Công An Nhân Dân - Kyoto Sanga
AFC Champions League
November 03, 2026 13:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.83%
Win
Công An Nhân Dân
29.43%
Draw
26.73%
Win
Kyoto Sanga
1.35
0.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.74%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
29%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
56%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
47%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Công An Nhân Dân a 43% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kyoto Sanga. Expected goals are 1.4 for Công An Nhân Dân and 0.8 for Kyoto Sanga (total 2.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.74% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
2L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.0
1.8
Conceded
1.0
5.7
Shots OT
7.0
3.7
Corners
6.7
44%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
50%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Công An Nhân Dân
Kyoto Sanga →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Công An Nhân Dân
Attack
43
Defence
73
Form
49
Kyoto Sanga
Attack
37
Defence
59
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Gamba Osaka
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Beijing Guoan
|
3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
3 | 4 |
| 8 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
3 | 4 |
| 10 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
3 | 4 |
| 11 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Buriram United
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Ratchaburi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Pohang Steelers
|
3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Port FC
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Newcastle Jets
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #11 | #6 |
| → Công An Nhân Dân | #7 | #6 |
| → Draw | #11 | #6 |
| → Kyoto Sanga | #11 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model gives Công An Nhân Dân a 43% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 26% for an Kyoto Sanga win.
How many goals are expected in Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga?
Expected goals: Công An Nhân Dân 1.4, Kyoto Sanga 0.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.74%.