.59
19 M. Campos M. Campos 22' F 6.51
12 N. Espinoza N. Espinoza G 0.00
3 N. Palma N. Palma D 0.00
6 V. Lavin V. Lavin D 0.00
8 Y. Leiva Y. Leiva 1' M 5.98
Best on the pitch
E. Espinoza
E. Espinoza
M · Concepción
7.84
1 ⚽
5 shots · 41 pass
N. Avellaneda
N. Avellaneda
G · Union
7.84
· 21 pass
C. Díaz
C. Díaz
D · Union
7.22
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
C. Gutiérrez
C. Gutiérrez
D · Union
7.14
· 41 pass
F. Grillo
F. Grillo
D · Concepción
6.95
1 shots · 23 pass
J. Henríquez
J. Henríquez
M · Concepción
6.89
1 shots · 43 pass
Concepción Concepción — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Araya G 90 6.56 — — 0 24 17% 0 — —
D. Varas D 90 6.42 — — 1 33 28% 3 — —
F. Grillo D 90 6.95 — — 1 23 21% 1 — —
N. Rodríguez D 90 6.83 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
A. Cáceres D 90 6.47 — — 1 29 23% 4 1 —
Y. Rodríguez M 90 6.13 — — 0 33 27% 3 — —
C. Riquelme M 66 6.79 — 1 2 19 14% 2 1 —
J. Henríquez M 66 6.89 — — 1 43 35% 1 — —
M. Sandoval M 84 6.36 — — 1 29 27% 0 1 —
E. Espinoza M 89 7.84 1 — 5 41 32% 0 — —
J. Larrivey F 89 6.57 — — 1 22 19% 0 — —
C. Escobar F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
D. Acosta F 24 6.65 — — 2 7 6% 1 — —
F. Martínez M 6 6.31 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
M. Cavalleri F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Dávila M 24 6.46 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
Union La Calera Union La Calera — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Avellaneda G 90 7.84 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
C. Gutiérrez D 90 7.14 — — 0 41 37% 3 — —
D. Gutiérrez D 90 6.38 — — 0 39 35% 2 1 —
J. Salomoni D 90 6.39 — — 0 30 26% 3 1 —
C. Díaz D 90 7.22 1 — 2 22 16% 1 — —
C. Moya M 89 6.69 — — 1 71 57% 1 — —
R. Pérez M 80 6.14 — — 1 38 31% 1 1 —
M. Hiriart M 45 6.26 — — 0 16 14% 2 — —
S. Sáez M 90 6.83 — — 1 25 18% 1 — —
J. Cruz M 68 6.45 — — 2 26 20% 2 — —
B. Ferreyra F 68 6.28 — — 1 13 8% 2 — —
B. Oyarzo F 22 6.86 — 1 0 5 4% 0 — —
J. Soto M 10 6.22 — — 0 15 11% 1 — —
Maximiliano Fernandez F 45 6.59 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
M. Campos F 22 6.51 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
Y. Leiva M 1 5.98 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs Union La Calera?
The final score was Concepción 1–1 Union La Calera.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs Union La Calera?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Concepción win, 27% to a draw, and 16% to an Union La Calera win.