✓Model correct — prediction Concepción
J. Larrivey
45'+5
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 70% win probability (draw 17%, Universidad de Concepcion 12%). The final result was Concepción 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universidad de Concepcion.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
4
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
3
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
45'+4
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
⚽J. Larrivey
(pen.)
45'+5
A. Caceres
53'
63'
J. Fuentealba
J. Larrivey
65'
J. Montecinos
/ F. Romero
65'
J. Larrivey
66'
J. Larrivey
66'
67'
I. Gonzalez
/
H. Salgado
69'
O. Gonzalez
J. Henriquez
74'
J. Henriquez
/ C. Riquelme
75'
80'
P. Parra
/
J. Fuentealba
80'
C. Mesias
80'
C. Mesias
/
F. Mater
90'+7
J. Espejo
E. Espinoza
/ M. Cavalleri
90'
M. Sandoval
/ F. Martinez
90'
90'
A. Diaz
/
B. Ogaz
Pre-match prediction
70.14%
Concepción ←
17.68%
X
12.19%
Universidad
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
70.14%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.41
—
—
0.69
—
—
Lineups
25
N. Araya
G
N. Araya
G
29
D. Varas
D
D. Varas
D
37
F. Grillo
D
F. Grillo
D
21
N. Rodríguez
D
N. Rodríguez
D
4
A. Cáceres
D
A. Cáceres
D
16
M. Sandoval
M
M. Sandoval
M
18
Y. Rodríguez
M
Y. Rodríguez
M
30
E. Espinoza
M
E. Espinoza
M
20
J. Henríquez
75'
M
J. Henríquez
75'
M
15
J. Montecinos
65'
M
J. Montecinos
65'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
66'
F
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
66'
F
Bench
19
A. Jara
F
A. Jara
F
9
Carlos Escobar
F
Carlos Escobar
F
23
C. Riquelme
21'
D
C. Riquelme
21'
D
27
D. Acosta
F
D. Acosta
F
8
F. Martínez
6'
M
F. Martínez
6'
M
7
F. Romero
31'
F
F. Romero
31'
F
24
M. Cavalleri
6'
F
M. Cavalleri
6'
F
22
M. Dávila
M
M. Dávila
M
12
N. Veloso
G
N. Veloso
G
1
J. Broun
G
J. Broun
G
15
Y. Oyanedel
D
Y. Oyanedel
D
6
B. Ubal
D
B. Ubal
D
4
O. González
D
O. González
D
21
J. Espejo
D
J. Espejo
D
16
B. Ogaz
M
B. Ogaz
M
25
H. Salgado
67'
M
H. Salgado
67'
M
10
J. Fuentealba
80'
M
J. Fuentealba
80'
M
8
F. Mater
80'
M
F. Mater
80'
M
20
L. Rojas
M
L. Rojas
M
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
Bench
11
A. Díaz
6'
F
A. Díaz
6'
F
19
C. Mesías
16'
D
C. Mesías
16'
D
5
D. Retamal
D
D. Retamal
D
7
I. González
29'
F
I. González
29'
F
13
José Sanhueza
G
José Sanhueza
G
36
Martin Suazo
M
Martin Suazo
M
3
M. Barbieri
D
M. Barbieri
D
14
P. Parra
16'
M
P. Parra
16'
M
23
P. Romero
D
P. Romero
D
Best on the pitch
N. Araya
G · Concepción
7.30
· 14 pass
B. Ogaz
M · Universidad
7.30
· 49 pass
N. Rodríguez
D · Concepción
7.20
1 shots
· 24 pass
M. Sandoval
M · Concepción
7.20
· 36 pass
Y. Rodríguez
M · Concepción
7.20
· 26 pass
J. Montecinos
M · Concepción
7.20
· 18 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Araya | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Varas | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Grillo | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Rodríguez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cáceres | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Rodríguez | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Espinoza | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Henríquez | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Montecinos | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 66 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| C. Riquelme | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Martínez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Romero | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Cavalleri | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Universidad de Concepcion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Broun | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Y. Oyanedel | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Ubal | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | — | — | — |
| O. González | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Espejo | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ogaz | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| H. Salgado | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Fuentealba | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Mater | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Rojas | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| C. Waterman | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Díaz | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mesías | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. González | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Parra | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The final score was Concepción 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Concepción win, 17% to a draw, and 12% to an Universidad de Concepcion win.